ALK Fundamental Analysis & Score

Alaska Air Group, Inc. Industrials Airlines
$39.19
Quote dated October 05, 2026
35/100
Caution

What this score covers. It is a fixed screen of five reported ratios with no valuation input, so a company can score highly while its valuation risk remains elevated. The full report scores valuation separately, as one of nine scored sections. How the score is calculated

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Page generated: October 06, 2026 at 11:24 UTC

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$4.37B
P/E Forward
10.6x
Revenue Growth
9.7%
Gross Margin
17.7%
Net Margin
-1.2%
Return on Equity
-4.6%
Debt/Equity
2.08

Rule-Based Financial Screen Summary

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) is a Industrials company in the Airlines industry. It has a 35/100 Caution score on our five-factor fundamentals screen. Areas to watch: Net Margin (-1.2%), Return on Equity (-4.6%). The score is a five-factor screen — revenue growth, gross margin, net margin, return on equity and debt-to-equity — each scored against fixed thresholds from a neutral starting point of 50 points. The full report scores nine sections, including moat, free cash flow, dilution and valuation, which this screen does not.

Revenue Growth: Moderate Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Negative Return on Equity: Negative Debt/Equity: High Risk

This page score and the strengths and concerns above are produced by deterministic, rule-based calculations from the available third-party financial inputs documented below. AI does not choose the score, strengths, or concerns. Data and automated summaries can contain errors. This is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

How this page score was calculated

The calculation starts at 50 points and applies the five fixed adjustments shown below. Missing or invalid inputs contribute no adjustment. A finite provider-reported zero is treated as a measured value and evaluated against that input's displayed threshold. The pre-clamp result is 35; the published result is clamped to a minimum of 10 and maximum of 98, producing 35/100.

ALK score inputs and fixed adjustments
Input Displayed value Threshold applied Adjustment Data status
Revenue Growth 9.7% > 0% to 10% +4 Available
Gross Margin 17.7% 35% or lower +2 Available
Net Margin -1.2% 0% or lower -8 Available
Return on Equity -4.6% 0% or lower -5 Available
Debt/Equity 2.08 1.00 or higher -8 Available

Score bands

80 or higher: Strong Buy; 65–79: Buy; 50–64: Hold; below 50: Caution.

These are fixed names for score ranges. The score is not a success probability, recommendation, or forecast, and 80/100 does not mean an 80% chance of a gain.

Not included in this score

  • Peer results or relative peer ranking
  • Demand zones or liquidity
  • Technical momentum
  • News or market sentiment
  • DCF valuation or the downloadable report score

Sources, freshness, and limitations

This page was generated . The provider identifies the latest underlying financial period as June 30, 2026. The displayed market quote is dated October 05, 2026. Generation time is not the same as the date of the underlying filing or market observation.

Financial inputs may be delayed, restated, differently standardized by the data provider, or unavailable. Missing, invalid, or non-finite values receive no positive or negative adjustment rather than being estimated. A finite provider-reported zero is retained and evaluated against that metric's displayed threshold; it is not treated as missing. This can make a sparse-data score less informative. The screen does not capture every business, market, valuation, or portfolio risk, and investors can lose money.

What the full ALK report adds

The 35/100 on this page comes from a fixed screen of 5 ratios. The downloadable report is a separate analysis with its own score, built from 9 weighted sections.

This page: fixed screen

  • Revenue Growth
  • Gross Margin
  • Net Margin
  • Return on Equity
  • Debt/Equity

Each factor is scored against fixed thresholds from a starting point of 50 points. No factor prices the stock, so valuation is not part of the 35/100.

Full report: 9 scored sections

  1. Business Moat weight 15 of 100
  2. Revenue Growth Consistency weight 14 of 100
  3. Margin Quality weight 12 of 100
  4. Free Cash Flow Strength weight 12 of 100
  5. Balance Sheet Safety weight 12 of 100
  6. Returns on Capital weight 12 of 100
  7. Dilution vs Self-Funded Growth weight 8 of 100
  8. Valuation vs Growth weight 10 of 100
  9. Structural vs Cyclical Growth weight 5 of 100

When the inputs allow, the report also shows a fair-value estimate with its discounted cash flow (DCF) assumptions and a 3×3 sensitivity table, a confidence figure, and the data limitations that reduced that confidence. Its headline label can add a valuation-risk flag next to the fundamental-quality rating.

Open the ALK report page

Supplementary Metrics for ALK

3 data points drawn from analyst targets, consensus estimates, and ownership data. These are supplementary observations, not event predictions or causal explanations:

The provider-reported analyst mean target is $55.94 (+42.7% from the displayed price), based on 16 estimates. This is third-party opinion, not a StrongBuyAnalytics target.
The provider-reported third-party analyst consensus category is Strong Buy; it is not a StrongBuyAnalytics recommendation.
The current provider record reports institutional ownership of 94.1%.

ALK vs. AAL, JBLU, LUV, UAL

Compared against other Airlines companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to ALK.

Comparison context only: this peer set is selected statically from our covered companies using industry and company-size context. Peer data and peer selection do not change the ALK page score.

