UPST Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

Upstart Holdings, Inc. Financial Services Credit Services
$34.57
Current Price
68%
Buy
View Plans
Data refreshed: April 20, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$3.31B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
76.8x
P/E Forward
10.9x
Revenue Growth
34.4%
Gross Margin
82.5%
Net Margin
5.0%
Return on Equity
7.5%
Debt/Equity
2.37

AI Analysis Summary

Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) is a Financial Services company in the Credit Services industry with a 68% Buy Score. Key strengths include Revenue Growth (34.4%), Gross Margin (82.5%). Areas to watch: Debt/Equity (2.37). Our AI evaluates 8 fundamental categories including revenue growth, margin quality, balance sheet strength, cash flow generation, return on capital, and valuation metrics.

Revenue Growth: Strong Gross Margin: Excellent Net Margin: Thin Return on Equity: Low Debt/Equity: High Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

UPST Fundamental Analysis Report
PDF Report Preview
68%
Strong Buy Score
  • 8 Fundamental Categories Analyzed
  • Revenue & Growth Trends
  • Margin & Profitability Analysis
  • Balance Sheet Strength
  • Cash Flow Quality
  • Valuation Assessment
  • AI-Powered Investment Insights
Get Your Free UPST Report

How It Works: AI Stock Analysis in 60 Seconds

See how our AI analyzes UPST fundamentals to generate buy/sell signals and Strong Buy Scores.

Why UPST Has a 68% Score

Our AI evaluates Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals across multiple dimensions. Here is what is driving the current Buy rating:

Recent Catalysts for UPST

Key developments and data points that may impact Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s trajectory:

Wall Street consensus target is $43.93 (+27.1% from current price), based on 15 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.
Institutional ownership at 67.9% — strong smart-money backing.
Short ratio of 5.4 days to cover — elevated short interest could fuel a squeeze on positive news.

UPST vs. Peers

How Upstart Holdings, Inc. stacks up against comparable Financial Services companies on key metrics:

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
UPST $34.57 $3.31B 76.8x 34.4% 5.0% 7.5%
JPM $310.29 $836.86B 14.9x 12.7% 33.9% 16.5%
BAC $53.91 $385.23B 13.4x 11.8% 29.0% 10.6%
WFC $81.41 $250.33B 12.6x 5.7% 26.7% 12.0%
GS $925.95 $274.78B 16.9x 14.5% 29.4% 14.6%

Main Risks for UPST Investors

Every investment carries risk. Here are the specific risk factors our analysis identified for Upstart Holdings, Inc.:

Debt/Equity (2.37)
High beta of 2.16 means the stock is 116% more volatile than the market — expect larger drawdowns in corrections.
Trailing P/E of 76.8x prices in significant growth — any miss could trigger a sharp selloff.
Short interest is elevated with a 5.4-day cover ratio, indicating bearish bets against the stock.
High leverage amplifies downside risk if revenue softens or interest rates rise.

Generate the full PDF report for a detailed risk-reward framework and bear-case scenarios.

UPST Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

A snapshot of Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s financial health based on the most recent filings:

Total Cash
$657.67M
Total Debt
$1.90B
Current Ratio
13.10
FCF Yield
-8.3%
EBITDA
$99.13M
Operating Margin
8.9%

Data sourced from the latest SEC filings. Generate the full PDF report for detailed balance sheet and cash flow commentary.

UPST Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
76.8x
High expectations
Forward P/E
10.9x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
4.2x
Premium
Analyst Target (Mean)
$43.93
Range: $20 – $80
52-Week Price Range — UPST is trading at 17% of its range
$23.96 (52W Low) $87.30 (52W High)

Is UPST a Buy Right Now?

Based on our AI-powered fundamental analysis, UPST has a Strong Buy Score of 68%, earning a "Buy" rating. This score synthesizes 8 key financial metrics to provide an objective investment signal.

Moderate Buy Signal

Upstart Holdings, Inc. shows mixed fundamentals with some strengths and areas to monitor. Positives include Revenue Growth (34.4%). Watch for Debt/Equity (2.37).

UPST AI Buy & Sell Signals Explained

Our AI analyzes Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s financial statements to generate buy/sell signals based on quantitative metrics, not market sentiment or news headlines. Here's what drives the 68% score:

  • Revenue Growth: 34.4% year-over-year (above average)
  • Gross Margin: 82.5% (strong pricing power)
  • Net Margin: 5.0% (profitable)
  • Return on Equity: 7.5% (positive returns)

Generate the full PDF report for complete category-by-category scoring and AI-powered investment recommendations.

Key Support / Demand Zones

Technical traders can view real-time demand and supply zones for UPST on our Demand Zones page. These zones identify key price levels where institutional buying or selling has historically occurred.

