XOM Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

Exxon Mobil Corporation Energy Oil & Gas Integrated
$149.01
Current Price
59%
Hold
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Data refreshed: April 16, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$619.37B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
22.2x
P/E Forward
15.0x
Revenue Growth
-1.3%
Gross Margin
31.0%
Net Margin
8.9%
Return on Equity
11.1%
Debt/Equity
0.19

AI Analysis Summary

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is a Energy company in the Oil & Gas Integrated industry with a 59% Hold Score. Key strengths include Debt/Equity (0.19). Areas to watch: Revenue Growth (-1.3%). Our AI evaluates 8 fundamental categories including revenue growth, margin quality, balance sheet strength, cash flow generation, return on capital, and valuation metrics.

Revenue Growth: Weak Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Thin Return on Equity: Low Debt/Equity: Low Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

XOM Fundamental Analysis Report
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59%
Strong Buy Score
  • 8 Fundamental Categories Analyzed
  • Revenue & Growth Trends
  • Margin & Profitability Analysis
  • Balance Sheet Strength
  • Cash Flow Quality
  • Valuation Assessment
  • AI-Powered Investment Insights
Get Your Free XOM Report

How It Works: AI Stock Analysis in 60 Seconds

See how our AI analyzes XOM fundamentals to generate buy/sell signals and Strong Buy Scores.

Why XOM Has a 59% Score

Our AI evaluates Exxon Mobil Corporation's fundamentals across multiple dimensions. Here is what is driving the current Hold rating:

Recent Catalysts for XOM

Key developments and data points that may impact Exxon Mobil Corporation's trajectory:

Earnings declined -11.0% — watch for stabilization in coming quarters.
Wall Street consensus target is $164.12 (+10.1% from current price), based on 24 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.
Institutional ownership at 67.6% — strong smart-money backing.
Dividend yield of 2.76% provides income while you wait for capital appreciation.

XOM vs. Peers

How Exxon Mobil Corporation stacks up against comparable Energy companies on key metrics:

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
XOM $149.01 $619.37B 22.2x -1.3% 8.9% 11.1%
AAPL $266.43 $3.92T 33.7x 15.7% 27.0% 152.0%
MSFT $411.22 $3.06T 25.7x 16.7% 39.0% 34.4%
GOOGL $337.12 $4.08T 31.2x 18.0% 32.8% 35.7%
AMZN $248.50 $2.67T 34.6x 13.6% 10.8% 22.3%

Main Risks for XOM Investors

Every investment carries risk. Here are the specific risk factors our analysis identified for Exxon Mobil Corporation:

Revenue Growth (-1.3%)
Low beta of 0.29 suggests limited upside participation in bull markets.

Generate the full PDF report for a detailed risk-reward framework and bear-case scenarios.

XOM Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

A snapshot of Exxon Mobil Corporation's financial health based on the most recent filings:

Total Cash
$10.68B
Total Debt
$50.49B
Current Ratio
1.15
FCF Yield
2.0%
EBITDA
$59.39B
Operating Margin
9.5%

Data sourced from the latest SEC filings. Generate the full PDF report for detailed balance sheet and cash flow commentary.

XOM Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
22.2x
Fairly valued
Forward P/E
15.0x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
2.4x
Reasonable
Analyst Target (Mean)
$164.12
Range: $123 – $195
Dividend Yield
2.76%
5Y avg: 3.81%
52-Week Price Range — XOM is trading at 64% of its range
$101.19 (52W Low) $176.41 (52W High)

Is XOM a Buy Right Now?

Based on our AI-powered fundamental analysis, XOM has a Strong Buy Score of 59%, earning a "Hold" rating. This score synthesizes 8 key financial metrics to provide an objective investment signal.

Moderate Buy Signal

Exxon Mobil Corporation shows mixed fundamentals with some strengths and areas to monitor. Positives include Debt/Equity (0.19). Watch for Revenue Growth (-1.3%).

XOM AI Buy & Sell Signals Explained

Our AI analyzes Exxon Mobil Corporation's financial statements to generate buy/sell signals based on quantitative metrics, not market sentiment or news headlines. Here's what drives the 59% score:

  • Revenue Growth: -1.3% year-over-year (declining)
  • Gross Margin: 31.0% (healthy)
  • Net Margin: 8.9% (profitable)
  • Return on Equity: 11.1% (positive returns)

Generate the full PDF report for complete category-by-category scoring and AI-powered investment recommendations.

Key Support / Demand Zones

Technical traders can view real-time demand and supply zones for XOM on our Demand Zones page. These zones identify key price levels where institutional buying or selling has historically occurred.

With XOM currently trading at $149.01, our system monitors proximity to these critical levels and can alert you when the stock approaches support or resistance zones.