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
ALK $39.19 $4.37B — 9.7% -1.2% -4.6%
AAL $12.83 $8.49B — 16.3% -0.6% —
JBLU $4.06 $1.53B — 14.5% -9.3% -44.4%
LUV $41.85 $20.47B 26.2x 16.4% 2.8% 11.1%
UAL $110.00 $35.70B 10.3x 16.0% 5.6% 23.3%

Risk Indicators for ALK

6 measurable indicators visible in Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s reported numbers. These are market and valuation risk metrics — not a comprehensive list of business risks, which would require qualitative analysis beyond this data:

Net Margin (-1.2%)
Return on Equity (-4.6%)
Debt/Equity (2.08)
The provider-reported beta is 1.33. A beta above 1 reflects larger historical price moves relative to the provider's benchmark, but it does not predict future volatility or drawdowns.
The provider-reported short ratio is 4.9 days to cover. Short-interest data can be delayed and may reflect hedging or other strategies, so it does not establish investor intent or future direction.
The reported debt-to-equity ratio is above 1. Higher leverage can increase sensitivity to weaker cash flow or higher borrowing costs, but the ratio requires company and industry context.

ALK Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s liquidity and cash generation as of the most recent filing — note the cash position of $2.66B against $7.62B of debt:

Total Cash
$2.66B
Total Debt
$7.62B
Current Ratio
0.55
FCF Yield
-0.5%
EBITDA
$703.00M
Operating Margin
-2.9%

These are provider-normalized figures and may differ from the issuer's as-filed presentation, units, or latest amendment. Use source filings for verification.

ALK Valuation Snapshot

Forward P/E
10.6x
Price / Book
1.2x
Below asset value
PEG Ratio
1.20
Fairly valued
Analyst Target (Mean)
$55.94
Range: $37 – $92
Dividend Yield
0.00%
5Y avg: 1.76%
52-Week Price Range — ALK is trading at 22% of its range
$33.03 (52W Low) $60.63 (52W High)

Who Holds ALK? — Institutional 13F Filings

Institutional investment managers with >$100 M in qualifying assets must disclose their equity positions quarterly on SEC Form 13F — typically within 45 days of quarter-end. Search those filings below to see which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers reported ALK as a holding, how many shares they held, and how positions changed quarter over quarter.

Search 13F Filings for ALK Free · no sign-in required · live SEC EDGAR data
What you see free
Which institutions reported ALK, share counts, reported values, and direct links to the SEC filing.
Research Pro adds
Full manager portfolios — every position a fund holds, quarter-over-quarter changes, and concentration weights.
Data limitation
13F reports covered long positions for the filing's stated reporting period, typically a quarter-end—not on its later submission date. Short positions, full derivatives, and current intent are not disclosed.

How to Interpret the ALK Fundamentals Score

ALK rates 35/100 on our five-factor fundamentals screen, which puts it in the "Caution" band. The band name describes a fixed range in this model; it is not a recommendation or prediction. The calculation above shows how each reported input affected the result.

35/100 · Caution band

Alaska Air Group, Inc. falls short on several of the measures we weight most heavily. Specifically: net margin (-1.2%), return on equity (-4.6%). A low score reflects reported fundamentals only — it says nothing about the share price or about turnarounds already underway but not yet in the filings.

ALK Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Alaska Air Group, Inc. reported revenue growth of 9.7% year over year, against a Airlines peer set where scale and pricing power vary widely. That is solid but not exceptional, so it lifts the score without dominating it.

Track upcoming report dates on our earnings calendar.

ALK Fundamental Factors to Monitor

This is a review of reported fundamentals, not a price target or an estimate of future returns. These are the current figures that may be useful to monitor as new filings become available.

Lower current reading: The score is weighed down by net margin (-1.2%) and return on equity (-4.6%). Changes in those reported figures, rather than share-price movement, would change this screen.

Negative Fundamental Inputs & Risks for ALK

These are the figures working against ALK in the same model:

  • Net Margin (-1.2%)
  • Return on Equity (-4.6%)
  • Debt/Equity (2.08)

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See how the metrics on this ALK page — quality score, valuation, DCF scenarios, confidence labels, and data limitations — are organized in the downloadable research report.

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Guides to the specific measures used in this ALK analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

How the financial statements behind this page fit together.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What ALK's forward multiple does and does not tell you.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why ALK's -4.6% return on equity matters for stock selection.

Stock Valuation Methods

How DCF, multiples and asset-based approaches value a company like Alaska Air Group, Inc..

DCF Assumptions and Limitations

What a discounted cash flow estimate for ALK depends on, and where it breaks down.

How to Read an AI Stock Report

What each section of a ALK report is for, and what it leaves out.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Where the ALK growth and margin figures on this page come from.

What Are Demand Zones?

The technical side we deliberately keep out of the ALK score.

Related Tools for ALK

Semiconductor Demand Zone Tracker ALK Live Chart ALK SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

ALK SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for ALK explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

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View all ALK SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about ALK

What are key support and resistance levels for ALK?
Support and resistance are technical levels, so they are not part of the fundamentals score. Our demand zones page tracks semiconductor stocks; coverage does not extend to every ticker. Use the chart tool to identify price levels for ALK manually.
Which companies are ALK's closest peers?
On this page ALK is compared with AAL, JBLU, LUV, UAL. Compared against other Airlines companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to ALK. The table puts ALK's a gross margin of 17.7%, an ROE of -4.6%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08 next to the same figures for each peer.
Is the ALK analysis PDF report free?
Your first ALK report is free and does not require a card. The score on this page is a five-factor screen; the report scores nine sections, adding moat, free cash flow, share dilution and valuation work that is not on this page. Further reports are covered by a subscription; see pricing for the current plans.

This ALK analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Figures come from third-party feeds and can be delayed, standardized, incomplete, or inaccurate; verify material facts in primary filings and identified sources. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.