COST Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

Costco Wholesale Corporation Consumer Defensive Discount Stores
$943.29
Current Price
76%
Buy
View Plans
Data refreshed: August 31, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$418.33B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
47.5x
P/E Forward
41.6x
Revenue Growth
21.5%
Gross Margin
12.9%
Net Margin
3.0%
Return on Equity
29.2%
Debt/Equity
0.60

AI Analysis Summary

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is a Consumer Defensive company in the Discount Stores industry with a 76% Buy Score. Key strengths include Revenue Growth (21.5%), Return on Equity (29.2%). The score on this page is a five-factor screen — revenue growth, gross margin, net margin, return on equity and debt-to-equity — each scored against fixed thresholds from a neutral starting point of 50%. The eight-section analysis, including moat, free cash flow, dilution and valuation, runs in the full report.

Revenue Growth: Strong Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Thin Return on Equity: Excellent Debt/Equity: Elevated

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

Why COST Has a 76% Score

3 of the inputs in our model moved COST's score away from the neutral baseline of 50%, landing it at 76% (Buy). Each one below is a specific figure from Costco Wholesale Corporation's reported financials, not a judgement call:

Recent Catalysts for COST

4 data points sit outside the score itself but bear on Costco Wholesale Corporation's next few quarters. They are reported here as observations, not predictions:

Earnings grew 45.5% — accelerating profitability could drive re-rating.
Wall Street consensus target is $1077.31 (+14.2% from current price), based on 35 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.
Institutional ownership at 74.5% — strong smart-money backing.

COST vs. WMT, TGT, KO, PG

Compared against the Discount Stores companies we cover, topped up with the closest Consumer Defensive names by market capitalisation.

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
COST $943.29 $418.33B 47.5x 21.5% 3.0% 29.2%
WMT $104.57 $832.18B 37.9x 5.9% 3.0% 22.3%
TGT $161.38 $73.31B 16.7x 5.3% 4.1% 26.4%
KO $89.02 $383.01B 26.7x 6.7% 28.6% 42.1%
PG $144.82 $336.64B 21.9x 1.5% 18.4% 30.3%

Main Risks for COST Investors

2 measurable risks showed up in Costco Wholesale Corporation's numbers. This is not a complete list of what could go wrong — only what is visible in the data we score:

Trailing P/E of 47.5x prices in significant growth — any miss could trigger a sharp selloff.
Short interest is elevated with a 3.8-day cover ratio, indicating bearish bets against the stock.

COST Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Costco Wholesale Corporation's liquidity and cash generation as of the most recent filing — note the cash position of $11.13B against $10.23B of debt:

Total Cash
$11.13B
Total Debt
$10.23B
Current Ratio
1.07
FCF Yield
1.7%
EBITDA
$13.79B
Operating Margin
3.7%

Figures are drawn from Costco Wholesale Corporation's most recent balance sheet and cash flow statement as filed with the SEC. See the filings themselves.

COST Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
47.5x
High expectations
Forward P/E
41.6x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
25.3x
High intangible value
PEG Ratio
4.53
Expensive vs growth
Analyst Target (Mean)
$1077.31
Range: $740 – $1315
Dividend Yield
0.62%
5Y avg: 0.59%
52-Week Price Range — COST is trading at 39% of its range
$844.06 (52W Low) $1096.50 (52W High)

Who Holds COST? — Institutional 13F Filings

Institutional investment managers with >$100 M in qualifying assets must disclose their equity positions quarterly on SEC Form 13F — typically within 45 days of quarter-end. Search those filings below to see which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers reported COST as a holding, how many shares they held, and how positions changed quarter over quarter.

Search 13F Filings for COST Free · no sign-in required · live SEC EDGAR data
What you see free
Which institutions reported COST, share counts, reported values, and direct links to the SEC filing.
Research Pro adds
Full manager portfolios — every position a fund holds, quarter-over-quarter changes, and concentration weights.
Data limitation
13F shows long equity positions as of the filing date. Short positions, full derivatives, and current intent are not disclosed.

Is COST a Buy Right Now?

We do not answer that question for you, and we do not publish buy or sell calls. What we publish is a score: COST rates 76% on our five-factor fundamentals screen, which puts it in the "Buy" band. Everything below explains how it got there so you can disagree with it.