Subscribe to demand zone alerts to receive real-time notifications when XOM reaches key technical levels.

Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Exxon Mobil Corporation operates in the Energy sector, specifically in Oil & Gas Integrated. Understanding earnings trends is crucial for forecasting XOM's trajectory.

Current revenue growth of -1.3% trails the average company.

Visit our Earnings Calendar to track upcoming XOM earnings dates and historical beat/miss patterns. Sign up for earnings alerts to get notified before announcements.

XOM Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

Our AI projects XOM's trajectory based on current fundamentals and historical patterns. With a 59% Strong Buy Score, here's what the data suggests:

Mixed Outlook: Exxon Mobil Corporation shows moderate fundamental strength. Revenue growth at -1.3% and warrants monitoring. The stock may trade sideways or experience modest gains depending on execution and market conditions.

For a complete 12-month price forecast with specific bull/bear scenarios, generate the full PDF report.

Valuation Metrics (P/E, Growth, Margins)

Understanding valuation is critical for determining if XOM is fairly priced. Here's the current snapshot:

  • Market Capitalization: $619.37B
  • P/E Ratio (TTM): 22.2x (fairly valued)
  • Forward P/E: 15.0x (based on analyst estimates)
  • Debt/Equity: 0.19 (conservative balance sheet)

Our AI weighs these metrics against growth rates and margin quality to determine if XOM offers compelling risk-adjusted returns at current prices.

Bull Case for XOM

Here's why investors are bullish on Exxon Mobil Corporation:

  • Debt/Equity (0.19)

While these positives exist, investors should weigh them against the risks outlined in the bear case below.

Bear Case & Risks for XOM

Every investment carries risk. Here are potential concerns for XOM investors:

  • Revenue Growth (-1.3%)

The full PDF report includes a detailed bear case analysis with specific risk ratings for each category.

Summary / 12-Month Outlook

XOM Summary: Exxon Mobil Corporation earns a 59% Hold Score based on AI analysis of fundamental data. Trading at $149.01 with a $619.37B market cap, the stock presents a balanced risk/reward profile for the coming year.

Bull Case: Debt/Equity (0.19)

Watch: Revenue Growth (-1.3%)

For the complete analysis with specific price considerations, growth projections, and AI-powered buy/hold/sell recommendations, generate your free XOM PDF report.

Learn More About Stock Analysis

Deepen your understanding of the concepts used in this XOM analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

Learn how to evaluate stocks using financial statements and key metrics.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What P/E ratio tells you about a stock's valuation and growth expectations.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why ROE matters for stock selection and how to interpret it.

Stock Valuation Methods

Compare DCF, P/E, and other approaches to value stocks like XOM.

What Are Demand Zones?

Find key support and resistance levels for XOM and other stocks.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Understand earnings per share, revenue surprises, and guidance.

Related Tools for XOM

Demand Zone Analyzer XOM Live Chart Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

Frequently Asked Questions about XOM

Is XOM a good buy right now?
XOM currently has a Strong Buy Score of 59% (Hold). XOM shows moderate buy signals. The stock has mixed fundamentals worth reviewing in detail. Generate a free PDF report for specific buy/hold/sell recommendations.
What is the XOM stock forecast for 2026?
Our AI forecasts XOM based on current fundamentals: revenue growth of -1.3%, net margin of 8.9%, and P/E of 22.2x. The 59% Strong Buy Score reflects our outlook combining growth trajectory, margin quality, and valuation. See the full 12-month projection in your PDF report.
What are key support and resistance levels for XOM?
View real-time XOM demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our Demand Zones page. With XOM currently at $149.01, you can see how close the stock is to key technical levels. Subscribe to get alerts when XOM approaches these zones.
How do XOM fundamentals compare to peers?
Exxon Mobil Corporation operates in the Energy sector. Key metrics for peer comparison: Gross margin 31.0%, ROE 11.1%, Debt/Equity 0.19. The 59% Strong Buy Score factors in how these metrics stack up against industry averages. Data is refreshed daily.
Is the XOM analysis PDF report free?
Yes! Your first XOM fundamental analysis report is completely free with no credit card required. The PDF includes the full Strong Buy Score breakdown, all 8 fundamental categories analyzed, AI-powered insights, and specific investment recommendations. Additional reports are available through our subscription plans starting at $24/month.
What is Exxon Mobil Corporation's market cap and P/E ratio?
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has a market cap of $619.37B and a trailing P/E ratio of 22.2x (forward P/E: 15.0x). These valuation metrics are key factors in our Strong Buy Score calculation. See all metrics in the PDF report for comprehensive valuation analysis.

This XOM analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.