BBAI Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Technology Information Technology Services
$3.85
Current Price
42%
Caution
View Plans
Data refreshed: April 20, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$1.83B
Revenue Growth
-37.7%
Gross Margin
22.3%
Net Margin
-230.2%
Return on Equity
-96.7%
Debt/Equity
0.19

AI Analysis Summary

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) is a Technology company in the Information Technology Services industry with a 42% Caution Score. Key strengths include Debt/Equity (0.19). Areas to watch: Revenue Growth (-37.7%), Net Margin (-230.2%). Our AI evaluates 8 fundamental categories including revenue growth, margin quality, balance sheet strength, cash flow generation, return on capital, and valuation metrics.

Revenue Growth: Weak Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Negative Return on Equity: Negative Debt/Equity: Low Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

BBAI Fundamental Analysis Report
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42%
Strong Buy Score
  • 8 Fundamental Categories Analyzed
  • Revenue & Growth Trends
  • Margin & Profitability Analysis
  • Balance Sheet Strength
  • Cash Flow Quality
  • Valuation Assessment
  • AI-Powered Investment Insights
Get Your Free BBAI Report

How It Works: AI Stock Analysis in 60 Seconds

See how our AI analyzes BBAI fundamentals to generate buy/sell signals and Strong Buy Scores.

Why BBAI Has a 42% Score

Our AI evaluates BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals across multiple dimensions. Here is what is driving the current Caution rating:

Recent Catalysts for BBAI

Key developments and data points that may impact BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s trajectory:

Wall Street consensus target is $5.33 (+38.5% from current price), based on 3 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: None.

BBAI vs. Peers

How BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. stacks up against comparable Technology companies on key metrics:

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
BBAI $3.85 $1.83B -37.7% -230.2% -96.7%
AAPL $270.23 $3.97T 34.2x 15.7% 27.0% 152.0%
MSFT $422.79 $3.14T 26.5x 16.7% 39.0% 34.4%
GOOGL $341.68 $4.13T 31.6x 18.0% 32.8% 35.7%
META $688.55 $1.75T 29.3x 23.8% 30.1% 30.2%

Main Risks for BBAI Investors

Every investment carries risk. Here are the specific risk factors our analysis identified for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.:

Revenue Growth (-37.7%)
Net Margin (-230.2%)
Return on Equity (-96.7%)
High beta of 3.24 means the stock is 224% more volatile than the market — expect larger drawdowns in corrections.
Short interest is elevated with a 3.4-day cover ratio, indicating bearish bets against the stock.

Generate the full PDF report for a detailed risk-reward framework and bear-case scenarios.

BBAI Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

A snapshot of BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s financial health based on the most recent filings:

Total Cash
$287.59M
Total Debt
$114.81M
Current Ratio
1.78
FCF Yield
-2.6%
EBITDA
$-63,307,000
Operating Margin
-76.7%

Data sourced from the latest SEC filings. Generate the full PDF report for detailed balance sheet and cash flow commentary.

BBAI Valuation Snapshot

Price / Book
2.8x
Reasonable
Analyst Target (Mean)
$5.33
Range: $5 – $6
52-Week Price Range — BBAI is trading at 21% of its range
$2.36 (52W Low) $9.39 (52W High)

Is BBAI a Buy Right Now?

Based on our AI-powered fundamental analysis, BBAI has a Strong Buy Score of 42%, earning a "Caution" rating. This score synthesizes 8 key financial metrics to provide an objective investment signal.

Caution Signal

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. currently shows fundamental weakness that warrants careful analysis. Key concerns: Revenue Growth (-37.7%), Net Margin (-230.2%). Consider waiting for improved metrics before building a position.

BBAI AI Buy & Sell Signals Explained

Our AI analyzes BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s financial statements to generate buy/sell signals based on quantitative metrics, not market sentiment or news headlines. Here's what drives the 42% score:

  • Revenue Growth: -37.7% year-over-year (declining)
  • Gross Margin: 22.3% (healthy)
  • Net Margin: -230.2% (unprofitable)
  • Return on Equity: -96.7% (negative returns)

Generate the full PDF report for complete category-by-category scoring and AI-powered investment recommendations.

Key Support / Demand Zones

Technical traders can view real-time demand and supply zones for BBAI on our Demand Zones page. These zones identify key price levels where institutional buying or selling has historically occurred.

With BBAI currently trading at $3.85, our system monitors proximity to these critical levels and can alert you when the stock approaches support or resistance zones.

