XOM Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation Energy Oil & Gas Integrated
$159.03
Current Price
80%
Strong Buy
View Plans
Data refreshed: August 31, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$653.92B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
20.5x
P/E Forward
14.9x
Revenue Growth
44.1%
Gross Margin
29.8%
Net Margin
9.1%
Return on Equity
12.6%
Debt/Equity
0.16

AI Analysis Summary

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (XOM) is a Energy company in the Oil & Gas Integrated industry with a 80% Strong Buy Score. Key strengths include Revenue Growth (44.1%), Return on Equity (12.6%), Debt/Equity (0.16). The score on this page is a five-factor screen — revenue growth, gross margin, net margin, return on equity and debt-to-equity — each scored against fixed thresholds from a neutral starting point of 50%. The eight-section analysis, including moat, free cash flow, dilution and valuation, runs in the full report.

Revenue Growth: Strong Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Thin Return on Equity: Good Debt/Equity: Low Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

Why XOM Has a 80% Score

4 of the inputs in our model moved XOM's score away from the neutral baseline of 50%, landing it at 80% (Strong Buy). Each one below is a specific figure from ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation's reported financials, not a judgement call:

Recent Catalysts for XOM

5 data points sit outside the score itself but bear on ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation's next few quarters. They are reported here as observations, not predictions:

Earnings grew 112.8% — accelerating profitability could drive re-rating.
Wall Street consensus target is $169.68 (+6.7% from current price), based on 22 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.
Institutional ownership at 67.0% — strong smart-money backing.
Dividend yield of 2.63% provides income while you wait for capital appreciation.

XOM vs. CVX, COP, MPC, VLO

Compared against the Oil & Gas Integrated companies we cover, topped up with the closest Energy names by market capitalisation.

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
XOM $159.03 $653.92B 20.5x 44.1% 9.1% 12.6%
CVX $204.31 $400.78B 19.6x 53.5% 9.8% 12.2%
COP $131.21 $157.62B 17.4x 35.5% 14.4% 14.2%
MPC $367.48 $103.20B 12.7x 53.7% 5.5% 42.1%
VLO $351.65 $101.25B 14.7x 51.7% 5.4% 27.6%

Main Risks for XOM Investors

1 measurable risk showed up in ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation's numbers. This is not a complete list of what could go wrong — only what is visible in the data we score:

Low beta of 0.17 suggests limited upside participation in bull markets.

XOM Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation's liquidity and cash generation as of the most recent filing — note the cash position of $10.59B against $42.37B of debt:

Total Cash
$10.59B
Total Debt
$42.37B
Current Ratio
1.14
FCF Yield
3.2%
EBITDA
$67.94B
Operating Margin
15.9%

Figures are drawn from ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation's most recent balance sheet and cash flow statement as filed with the SEC. See the filings themselves.

XOM Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
20.5x
Fairly valued
Forward P/E
14.9x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
2.5x
Reasonable
PEG Ratio
1.22
Fairly valued
Analyst Target (Mean)
$169.68
Range: $142 – $200
Dividend Yield
2.63%
5Y avg: 3.70%
52-Week Price Range — XOM is trading at 74% of its range
$108.35 (52W Low) $176.41 (52W High)

Who Holds XOM? — Institutional 13F Filings

Institutional investment managers with >$100 M in qualifying assets must disclose their equity positions quarterly on SEC Form 13F — typically within 45 days of quarter-end. Search those filings below to see which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers reported XOM as a holding, how many shares they held, and how positions changed quarter over quarter.

Search 13F Filings for XOM Free · no sign-in required · live SEC EDGAR data
What you see free
Which institutions reported XOM, share counts, reported values, and direct links to the SEC filing.
Research Pro adds
Full manager portfolios — every position a fund holds, quarter-over-quarter changes, and concentration weights.
Data limitation
13F shows long equity positions as of the filing date. Short positions, full derivatives, and current intent are not disclosed.

Is XOM a Buy Right Now?

We do not answer that question for you, and we do not publish buy or sell calls. What we publish is a score: XOM rates 80% on our five-factor fundamentals screen, which puts it in the "Strong Buy" band. Everything below explains how it got there so you can disagree with it.

