COIN Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

$183.04
Current Price
46%
Caution
View Plans
Data refreshed: August 31, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$48.29B
P/E Forward
64.2x
Revenue Growth
-17.3%
Gross Margin
85.8%
Net Margin
-16.3%
Return on Equity
-7.8%
Debt/Equity
0.51

AI Analysis Summary

Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) is a Financial Services company in the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges industry with a 46% Caution Score. Key strengths include Gross Margin (85.8%). Areas to watch: Revenue Growth (-17.3%), Net Margin (-16.3%). The score on this page is a five-factor screen — revenue growth, gross margin, net margin, return on equity and debt-to-equity — each scored against fixed thresholds from a neutral starting point of 50%. The eight-section analysis, including moat, free cash flow, dilution and valuation, runs in the full report.

Revenue Growth: Weak Gross Margin: Excellent Net Margin: Negative Return on Equity: Negative Debt/Equity: Moderate

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

Why COIN Has a 46% Score

3 of the inputs in our model moved COIN's score away from the neutral baseline of 50%, landing it at 46% (Caution). Each one below is a specific figure from Coinbase Global, Inc.'s reported financials, not a judgement call:

Recent Catalysts for COIN

3 data points sit outside the score itself but bear on Coinbase Global, Inc.'s next few quarters. They are reported here as observations, not predictions:

Wall Street consensus target is $196.55 (+7.4% from current price), based on 29 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.
Institutional ownership at 69.0% — strong smart-money backing.

COIN vs. NDAQ, ICE, CME, SPGI

Compared against other Financial Data & Stock Exchanges companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to COIN.

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
COIN $183.04 $48.29B -17.3% -16.3% -7.8%
NDAQ $98.51 $55.06B 28.7x 14.9% 35.0% 16.5%
ICE $159.74 $89.68B 22.5x 4.8% 38.2% 14.1%
CME $286.71 $103.09B 24.3x 0.8% 63.4% 15.8%
SPGI $437.60 $129.00B 26.6x 10.4% 30.5% 14.3%

Main Risks for COIN Investors

4 measurable risks showed up in Coinbase Global, Inc.'s numbers. This is not a complete list of what could go wrong — only what is visible in the data we score:

Revenue Growth (-17.3%)
Net Margin (-16.3%)
Return on Equity (-7.8%)
High beta of 3.36 means the stock is 236% more volatile than the market — expect larger drawdowns in corrections.

COIN Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Coinbase Global, Inc.'s liquidity and cash generation as of the most recent filing — note the cash position of $8.79B against $6.67B of debt:

Total Cash
$8.79B
Total Debt
$6.67B
Current Ratio
2.42
FCF Yield
5.5%
EBITDA
$699.55M
Operating Margin
-13.9%

Figures are drawn from Coinbase Global, Inc.'s most recent balance sheet and cash flow statement as filed with the SEC. See the filings themselves.

COIN Valuation Snapshot

Forward P/E
64.2x
Price / Book
3.7x
Premium
PEG Ratio
10.62
Expensive vs growth
Analyst Target (Mean)
$196.55
Range: $95 – $330
52-Week Price Range — COIN is trading at 17% of its range
$139.11 (52W Low) $402.16 (52W High)

Who Holds COIN? — Institutional 13F Filings

Institutional investment managers with >$100 M in qualifying assets must disclose their equity positions quarterly on SEC Form 13F — typically within 45 days of quarter-end. Search those filings below to see which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers reported COIN as a holding, how many shares they held, and how positions changed quarter over quarter.

Search 13F Filings for COIN Free · no sign-in required · live SEC EDGAR data
What you see free
Which institutions reported COIN, share counts, reported values, and direct links to the SEC filing.
Research Pro adds
Full manager portfolios — every position a fund holds, quarter-over-quarter changes, and concentration weights.
Data limitation
13F shows long equity positions as of the filing date. Short positions, full derivatives, and current intent are not disclosed.

Is COIN a Buy Right Now?

