AMBP Fundamental Analysis & Score

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. Consumer Cyclical Packaging & Containers
$4.68
Quote dated October 16, 2026
62/100
Hold

What this score covers. It is a fixed screen of five reported ratios with no valuation input, so a company can score highly while its valuation risk remains elevated. The full report scores valuation separately, as one of nine scored sections. How the score is calculated

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Page generated: October 17, 2026 at 22:24 UTC

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$2.80B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
93.6x
P/E Forward
15.4x
Revenue Growth
17.7%
Gross Margin
12.8%
Net Margin
0.7%

Rule-Based Financial Screen Summary

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) is a Consumer Cyclical company in the Packaging & Containers industry. It has a 62/100 Hold score on our five-factor fundamentals screen. Key strengths include Revenue Growth (17.7%). The score is a five-factor screen — revenue growth, gross margin, net margin, return on equity and debt-to-equity — each scored against fixed thresholds from a neutral starting point of 50 points. The full report scores nine sections, including moat, free cash flow, dilution and valuation, which this screen does not.

Revenue Growth: Good Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Thin

This page score and the strengths and concerns above are produced by deterministic, rule-based calculations from the available third-party financial inputs documented below. AI does not choose the score, strengths, or concerns. Data and automated summaries can contain errors. This is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

How this page score was calculated

The calculation starts at 50 points and applies the five fixed adjustments shown below. Missing or invalid inputs contribute no adjustment. A finite provider-reported zero is treated as a measured value and evaluated against that input's displayed threshold. The pre-clamp result is 62; the published result is clamped to a minimum of 10 and maximum of 98, producing 62/100.

AMBP score inputs and fixed adjustments
Input Displayed value Threshold applied Adjustment Data status
Revenue Growth 17.7% > 10% to 20% +8 Available
Gross Margin 12.8% 35% or lower +2 Available
Net Margin 0.7% > 0% to 10% +2 Available
Return on Equity Not available No threshold applied +0 Missing — contributes zero
Debt/Equity Not available No threshold applied +0 Missing — contributes zero

Score bands

80 or higher: Strong Buy; 65–79: Buy; 50–64: Hold; below 50: Caution.

These are fixed names for score ranges. The score is not a success probability, recommendation, or forecast, and 80/100 does not mean an 80% chance of a gain.

Not included in this score

  • Peer results or relative peer ranking
  • Demand zones or liquidity
  • Technical momentum
  • News or market sentiment
  • DCF valuation or the downloadable report score

Sources, freshness, and limitations

This page was generated . The provider identifies the latest underlying financial period as June 30, 2026. The displayed market quote is dated October 16, 2026. Generation time is not the same as the date of the underlying filing or market observation.

Financial inputs may be delayed, restated, differently standardized by the data provider, or unavailable. Missing, invalid, or non-finite values receive no positive or negative adjustment rather than being estimated. A finite provider-reported zero is retained and evaluated against that metric's displayed threshold; it is not treated as missing. This can make a sparse-data score less informative. The screen does not capture every business, market, valuation, or portfolio risk, and investors can lose money.

What the full AMBP report adds

The 62/100 on this page comes from a fixed screen of 5 ratios. The downloadable report is a separate analysis with its own score, built from 9 weighted sections.

This page: fixed screen

  • Revenue Growth
  • Gross Margin
  • Net Margin
  • Return on Equity
  • Debt/Equity

Each factor is scored against fixed thresholds from a starting point of 50 points. No factor prices the stock, so valuation is not part of the 62/100.

Full report: 9 scored sections

  1. Business Moat weight 15 of 100
  2. Revenue Growth Consistency weight 14 of 100
  3. Margin Quality weight 12 of 100
  4. Free Cash Flow Strength weight 12 of 100
  5. Balance Sheet Safety weight 12 of 100
  6. Returns on Capital weight 12 of 100
  7. Dilution vs Self-Funded Growth weight 8 of 100
  8. Valuation vs Growth weight 10 of 100
  9. Structural vs Cyclical Growth weight 5 of 100

When the inputs allow, the report also shows a fair-value estimate with its discounted cash flow (DCF) assumptions and a 3×3 sensitivity table, a confidence figure, and the data limitations that reduced that confidence. Its headline label can add a valuation-risk flag next to the fundamental-quality rating.

Open the AMBP report page

Supplementary Metrics for AMBP

4 data points drawn from analyst targets, consensus estimates, and ownership data. These are supplementary observations, not event predictions or causal explanations:

The provider-reported analyst mean target is $5.04 (+7.8% from the displayed price), based on 7 estimates. This is third-party opinion, not a StrongBuyAnalytics target.
The provider-reported third-party analyst consensus category is Hold; it is not a StrongBuyAnalytics recommendation.
The current provider record reports a short ratio of 5.3 days to cover.
The current provider record reports a dividend yield of 8.55%.