80% · Strong Buy band

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation clears our thresholds on most of what we measure. The strongest readings are revenue growth (44.1%) and return on equity (12.6%). Nothing in the data we score currently works against it.

XOM Earnings & Revenue Outlook

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation reported revenue growth of 44.1% year over year, against a Oil & Gas Integrated peer set where scale and pricing power vary widely. Growth at that level is the single largest positive contributor to the XOM score.

Earnings grew 112.8% over the same period, outpacing revenue — a sign of operating leverage.

Track upcoming report dates on our earnings calendar.

XOM Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

This is a fundamentals outlook, not a price target — we do not publish one. It describes what ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation's current financials imply about the next three to twelve months if the trends in them hold.

Constructive: Revenue growth of 44.1% gives XOM room to grow into its multiple. The main thing to watch over the next few quarters is whether those figures hold; the score is built on trailing data and will move if they do not.

Bull Case for XOM

These are the ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation figures that push the score up, taken straight from the most recent reported financials:

  • Revenue Growth (44.1%)
  • Return on Equity (12.6%)
  • Debt/Equity (0.16)

Learn More About Stock Analysis

Free 14-Min Course
Instructor
StrongBuy Analytics
Fundamental Research Team
How to Read Your Research Report
★★★★★ 4.9 rating
14Min
15Chapters
FreeNo sign-up

See how every metric on this XOM page — quality score, valuation, DCF scenarios, confidence, and data limitations — fits into a professional research report.

Generate My Free XOM Report

Guides to the specific measures used in this XOM analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

How the financial statements behind this page fit together.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What XOM's 20.5x multiple does and does not tell you.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why XOM's 12.6% return on equity matters for stock selection.

Stock Valuation Methods

How DCF, multiples and asset-based approaches value a company like ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Where the XOM growth and margin figures on this page come from.

What Are Demand Zones?

The technical side we deliberately keep out of the XOM score.

Related Tools for XOM

Demand Zone Analyzer XOM Live Chart XOM SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

XOM SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for XOM explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

Loading recent SEC filings…
View all XOM SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about XOM

Is XOM a good buy right now?
We do not issue buy or sell calls. XOM has a Strong Buy Score of 80% (Strong Buy), which is a fundamentals rating, not a recommendation. That is at the strong end of our range: XOM scores well on the fundamentals we weight most heavily. The score is helped most by revenue growth (44.1%). Read how scores work to see what each input contributes.
What is the XOM stock forecast for 2026?
We publish a fundamentals outlook rather than a price target. For 2026 the XOM view rests on revenue growth of 44.1%, a net margin of 9.1% and a trailing P/E of 20.5x, which together produce the 80% Strong Buy Score. Our methodology explains how those inputs are weighted.
What are key support and resistance levels for XOM?
Support and resistance are technical levels, so they are not part of the fundamentals score. You can see current XOM demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our demand zones page. With XOM at $159.03, the tool shows how far the stock sits from the nearest zone.
Which companies are XOM's closest peers?
On this page XOM is compared with CVX, COP, MPC, VLO. Compared against the Oil & Gas Integrated companies we cover, topped up with the closest Energy names by market capitalisation. The table puts XOM's a gross margin of 29.8%, an ROE of 12.6%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16 next to the same figures for each peer.
What is ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation's market cap and P/E ratio?
As of August 31, 2026, ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (XOM) has a market cap of $653.92B, a trailing P/E of 20.5x and a forward P/E of 14.9x. Valuation is one of the inputs to the Strong Buy Score, alongside growth, margins, capital efficiency and balance-sheet strength.
Where does the XOM data on this page come from?
Company financials come from ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation's own filings with the SEC, with prices and consensus estimates from market data feeds; the figures on this page were last refreshed on August 31, 2026. Our data sources page lists every provider and how often each one is updated.
Is the XOM analysis PDF report free?
Your first XOM report is free and does not require a card. The score on this page is a five-factor screen; the report runs the deeper eight-section analysis, adding moat, free cash flow, share dilution and valuation work that is not on this page. Further reports are covered by a subscription; see pricing for the current plans.

This XOM analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.