We do not answer that question for you, and we do not publish buy or sell calls. What we publish is a score: COIN rates 46% on our five-factor fundamentals screen, which puts it in the "Caution" band. Everything below explains how it got there so you can disagree with it.

46% · Caution band

Coinbase Global, Inc. falls short on several of the measures we weight most heavily. Specifically: revenue growth (-17.3%), net margin (-16.3%). A low score reflects reported fundamentals only — it says nothing about the share price or about turnarounds already underway but not yet in the filings.

COIN Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Coinbase Global, Inc. reported revenue decline of -17.3% year over year, against a Financial Data & Stock Exchanges peer set where scale and pricing power vary widely. A shrinking top line is a direct drag on the score, and it raises the bar for everything else in the model.

Track upcoming report dates on our earnings calendar.

COIN Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

This is a fundamentals outlook, not a price target — we do not publish one. It describes what Coinbase Global, Inc.'s current financials imply about the next three to twelve months if the trends in them hold.

Cautious: The score is weighed down by revenue growth (-17.3%) and net margin (-16.3%). A recovery in those specific figures, rather than a move in the share price, is what would change this view.

Bull Case for COIN

These are the Coinbase Global, Inc. figures that push the score up, taken straight from the most recent reported financials:

  • Gross Margin (85.8%)

Bear Case & Risks for COIN

These are the figures working against COIN in the same model:

  • Revenue Growth (-17.3%)
  • Net Margin (-16.3%)
  • Return on Equity (-7.8%)

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Guides to the specific measures used in this COIN analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

How the financial statements behind this page fit together.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What COIN's forward multiple does and does not tell you.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why COIN's -7.8% return on equity matters for stock selection.

Stock Valuation Methods

How DCF, multiples and asset-based approaches value a company like Coinbase Global, Inc..

How to Read Earnings Reports

Where the COIN growth and margin figures on this page come from.

What Are Demand Zones?

The technical side we deliberately keep out of the COIN score.

Related Tools for COIN

Demand Zone Analyzer COIN Live Chart COIN SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

COIN SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for COIN explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

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View all COIN SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about COIN

Is COIN a good buy right now?
We do not issue buy or sell calls. COIN has a Strong Buy Score of 46% (Caution), which is a fundamentals rating, not a recommendation. That is at the weak end of our range, so the fundamentals warrant a close read before COIN goes on a shortlist. The score is helped most by gross margin (85.8%). It is held back most by revenue growth (-17.3%). Read how scores work to see what each input contributes.
What is the COIN stock forecast for 2026?
We publish a fundamentals outlook rather than a price target. For 2026 the COIN view rests on revenue growth of -17.3% and a net margin of -16.3%, which together produce the 46% Strong Buy Score. Our methodology explains how those inputs are weighted.
What are key support and resistance levels for COIN?
Support and resistance are technical levels, so they are not part of the fundamentals score. You can see current COIN demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our demand zones page. With COIN at $183.04, the tool shows how far the stock sits from the nearest zone.
Which companies are COIN's closest peers?
On this page COIN is compared with NDAQ, ICE, CME, SPGI. Compared against other Financial Data & Stock Exchanges companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to COIN. The table puts COIN's a gross margin of 85.8%, an ROE of -7.8%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51 next to the same figures for each peer.
What is Coinbase Global, Inc.'s market cap and P/E ratio?
As of August 31, 2026, Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) has a market cap of $48.29B and a forward P/E of 64.2x. Valuation is one of the inputs to the Strong Buy Score, alongside growth, margins, capital efficiency and balance-sheet strength.
Where does the COIN data on this page come from?
Company financials come from Coinbase Global, Inc.'s own filings with the SEC, with prices and consensus estimates from market data feeds; the figures on this page were last refreshed on August 31, 2026. Our data sources page lists every provider and how often each one is updated.
Is the COIN analysis PDF report free?
Your first COIN report is free and does not require a card. The score on this page is a five-factor screen; the report runs the deeper eight-section analysis, adding moat, free cash flow, share dilution and valuation work that is not on this page. Further reports are covered by a subscription; see pricing for the current plans.

This COIN analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.