MARA Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

MARA Holdings, Inc. Financial Services Capital Markets
$11.31
Current Price
38%
Caution
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Data refreshed: September 04, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$4.37B
Revenue Growth
-26.7%
Gross Margin
40.1%
Return on Equity
-105.6%
Debt/Equity
1.40

AI Analysis Summary

MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) is a Financial Services company in the Capital Markets industry with a 38% Caution Score. Key strengths include Gross Margin (40.1%). Areas to watch: Revenue Growth (-26.7%), Return on Equity (-105.6%). The score on this page is a five-factor screen — revenue growth, gross margin, net margin, return on equity and debt-to-equity — each scored against fixed thresholds from a neutral starting point of 50%. The eight-section analysis, including moat, free cash flow, dilution and valuation, runs in the full report.

Revenue Growth: Weak Gross Margin: Good Return on Equity: Negative Debt/Equity: High Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

Why MARA Has a 38% Score

4 of the inputs in our model moved MARA's score away from the neutral baseline of 50%, landing it at 38% (Caution). Each one below is a specific figure from MARA Holdings, Inc.'s reported financials, not a judgement call:

Recent Catalysts for MARA

3 data points sit outside the score itself but bear on MARA Holdings, Inc.'s next few quarters. They are reported here as observations, not predictions:

Wall Street consensus target is $17.99 (+59.0% from current price), based on 11 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.
Institutional ownership at 75.8% — strong smart-money backing.

MARA vs. MKTX, GOLD, FUTU, TIGR

Compared against other Capital Markets companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to MARA.

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
MARA $11.31 $4.37B -26.7% -105.6%
MKTX $163.40 $5.75B 19.3x -0.5% 35.2% 23.1%
GOLD $44.60 $1.30B 15.3x 99.2% 0.3% 10.8%
FUTU $121.58 $17.04B 12.1x 35.6% 46.2% 30.5%
TIGR $5.09 $916.31M 10.6x 32.4% 18.4% 13.6%

Main Risks for MARA Investors

5 measurable risks showed up in MARA Holdings, Inc.'s numbers. This is not a complete list of what could go wrong — only what is visible in the data we score:

Revenue Growth (-26.7%)
Return on Equity (-105.6%)
Debt/Equity (1.40)
High beta of 5.34 means the stock is 434% more volatile than the market — expect larger drawdowns in corrections.
High leverage amplifies downside risk if revenue softens or interest rates rise.

MARA Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

MARA Holdings, Inc.'s liquidity and cash generation as of the most recent filing — note the cash position of $421.27M against $2.47B of debt:

Total Cash
$421.27M
Total Debt
$2.47B
Current Ratio
0.89
FCF Yield
-26.7%
EBITDA
$-1,878,727,936
Operating Margin
-265.2%

Figures are drawn from MARA Holdings, Inc.'s most recent balance sheet and cash flow statement as filed with the SEC. See the filings themselves.

MARA Valuation Snapshot

Price / Book
2.6x
Reasonable
PEG Ratio
0.10
Undervalued vs growth
Analyst Target (Mean)
$17.99
Range: $6 – $30
52-Week Price Range — MARA is trading at 28% of its range
$6.66 (52W Low) $23.45 (52W High)

Who Holds MARA? — Institutional 13F Filings

Institutional investment managers with >$100 M in qualifying assets must disclose their equity positions quarterly on SEC Form 13F — typically within 45 days of quarter-end. Search those filings below to see which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers reported MARA as a holding, how many shares they held, and how positions changed quarter over quarter.

Search 13F Filings for MARA Free · no sign-in required · live SEC EDGAR data
What you see free
Which institutions reported MARA, share counts, reported values, and direct links to the SEC filing.
Research Pro adds
Full manager portfolios — every position a fund holds, quarter-over-quarter changes, and concentration weights.
Data limitation
13F shows long equity positions as of the filing date. Short positions, full derivatives, and current intent are not disclosed.

Is MARA a Buy Right Now?

