MSTR Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

$130.30
Current Price
67%
Buy
View Plans
Data refreshed: August 31, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$51.76B
P/E Forward
2.6x
Revenue Growth
6.9%
Gross Margin
67.6%
Return on Equity
-63.6%
Debt/Equity
0.15

AI Analysis Summary

Strategy Inc (MSTR) is a Technology company in the Software - Application industry with a 67% Buy Score. Key strengths include Gross Margin (67.6%), Debt/Equity (0.15). Areas to watch: Return on Equity (-63.6%). The score on this page is a five-factor screen — revenue growth, gross margin, net margin, return on equity and debt-to-equity — each scored against fixed thresholds from a neutral starting point of 50%. The eight-section analysis, including moat, free cash flow, dilution and valuation, runs in the full report.

Revenue Growth: Moderate Gross Margin: Excellent Return on Equity: Negative Debt/Equity: Low Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

Why MSTR Has a 67% Score

4 of the inputs in our model moved MSTR's score away from the neutral baseline of 50%, landing it at 67% (Buy). Each one below is a specific figure from Strategy Inc's reported financials, not a judgement call:

Recent Catalysts for MSTR

3 data points sit outside the score itself but bear on Strategy Inc's next few quarters. They are reported here as observations, not predictions:

Wall Street consensus target is $225.14 (+72.8% from current price), based on 14 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Strong Buy.
Institutional ownership at 60.3% — strong smart-money backing.

MSTR vs. TEAM, ZM, U, DDOG

Compared against other Software - Application companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to MSTR.

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
MSTR $130.30 $51.76B 6.9% -63.6%
TEAM $195.75 $49.55B 27.6% -0.8% -4.5%
ZM $96.94 $28.29B 9.0x 4.9% 65.2% 32.1%
U $42.15 $18.55B 23.9% -29.0% -17.4%
DDOG $234.26 $84.12B 468.5x 35.6% 4.5% 4.7%

Main Risks for MSTR Investors

2 measurable risks showed up in Strategy Inc's numbers. This is not a complete list of what could go wrong — only what is visible in the data we score:

Return on Equity (-63.6%)
High beta of 3.56 means the stock is 256% more volatile than the market — expect larger drawdowns in corrections.

MSTR Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Strategy Inc's liquidity and cash generation as of the most recent filing — note the cash position of $2.45B against $6.77B of debt:

Total Cash
$2.45B
Total Debt
$6.77B
Current Ratio
5.39
FCF Yield
-43.6%
EBITDA
$-36,354,969,600
Operating Margin
-6808.1%

Figures are drawn from Strategy Inc's most recent balance sheet and cash flow statement as filed with the SEC. See the filings themselves.

MSTR Valuation Snapshot

Forward P/E
2.6x
Price / Book
1.6x
Reasonable
PEG Ratio
2.85
Expensive vs growth
Analyst Target (Mean)
$225.14
Range: $125 – $435
52-Week Price Range — MSTR is trading at 17% of its range
$81.81 (52W Low) $365.21 (52W High)

Who Holds MSTR? — Institutional 13F Filings

Institutional investment managers with >$100 M in qualifying assets must disclose their equity positions quarterly on SEC Form 13F — typically within 45 days of quarter-end. Search those filings below to see which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers reported MSTR as a holding, how many shares they held, and how positions changed quarter over quarter.

Search 13F Filings for MSTR Free · no sign-in required · live SEC EDGAR data
What you see free
Which institutions reported MSTR, share counts, reported values, and direct links to the SEC filing.
Research Pro adds
Full manager portfolios — every position a fund holds, quarter-over-quarter changes, and concentration weights.
Data limitation
13F shows long equity positions as of the filing date. Short positions, full derivatives, and current intent are not disclosed.

Is MSTR a Buy Right Now?

We do not answer that question for you, and we do not publish buy or sell calls. What we publish is a score: MSTR rates 67% on our five-factor fundamentals screen, which puts it in the "Buy" band. Everything below explains how it got there so you can disagree with it.

67% · Buy band

Strategy Inc clears some of our thresholds and misses others. On the positive side, gross margin (67.6%). Against that, return on equity (-63.6%). A middling score means the fundamentals are genuinely ambiguous, not that we have hedged.

MSTR Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Strategy Inc reported revenue growth of 6.9% year over year, against a Software - Application peer set where scale and pricing power vary widely. That is solid but not exceptional, so it lifts the score without dominating it.

Track upcoming report dates on our earnings calendar.

MSTR Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

This is a fundamentals outlook, not a price target — we do not publish one. It describes what Strategy Inc's current financials imply about the next three to twelve months if the trends in them hold.

Mixed: Revenue growth of 6.9% sits alongside return on equity (-63.6%). On the fundamentals alone there is no strong case in either direction for MSTR at present.

Bull Case for MSTR

These are the Strategy Inc figures that push the score up, taken straight from the most recent reported financials:

  • Gross Margin (67.6%)
  • Debt/Equity (0.15)

Bear Case & Risks for MSTR

These are the figures working against MSTR in the same model:

  • Return on Equity (-63.6%)

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Guides to the specific measures used in this MSTR analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

How the financial statements behind this page fit together.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What MSTR's forward multiple does and does not tell you.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why MSTR's -63.6% return on equity matters for stock selection.

Stock Valuation Methods

How DCF, multiples and asset-based approaches value a company like Strategy Inc.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Where the MSTR growth and margin figures on this page come from.

What Are Demand Zones?

The technical side we deliberately keep out of the MSTR score.

Related Tools for MSTR

Demand Zone Analyzer MSTR Live Chart MSTR SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

MSTR SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for MSTR explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

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View all MSTR SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about MSTR

Is MSTR a good buy right now?
We do not issue buy or sell calls. MSTR has a Strong Buy Score of 67% (Buy), which is a fundamentals rating, not a recommendation. That is a middling result: MSTR has real strengths alongside metrics that drag the score down. The score is helped most by gross margin (67.6%). It is held back most by return on equity (-63.6%). Read how scores work to see what each input contributes.
What is the MSTR stock forecast for 2026?
We publish a fundamentals outlook rather than a price target. For 2026 the MSTR view rests on revenue growth of 6.9% and a net margin of 0.0%, which together produce the 67% Strong Buy Score. Our methodology explains how those inputs are weighted.
What are key support and resistance levels for MSTR?
Support and resistance are technical levels, so they are not part of the fundamentals score. You can see current MSTR demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our demand zones page. With MSTR at $130.30, the tool shows how far the stock sits from the nearest zone.
Which companies are MSTR's closest peers?
On this page MSTR is compared with TEAM, ZM, U, DDOG. Compared against other Software - Application companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to MSTR. The table puts MSTR's a gross margin of 67.6%, an ROE of -63.6%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15 next to the same figures for each peer.
What is Strategy Inc's market cap and P/E ratio?
As of August 31, 2026, Strategy Inc (MSTR) has a market cap of $51.76B and a forward P/E of 2.6x. Valuation is one of the inputs to the Strong Buy Score, alongside growth, margins, capital efficiency and balance-sheet strength.
Where does the MSTR data on this page come from?
Company financials come from Strategy Inc's own filings with the SEC, with prices and consensus estimates from market data feeds; the figures on this page were last refreshed on August 31, 2026. Our data sources page lists every provider and how often each one is updated.
Is the MSTR analysis PDF report free?
Your first MSTR report is free and does not require a card. The score on this page is a five-factor screen; the report runs the deeper eight-section analysis, adding moat, free cash flow, share dilution and valuation work that is not on this page. Further reports are covered by a subscription; see pricing for the current plans.

This MSTR analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.