MGM Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

MGM Resorts International Consumer Cyclical Resorts & Casinos
$39.20
Current Price
60%
Hold
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Data refreshed: April 22, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$10.72B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
51.6x
P/E Forward
16.9x
Revenue Growth
6.0%
Gross Margin
44.4%
Net Margin
1.2%
Return on Equity
14.9%
Debt/Equity
9.63

AI Analysis Summary

MGM Resorts International (MGM) is a Consumer Cyclical company in the Resorts & Casinos industry with a 60% Hold Score. Key strengths include Gross Margin (44.4%), Return on Equity (14.9%). Areas to watch: Debt/Equity (9.63). Our AI evaluates 8 fundamental categories including revenue growth, margin quality, balance sheet strength, cash flow generation, return on capital, and valuation metrics.

Revenue Growth: Moderate Gross Margin: Good Net Margin: Thin Return on Equity: Good Debt/Equity: High Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

MGM Fundamental Analysis Report
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60%
Strong Buy Score
  • 8 Fundamental Categories Analyzed
  • Revenue & Growth Trends
  • Margin & Profitability Analysis
  • Balance Sheet Strength
  • Cash Flow Quality
  • Valuation Assessment
  • AI-Powered Investment Insights
Get Your Free MGM Report

How It Works: AI Stock Analysis in 60 Seconds

See how our AI analyzes MGM fundamentals to generate buy/sell signals and Strong Buy Scores.

Why MGM Has a 60% Score

Our AI evaluates MGM Resorts International's fundamentals across multiple dimensions. Here is what is driving the current Hold rating:

Recent Catalysts for MGM

Key developments and data points that may impact MGM Resorts International's trajectory:

Earnings grew 115.7% — accelerating profitability could drive re-rating.
Wall Street consensus target is $42.83 (+9.3% from current price), based on 18 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.
Institutional ownership at 72.5% — strong smart-money backing.

MGM vs. Peers

How MGM Resorts International stacks up against comparable Consumer Cyclical companies on key metrics:

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
MGM $39.20 $10.72B 51.6x 6.0% 1.2% 14.9%
AMZN $249.91 $2.69T 34.9x 13.6% 10.8% 22.3%
TSLA $391.14 $1.47T 362.2x -3.1% 4.0% 4.9%
HD $343.38 $342.02B 24.1x -3.8% 8.6% 145.5%
NKE $46.78 $69.28B 30.8x 0.1% 4.8% 16.0%

Main Risks for MGM Investors

Every investment carries risk. Here are the specific risk factors our analysis identified for MGM Resorts International:

Debt/Equity (9.63)
High beta of 1.35 means the stock is 35% more volatile than the market — expect larger drawdowns in corrections.
Trailing P/E of 51.6x prices in significant growth — any miss could trigger a sharp selloff.
Short interest is elevated with a 4.9-day cover ratio, indicating bearish bets against the stock.
High leverage amplifies downside risk if revenue softens or interest rates rise.

Generate the full PDF report for a detailed risk-reward framework and bear-case scenarios.

MGM Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

A snapshot of MGM Resorts International's financial health based on the most recent filings:

Total Cash
$2.27B
Total Debt
$31.55B
Current Ratio
1.23
FCF Yield
4.5%
EBITDA
$2.35B
Operating Margin
7.1%

Data sourced from the latest SEC filings. Generate the full PDF report for detailed balance sheet and cash flow commentary.

MGM Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
51.6x
High expectations
Forward P/E
16.9x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
4.2x
Premium
PEG Ratio
1.07
Fairly valued
Analyst Target (Mean)
$42.83
Range: $30 – $62
52-Week Price Range — MGM is trading at 89% of its range
$29.19 (52W Low) $40.46 (52W High)

Is MGM a Buy Right Now?

Based on our AI-powered fundamental analysis, MGM has a Strong Buy Score of 60%, earning a "Hold" rating. This score synthesizes 8 key financial metrics to provide an objective investment signal.

Moderate Buy Signal

MGM Resorts International shows mixed fundamentals with some strengths and areas to monitor. Positives include Gross Margin (44.4%). Watch for Debt/Equity (9.63).

MGM AI Buy & Sell Signals Explained

Our AI analyzes MGM Resorts International's financial statements to generate buy/sell signals based on quantitative metrics, not market sentiment or news headlines. Here's what drives the 60% score:

  • Revenue Growth: 6.0% year-over-year (positive)
  • Gross Margin: 44.4% (strong pricing power)
  • Net Margin: 1.2% (profitable)
  • Return on Equity: 14.9% (positive returns)

Generate the full PDF report for complete category-by-category scoring and AI-powered investment recommendations.

Key Support / Demand Zones

Technical traders can view real-time demand and supply zones for MGM on our Demand Zones page. These zones identify key price levels where institutional buying or selling has historically occurred.