76% · Buy band

Costco Wholesale Corporation clears our thresholds on most of what we measure. The strongest readings are revenue growth (21.5%) and return on equity (29.2%). Nothing in the data we score currently works against it.

COST Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Costco Wholesale Corporation reported revenue growth of 21.5% year over year, against a Discount Stores peer set where scale and pricing power vary widely. Growth at that level is the single largest positive contributor to the COST score.

Earnings grew 45.5% over the same period, outpacing revenue — a sign of operating leverage.

Track upcoming report dates on our earnings calendar.

COST Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

This is a fundamentals outlook, not a price target — we do not publish one. It describes what Costco Wholesale Corporation's current financials imply about the next three to twelve months if the trends in them hold.

Constructive: Revenue growth of 21.5% gives COST room to grow into its multiple. The main thing to watch over the next few quarters is whether those figures hold; the score is built on trailing data and will move if they do not.

Bull Case for COST

These are the Costco Wholesale Corporation figures that push the score up, taken straight from the most recent reported financials:

  • Revenue Growth (21.5%)
  • Return on Equity (29.2%)

Learn More About Stock Analysis

Free 14-Min Course
Instructor
StrongBuy Analytics
Fundamental Research Team
How to Read Your Research Report
★★★★★ 4.9 rating
14Min
15Chapters
FreeNo sign-up

See how every metric on this COST page — quality score, valuation, DCF scenarios, confidence, and data limitations — fits into a professional research report.

Generate My Free COST Report

Guides to the specific measures used in this COST analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

How the financial statements behind this page fit together.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What COST's 47.5x multiple does and does not tell you.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why COST's 29.2% return on equity matters for stock selection.

Stock Valuation Methods

How DCF, multiples and asset-based approaches value a company like Costco Wholesale Corporation.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Where the COST growth and margin figures on this page come from.

What Are Demand Zones?

The technical side we deliberately keep out of the COST score.

Related Tools for COST

Demand Zone Analyzer COST Live Chart COST SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

COST SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for COST explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

Loading recent SEC filings…
View all COST SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about COST

Is COST a good buy right now?
We do not issue buy or sell calls. COST has a Strong Buy Score of 76% (Buy), which is a fundamentals rating, not a recommendation. That is at the strong end of our range: COST scores well on the fundamentals we weight most heavily. The score is helped most by revenue growth (21.5%). Read how scores work to see what each input contributes.
What is the COST stock forecast for 2026?
We publish a fundamentals outlook rather than a price target. For 2026 the COST view rests on revenue growth of 21.5%, a net margin of 3.0% and a trailing P/E of 47.5x, which together produce the 76% Strong Buy Score. Our methodology explains how those inputs are weighted.
What are key support and resistance levels for COST?
Support and resistance are technical levels, so they are not part of the fundamentals score. You can see current COST demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our demand zones page. With COST at $943.29, the tool shows how far the stock sits from the nearest zone.
Which companies are COST's closest peers?
On this page COST is compared with WMT, TGT, KO, PG. Compared against the Discount Stores companies we cover, topped up with the closest Consumer Defensive names by market capitalisation. The table puts COST's a gross margin of 12.9%, an ROE of 29.2%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60 next to the same figures for each peer.
What is Costco Wholesale Corporation's market cap and P/E ratio?
As of August 31, 2026, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) has a market cap of $418.33B, a trailing P/E of 47.5x and a forward P/E of 41.6x. Valuation is one of the inputs to the Strong Buy Score, alongside growth, margins, capital efficiency and balance-sheet strength.
Where does the COST data on this page come from?
Company financials come from Costco Wholesale Corporation's own filings with the SEC, with prices and consensus estimates from market data feeds; the figures on this page were last refreshed on August 31, 2026. Our data sources page lists every provider and how often each one is updated.
Is the COST analysis PDF report free?
Your first COST report is free and does not require a card. The score on this page is a five-factor screen; the report runs the deeper eight-section analysis, adding moat, free cash flow, share dilution and valuation work that is not on this page. Further reports are covered by a subscription; see pricing for the current plans.

This COST analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.