Risk Indicators for AMBP

3 measurable indicators visible in Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s reported numbers. These are market and valuation risk metrics — not a comprehensive list of business risks, which would require qualitative analysis beyond this data:

The provider-reported beta is 0.53. A beta below 1 reflects smaller historical price moves relative to the provider's benchmark; it does not cap future gains or losses.
The provider-reported trailing P/E is 93.6x. A higher multiple can make the market price more sensitive to changes in earnings expectations, but the ratio alone does not forecast direction.
The provider-reported short ratio is 5.3 days to cover. Short-interest data can be delayed and may reflect hedging or other strategies, so it does not establish investor intent or future direction.

AMBP Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s liquidity and cash generation as of the most recent filing — note the cash position of $189.00M against $4.34B of debt:

Total Cash
$189.00M
Total Debt
$4.34B
Current Ratio
1.06
FCF Yield
9.5%
EBITDA
$775.00M
Operating Margin
6.8%

These are provider-normalized figures and may differ from the issuer's as-filed presentation, units, or latest amendment. Use source filings for verification.

AMBP Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
93.6x
High expectations
Forward P/E
15.4x
Earnings growth expected
Analyst Target (Mean)
$5.04
Range: $4 – $6
Dividend Yield
8.55%
5Y avg: 8.89%
52-Week Price Range — AMBP is trading at 64% of its range
$3.29 (52W Low) $5.47 (52W High)

Who Holds AMBP? — Institutional 13F Filings

Institutional investment managers with >$100 M in qualifying assets must disclose their equity positions quarterly on SEC Form 13F — typically within 45 days of quarter-end. Search those filings below to see which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers reported AMBP as a holding, how many shares they held, and how positions changed quarter over quarter.

Search 13F Filings for AMBP Free · no sign-in required · live SEC EDGAR data
What you see free
Which institutions reported AMBP, share counts, reported values, and direct links to the SEC filing.
Research Pro adds
Full manager portfolios — every position a fund holds, quarter-over-quarter changes, and concentration weights.
Data limitation
13F reports covered long positions for the filing's stated reporting period, typically a quarter-end—not on its later submission date. Short positions, full derivatives, and current intent are not disclosed.

How to Interpret the AMBP Fundamentals Score

AMBP rates 62/100 on our five-factor fundamentals screen, which puts it in the "Hold" band. The band name describes a fixed range in this model; it is not a recommendation or prediction. The calculation above shows how each reported input affected the result.

62/100 · Hold band

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. clears some of our thresholds and misses others. On the positive side, revenue growth (17.7%). A middling score means the fundamentals are genuinely ambiguous, not that we have hedged.

AMBP Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. reported revenue growth of 17.7% year over year, against a Packaging & Containers peer set where scale and pricing power vary widely. That is solid but not exceptional, so it lifts the score without dominating it.

Track upcoming report dates on our earnings calendar.

AMBP Fundamental Factors to Monitor

This is a review of reported fundamentals, not a price target or an estimate of future returns. These are the current figures that may be useful to monitor as new filings become available.

Mixed current reading: Revenue growth of 17.7% sits alongside metrics that neither help nor hurt the score materially. Watch whether those reported inputs move across the disclosed thresholds.

Positive Fundamental Inputs for AMBP

These are the Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. figures that push the score up, taken straight from the most recent reported financials:

  • Revenue Growth (17.7%)

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See how the metrics on this AMBP page — quality score, valuation, DCF scenarios, confidence labels, and data limitations — are organized in the downloadable research report.

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Guides to the specific measures used in this AMBP analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

How the financial statements behind this page fit together.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What AMBP's 93.6x multiple does and does not tell you.

Stock Valuation Methods

How DCF, multiples and asset-based approaches value a company like Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A..

DCF Assumptions and Limitations

What a discounted cash flow estimate for AMBP depends on, and where it breaks down.

How to Read an AI Stock Report

What each section of a AMBP report is for, and what it leaves out.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Where the AMBP growth and margin figures on this page come from.

What Are Demand Zones?

The technical side we deliberately keep out of the AMBP score.

Related Tools for AMBP

Semiconductor Demand Zone Tracker AMBP Live Chart AMBP SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

AMBP SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for AMBP explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

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View all AMBP SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about AMBP

Support and resistance are technical levels, so they are not part of the fundamentals score. Our demand zones page tracks semiconductor stocks; coverage does not extend to every ticker. Use the chart tool to identify price levels for AMBP manually.

This AMBP analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Figures come from third-party feeds and can be delayed, standardized, incomplete, or inaccurate; verify material facts in primary filings and identified sources. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.