We do not answer that question for you, and we do not publish buy or sell calls. What we publish is a score: MARA rates 38% on our five-factor fundamentals screen, which puts it in the "Caution" band. Everything below explains how it got there so you can disagree with it.

38% · Caution band

MARA Holdings, Inc. falls short on several of the measures we weight most heavily. Specifically: revenue growth (-26.7%), return on equity (-105.6%). A low score reflects reported fundamentals only — it says nothing about the share price or about turnarounds already underway but not yet in the filings.

MARA Earnings & Revenue Outlook

MARA Holdings, Inc. reported revenue decline of -26.7% year over year, against a Capital Markets peer set where scale and pricing power vary widely. A shrinking top line is a direct drag on the score, and it raises the bar for everything else in the model.

Track upcoming report dates on our earnings calendar.

MARA Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

This is a fundamentals outlook, not a price target — we do not publish one. It describes what MARA Holdings, Inc.'s current financials imply about the next three to twelve months if the trends in them hold.

Cautious: The score is weighed down by revenue growth (-26.7%) and return on equity (-105.6%). A recovery in those specific figures, rather than a move in the share price, is what would change this view.

Bull Case for MARA

These are the MARA Holdings, Inc. figures that push the score up, taken straight from the most recent reported financials:

  • Gross Margin (40.1%)

Bear Case & Risks for MARA

These are the figures working against MARA in the same model:

  • Revenue Growth (-26.7%)
  • Return on Equity (-105.6%)
  • Debt/Equity (1.40)

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Guides to the specific measures used in this MARA analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

How the financial statements behind this page fit together.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why MARA's -105.6% return on equity matters for stock selection.

Stock Valuation Methods

How DCF, multiples and asset-based approaches value a company like MARA Holdings, Inc..

How to Read Earnings Reports

Where the MARA growth and margin figures on this page come from.

What Are Demand Zones?

The technical side we deliberately keep out of the MARA score.

Related Tools for MARA

Demand Zone Analyzer MARA Live Chart MARA SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

MARA SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for MARA explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

Loading recent SEC filings…
View all MARA SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about MARA

Is MARA a good buy right now?
We do not issue buy or sell calls. MARA has a Strong Buy Score of 38% (Caution), which is a fundamentals rating, not a recommendation. That is at the weak end of our range, so the fundamentals warrant a close read before MARA goes on a shortlist. The score is helped most by gross margin (40.1%). It is held back most by revenue growth (-26.7%). Read how scores work to see what each input contributes.
What is the MARA stock forecast for 2026?
We publish a fundamentals outlook rather than a price target. For 2026 the MARA view rests on revenue growth of -26.7% and a net margin of 0.0%, which together produce the 38% Strong Buy Score. Our methodology explains how those inputs are weighted.
What are key support and resistance levels for MARA?
Support and resistance are technical levels, so they are not part of the fundamentals score. You can see current MARA demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our demand zones page. With MARA at $11.31, the tool shows how far the stock sits from the nearest zone.
Which companies are MARA's closest peers?
On this page MARA is compared with MKTX, GOLD, FUTU, TIGR. Compared against other Capital Markets companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to MARA. The table puts MARA's a gross margin of 40.1%, an ROE of -105.6%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.40 next to the same figures for each peer.
What is MARA Holdings, Inc.'s market cap and P/E ratio?
As of September 04, 2026, MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) has a market cap of $4.37B. Valuation is one of the inputs to the Strong Buy Score, alongside growth, margins, capital efficiency and balance-sheet strength.
Where does the MARA data on this page come from?
Company financials come from MARA Holdings, Inc.'s own filings with the SEC, with prices and consensus estimates from market data feeds; the figures on this page were last refreshed on September 04, 2026. Our data sources page lists every provider and how often each one is updated.
Is the MARA analysis PDF report free?
Your first MARA report is free and does not require a card. The score on this page is a five-factor screen; the report runs the deeper eight-section analysis, adding moat, free cash flow, share dilution and valuation work that is not on this page. Further reports are covered by a subscription; see pricing for the current plans.

This MARA analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.