Subscribe to demand zone alerts to receive real-time notifications when BBAI reaches key technical levels.

Earnings & Revenue Outlook

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. operates in the Technology sector, specifically in Information Technology Services. Understanding earnings trends is crucial for forecasting BBAI's trajectory.

Current revenue growth of -37.7% trails the average company.

Visit our Earnings Calendar to track upcoming BBAI earnings dates and historical beat/miss patterns. Sign up for earnings alerts to get notified before announcements.

BBAI Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

Our AI projects BBAI's trajectory based on current fundamentals and historical patterns. With a 42% Strong Buy Score, here's what the data suggests:

Cautious Outlook: BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals suggest potential headwinds. Key issues: Revenue Growth (-37.7%). Consider waiting for improved metrics or a more attractive entry point before building a position.

For a complete 12-month price forecast with specific bull/bear scenarios, generate the full PDF report.

Valuation Metrics (P/E, Growth, Margins)

Understanding valuation is critical for determining if BBAI is fairly priced. Here's the current snapshot:

  • Market Capitalization: $1.83B
  • Debt/Equity: 0.19 (conservative balance sheet)

Our AI weighs these metrics against growth rates and margin quality to determine if BBAI offers compelling risk-adjusted returns at current prices.

Bull Case for BBAI

Here's why investors are bullish on BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.:

  • Debt/Equity (0.19)

While these positives exist, investors should weigh them against the risks outlined in the bear case below.

Bear Case & Risks for BBAI

Every investment carries risk. Here are potential concerns for BBAI investors:

  • Revenue Growth (-37.7%)
  • Net Margin (-230.2%)
  • Return on Equity (-96.7%)

The full PDF report includes a detailed bear case analysis with specific risk ratings for each category.

Summary / 12-Month Outlook

BBAI Summary: BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. earns a 42% Caution Score based on AI analysis of fundamental data. Trading at $3.85 with a $1.83B market cap, the stock may face headwinds that warrant a cautious approach.

Bull Case: Debt/Equity (0.19)

Watch: Revenue Growth (-37.7%), Net Margin (-230.2%)

For the complete analysis with specific price considerations, growth projections, and AI-powered buy/hold/sell recommendations, generate your free BBAI PDF report.

Learn More About Stock Analysis

Deepen your understanding of the concepts used in this BBAI analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

Learn how to evaluate stocks using financial statements and key metrics.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What P/E ratio tells you about a stock's valuation and growth expectations.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why ROE matters for stock selection and how to interpret it.

Stock Valuation Methods

Compare DCF, P/E, and other approaches to value stocks like BBAI.

What Are Demand Zones?

Find key support and resistance levels for BBAI and other stocks.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Understand earnings per share, revenue surprises, and guidance.

Related Tools for BBAI

Demand Zone Analyzer BBAI Live Chart Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

Frequently Asked Questions about BBAI

Is BBAI a good buy right now?
BBAI currently has a Strong Buy Score of 42% (Caution). BBAI currently shows caution signals. Review the full analysis before investing. Generate a free PDF report for specific buy/hold/sell recommendations.
What is the BBAI stock forecast for 2026?
Our AI forecasts BBAI based on current fundamentals: revenue growth of -37.7%, net margin of -230.2%. The 42% Strong Buy Score reflects our outlook combining growth trajectory, margin quality, and valuation. See the full 12-month projection in your PDF report.
What are key support and resistance levels for BBAI?
View real-time BBAI demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our Demand Zones page. With BBAI currently at $3.85, you can see how close the stock is to key technical levels. Subscribe to get alerts when BBAI approaches these zones.
How do BBAI fundamentals compare to peers?
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. operates in the Technology sector. Key metrics for peer comparison: Gross margin 22.3%, ROE -96.7%, Debt/Equity 0.19. The 42% Strong Buy Score factors in how these metrics stack up against industry averages. Data is refreshed daily.
Is the BBAI analysis PDF report free?
Yes! Your first BBAI fundamental analysis report is completely free with no credit card required. The PDF includes the full Strong Buy Score breakdown, all 8 fundamental categories analyzed, AI-powered insights, and specific investment recommendations. Additional reports are available through our subscription plans starting at $24/month.
What is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s market cap and P/E ratio?
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) has a market cap of $1.83B. These valuation metrics are key factors in our Strong Buy Score calculation. See all metrics in the PDF report for comprehensive valuation analysis.

This BBAI analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.