With UPST currently trading at $34.57, our system monitors proximity to these critical levels and can alert you when the stock approaches support or resistance zones.

Subscribe to demand zone alerts to receive real-time notifications when UPST reaches key technical levels.

Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Upstart Holdings, Inc. operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically in Credit Services. Understanding earnings trends is crucial for forecasting UPST's trajectory.

Current revenue growth of 34.4% significantly outpaces the average company. This strong growth trajectory supports a higher valuation multiple.

Visit our Earnings Calendar to track upcoming UPST earnings dates and historical beat/miss patterns. Sign up for earnings alerts to get notified before announcements.

UPST Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

Our AI projects UPST's trajectory based on current fundamentals and historical patterns. With a 68% Strong Buy Score, here's what the data suggests:

Mixed Outlook: Upstart Holdings, Inc. shows moderate fundamental strength. Revenue growth at 34.4% is positive but warrants monitoring. The stock may trade sideways or experience modest gains depending on execution and market conditions.

For a complete 12-month price forecast with specific bull/bear scenarios, generate the full PDF report.

Valuation Metrics (P/E, Growth, Margins)

Understanding valuation is critical for determining if UPST is fairly priced. Here's the current snapshot:

  • Market Capitalization: $3.31B
  • P/E Ratio (TTM): 76.8x (high expectations)
  • Forward P/E: 10.9x (based on analyst estimates)
  • Debt/Equity: 2.37 (higher leverage)

Our AI weighs these metrics against growth rates and margin quality to determine if UPST offers compelling risk-adjusted returns at current prices.

Bull Case for UPST

Here's why investors are bullish on Upstart Holdings, Inc.:

  • Revenue Growth (34.4%)
  • Gross Margin (82.5%)

While these positives exist, investors should weigh them against the risks outlined in the bear case below.

Bear Case & Risks for UPST

Every investment carries risk. Here are potential concerns for UPST investors:

  • Debt/Equity (2.37)

The full PDF report includes a detailed bear case analysis with specific risk ratings for each category.

Summary / 12-Month Outlook

UPST Summary: Upstart Holdings, Inc. earns a 68% Buy Score based on AI analysis of fundamental data. Trading at $34.57 with a $3.31B market cap, the stock presents a balanced risk/reward profile for the coming year.

Bull Case: Revenue Growth (34.4%), Gross Margin (82.5%)

Watch: Debt/Equity (2.37)

For the complete analysis with specific price considerations, growth projections, and AI-powered buy/hold/sell recommendations, generate your free UPST PDF report.

Learn More About Stock Analysis

Deepen your understanding of the concepts used in this UPST analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

Learn how to evaluate stocks using financial statements and key metrics.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What P/E ratio tells you about a stock's valuation and growth expectations.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why ROE matters for stock selection and how to interpret it.

Stock Valuation Methods

Compare DCF, P/E, and other approaches to value stocks like UPST.

What Are Demand Zones?

Find key support and resistance levels for UPST and other stocks.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Understand earnings per share, revenue surprises, and guidance.

Related Tools for UPST

Demand Zone Analyzer UPST Live Chart Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

Frequently Asked Questions about UPST

Is UPST a good buy right now?
UPST currently has a Strong Buy Score of 68% (Buy). UPST shows moderate buy signals. The stock has mixed fundamentals worth reviewing in detail. Generate a free PDF report for specific buy/hold/sell recommendations.
What is the UPST stock forecast for 2026?
Our AI forecasts UPST based on current fundamentals: revenue growth of 34.4%, net margin of 5.0%, and P/E of 76.8x. The 68% Strong Buy Score reflects our outlook combining growth trajectory, margin quality, and valuation. See the full 12-month projection in your PDF report.
What are key support and resistance levels for UPST?
View real-time UPST demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our Demand Zones page. With UPST currently at $34.57, you can see how close the stock is to key technical levels. Subscribe to get alerts when UPST approaches these zones.
How do UPST fundamentals compare to peers?
Upstart Holdings, Inc. operates in the Financial Services sector. Key metrics for peer comparison: Gross margin 82.5%, ROE 7.5%, Debt/Equity 2.37. The 68% Strong Buy Score factors in how these metrics stack up against industry averages. Data is refreshed daily.
Is the UPST analysis PDF report free?
Yes! Your first UPST fundamental analysis report is completely free with no credit card required. The PDF includes the full Strong Buy Score breakdown, all 8 fundamental categories analyzed, AI-powered insights, and specific investment recommendations. Additional reports are available through our subscription plans starting at $24/month.
What is Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s market cap and P/E ratio?
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) has a market cap of $3.31B and a trailing P/E ratio of 76.8x (forward P/E: 10.9x). These valuation metrics are key factors in our Strong Buy Score calculation. See all metrics in the PDF report for comprehensive valuation analysis.

This UPST analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.