With MGM currently trading at $39.20, our system monitors proximity to these critical levels and can alert you when the stock approaches support or resistance zones.

Subscribe to demand zone alerts to receive real-time notifications when MGM reaches key technical levels.

Earnings & Revenue Outlook

MGM Resorts International operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically in Resorts & Casinos. Understanding earnings trends is crucial for forecasting MGM's trajectory.

Current revenue growth of 6.0% exceeds the average company.

Visit our Earnings Calendar to track upcoming MGM earnings dates and historical beat/miss patterns. Sign up for earnings alerts to get notified before announcements.

MGM Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

Our AI projects MGM's trajectory based on current fundamentals and historical patterns. With a 60% Strong Buy Score, here's what the data suggests:

Mixed Outlook: MGM Resorts International shows moderate fundamental strength. Revenue growth at 6.0% is positive but warrants monitoring. The stock may trade sideways or experience modest gains depending on execution and market conditions.

For a complete 12-month price forecast with specific bull/bear scenarios, generate the full PDF report.

Valuation Metrics (P/E, Growth, Margins)

Understanding valuation is critical for determining if MGM is fairly priced. Here's the current snapshot:

  • Market Capitalization: $10.72B
  • P/E Ratio (TTM): 51.6x (high expectations)
  • Forward P/E: 16.9x (based on analyst estimates)
  • Debt/Equity: 9.63 (higher leverage)

Our AI weighs these metrics against growth rates and margin quality to determine if MGM offers compelling risk-adjusted returns at current prices.

Bull Case for MGM

Here's why investors are bullish on MGM Resorts International:

  • Gross Margin (44.4%)
  • Return on Equity (14.9%)

While these positives exist, investors should weigh them against the risks outlined in the bear case below.

Bear Case & Risks for MGM

Every investment carries risk. Here are potential concerns for MGM investors:

  • Debt/Equity (9.63)

The full PDF report includes a detailed bear case analysis with specific risk ratings for each category.

Summary / 12-Month Outlook

MGM Summary: MGM Resorts International earns a 60% Hold Score based on AI analysis of fundamental data. Trading at $39.20 with a $10.72B market cap, the stock presents a balanced risk/reward profile for the coming year.

Bull Case: Gross Margin (44.4%), Return on Equity (14.9%)

Watch: Debt/Equity (9.63)

For the complete analysis with specific price considerations, growth projections, and AI-powered buy/hold/sell recommendations, generate your free MGM PDF report.

Learn More About Stock Analysis

Deepen your understanding of the concepts used in this MGM analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

Learn how to evaluate stocks using financial statements and key metrics.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What P/E ratio tells you about a stock's valuation and growth expectations.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why ROE matters for stock selection and how to interpret it.

Stock Valuation Methods

Compare DCF, P/E, and other approaches to value stocks like MGM.

What Are Demand Zones?

Find key support and resistance levels for MGM and other stocks.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Understand earnings per share, revenue surprises, and guidance.

Related Tools for MGM

Demand Zone Analyzer MGM Live Chart MGM SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

MGM SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for MGM explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

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View all MGM SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about MGM

Is MGM a good buy right now?
MGM currently has a Strong Buy Score of 60% (Hold). MGM shows moderate buy signals. The stock has mixed fundamentals worth reviewing in detail. Generate a free PDF report for specific buy/hold/sell recommendations.
What is the MGM stock forecast for 2026?
Our AI forecasts MGM based on current fundamentals: revenue growth of 6.0%, net margin of 1.2%, and P/E of 51.6x. The 60% Strong Buy Score reflects our outlook combining growth trajectory, margin quality, and valuation. See the full 12-month projection in your PDF report.
What are key support and resistance levels for MGM?
View real-time MGM demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our Demand Zones page. With MGM currently at $39.20, you can see how close the stock is to key technical levels. Subscribe to get alerts when MGM approaches these zones.
How do MGM fundamentals compare to peers?
MGM Resorts International operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Key metrics for peer comparison: Gross margin 44.4%, ROE 14.9%, Debt/Equity 9.63. The 60% Strong Buy Score factors in how these metrics stack up against industry averages. Data is refreshed daily.
Is the MGM analysis PDF report free?
Yes! Your first MGM fundamental analysis report is completely free with no credit card required. The PDF includes the full Strong Buy Score breakdown, all 8 fundamental categories analyzed, AI-powered insights, and specific investment recommendations. Additional reports are available through our subscription plans starting at $24/month.
What is MGM Resorts International's market cap and P/E ratio?
MGM Resorts International (MGM) has a market cap of $10.72B and a trailing P/E ratio of 51.6x (forward P/E: 16.9x). These valuation metrics are key factors in our Strong Buy Score calculation. See all metrics in the PDF report for comprehensive valuation analysis.

This MGM analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.