RIO Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

Rio Tinto Group Basic Materials Other Industrial Metals & Mining
$100.14
Current Price
76%
Buy
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Data refreshed: April 22, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$162.84B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.4x
P/E Forward
11.7x
Revenue Growth
14.6%
Gross Margin
28.1%
Net Margin
17.3%
Return on Equity
16.4%
Debt/Equity
0.35

AI Analysis Summary

Rio Tinto Group (RIO) is a Basic Materials company in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry with a 76% Buy Score. Key strengths include Revenue Growth (14.6%), Net Margin (17.3%), Return on Equity (16.4%). Our AI evaluates 8 fundamental categories including revenue growth, margin quality, balance sheet strength, cash flow generation, return on capital, and valuation metrics.

Revenue Growth: Good Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Good Return on Equity: Good Debt/Equity: Moderate

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

RIO Fundamental Analysis Report
PDF Report Preview
76%
Strong Buy Score
  • 8 Fundamental Categories Analyzed
  • Revenue & Growth Trends
  • Margin & Profitability Analysis
  • Balance Sheet Strength
  • Cash Flow Quality
  • Valuation Assessment
  • AI-Powered Investment Insights
Get Your Free RIO Report

How It Works: AI Stock Analysis in 60 Seconds

See how our AI analyzes RIO fundamentals to generate buy/sell signals and Strong Buy Scores.

Why RIO Has a 76% Score

Our AI evaluates Rio Tinto Group's fundamentals across multiple dimensions. Here is what is driving the current Buy rating:

Recent Catalysts for RIO

Key developments and data points that may impact Rio Tinto Group's trajectory:

Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.
Dividend yield of 4.11% provides income while you wait for capital appreciation.

RIO vs. Peers

How Rio Tinto Group stacks up against comparable Basic Materials companies on key metrics:

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
RIO $100.14 $162.84B 16.4x 14.6% 17.3% 16.4%
AAPL $268.82 $3.95T 34.0x 15.7% 27.0% 152.0%
MSFT $427.90 $3.18T 26.8x 16.7% 39.0% 34.4%
GOOGL $336.44 $4.07T 31.2x 18.0% 32.8% 35.7%
AMZN $249.91 $2.69T 34.9x 13.6% 10.8% 22.3%

Main Risks for RIO Investors

Every investment carries risk. Here are the specific risk factors our analysis identified for Rio Tinto Group:

Low beta of 0.64 suggests limited upside participation in bull markets.

Generate the full PDF report for a detailed risk-reward framework and bear-case scenarios.

RIO Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

A snapshot of Rio Tinto Group's financial health based on the most recent filings:

Total Cash
$9.42B
Total Debt
$23.75B
Current Ratio
1.45
FCF Yield
2.1%
EBITDA
$20.28B
Operating Margin
25.3%

Data sourced from the latest SEC filings. Generate the full PDF report for detailed balance sheet and cash flow commentary.

RIO Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
16.4x
Fairly valued
Forward P/E
11.7x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
2.6x
Reasonable
PEG Ratio
5.69
Expensive vs growth
Analyst Target (Mean)
$98.37
Range: $82 – $122
Dividend Yield
4.11%
5Y avg: 7.65%
52-Week Price Range — RIO is trading at 97% of its range
$55.64 (52W Low) $101.53 (52W High)

Is RIO a Buy Right Now?

Based on our AI-powered fundamental analysis, RIO has a Strong Buy Score of 76%, earning a "Buy" rating. This score synthesizes 8 key financial metrics to provide an objective investment signal.

Strong Buy Signal

Rio Tinto Group demonstrates robust fundamentals across multiple categories. Key strengths include Revenue Growth (14.6%) and Net Margin (17.3%). The stock shows characteristics typically associated with outperformers.

RIO AI Buy & Sell Signals Explained

Our AI analyzes Rio Tinto Group's financial statements to generate buy/sell signals based on quantitative metrics, not market sentiment or news headlines. Here's what drives the 76% score:

  • Revenue Growth: 14.6% year-over-year (above average)
  • Gross Margin: 28.1% (healthy)
  • Net Margin: 17.3% (highly profitable)
  • Return on Equity: 16.4% (excellent capital efficiency)

Generate the full PDF report for complete category-by-category scoring and AI-powered investment recommendations.

Key Support / Demand Zones

Technical traders can view real-time demand and supply zones for RIO on our Demand Zones page. These zones identify key price levels where institutional buying or selling has historically occurred.

With RIO currently trading at $100.14, our system monitors proximity to these critical levels and can alert you when the stock approaches support or resistance zones.

Subscribe to demand zone alerts to receive real-time notifications when RIO reaches key technical levels.

Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Rio Tinto Group operates in the Basic Materials sector, specifically in Other Industrial Metals & Mining. Understanding earnings trends is crucial for forecasting RIO's trajectory.

Current revenue growth of 14.6% exceeds the average company. This strong growth trajectory supports a higher valuation multiple.

Visit our Earnings Calendar to track upcoming RIO earnings dates and historical beat/miss patterns. Sign up for earnings alerts to get notified before announcements.

RIO Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

Our AI projects RIO's trajectory based on current fundamentals and historical patterns. With a 76% Strong Buy Score, here's what the data suggests:

Bullish Outlook: Rio Tinto Group shows strong fundamental momentum. Revenue growth of 14.6% suggests continued expansion. Net margins of 17.3% indicate pricing power and operational efficiency. Stocks with similar profiles have historically outperformed over 12-month periods.

For a complete 12-month price forecast with specific bull/bear scenarios, generate the full PDF report.

Valuation Metrics (P/E, Growth, Margins)

Understanding valuation is critical for determining if RIO is fairly priced. Here's the current snapshot:

  • Market Capitalization: $162.84B
  • P/E Ratio (TTM): 16.4x (fairly valued)
  • Forward P/E: 11.7x (based on analyst estimates)
  • Debt/Equity: 0.35 (conservative balance sheet)

Our AI weighs these metrics against growth rates and margin quality to determine if RIO offers compelling risk-adjusted returns at current prices.

Bull Case for RIO

Here's why investors are bullish on Rio Tinto Group:

  • Revenue Growth (14.6%)
  • Net Margin (17.3%)
  • Return on Equity (16.4%)

With a 76% Strong Buy Score, the bull case is well-supported by current fundamentals. The stock exhibits characteristics of quality compounders that tend to outperform long-term.

Bear Case & Risks for RIO

Every investment carries risk. Here are potential concerns for RIO investors:

  • Competitive pressures in Basic Materials
  • Macroeconomic sensitivity and interest rate exposure
  • Execution risk on growth initiatives
  • Valuation compression if growth slows

The full PDF report includes a detailed bear case analysis with specific risk ratings for each category.

Summary / 12-Month Outlook

RIO Summary: Rio Tinto Group earns a 76% Buy Score based on AI analysis of fundamental data. Trading at $100.14 with a $162.84B market cap, the stock shows strong fundamentals supporting a bullish 12-month outlook.

Bull Case: Revenue Growth (14.6%), Net Margin (17.3%)

For the complete analysis with specific price considerations, growth projections, and AI-powered buy/hold/sell recommendations, generate your free RIO PDF report.

Learn More About Stock Analysis

Deepen your understanding of the concepts used in this RIO analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

Learn how to evaluate stocks using financial statements and key metrics.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What P/E ratio tells you about a stock's valuation and growth expectations.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why ROE matters for stock selection and how to interpret it.

Stock Valuation Methods

Compare DCF, P/E, and other approaches to value stocks like RIO.

What Are Demand Zones?

Find key support and resistance levels for RIO and other stocks.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Understand earnings per share, revenue surprises, and guidance.

Related Tools for RIO

Demand Zone Analyzer RIO Live Chart RIO SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

RIO SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for RIO explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

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View all RIO SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about RIO

Is RIO a good buy right now?
RIO currently has a Strong Buy Score of 76% (Buy). Based on AI analysis of fundamentals, RIO shows strong buy signals with solid revenue growth, margins, and return metrics. Generate a free PDF report for specific buy/hold/sell recommendations.
What is the RIO stock forecast for 2026?
Our AI forecasts RIO based on current fundamentals: revenue growth of 14.6%, net margin of 17.3%, and P/E of 16.4x. The 76% Strong Buy Score reflects our outlook combining growth trajectory, margin quality, and valuation. See the full 12-month projection in your PDF report.
What are key support and resistance levels for RIO?
View real-time RIO demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our Demand Zones page. With RIO currently at $100.14, you can see how close the stock is to key technical levels. Subscribe to get alerts when RIO approaches these zones.
How do RIO fundamentals compare to peers?
Rio Tinto Group operates in the Basic Materials sector. Key metrics for peer comparison: Gross margin 28.1%, ROE 16.4%, Debt/Equity 0.35. The 76% Strong Buy Score factors in how these metrics stack up against industry averages. Data is refreshed daily.
Is the RIO analysis PDF report free?
Yes! Your first RIO fundamental analysis report is completely free with no credit card required. The PDF includes the full Strong Buy Score breakdown, all 8 fundamental categories analyzed, AI-powered insights, and specific investment recommendations. Additional reports are available through our subscription plans starting at $24/month.
What is Rio Tinto Group's market cap and P/E ratio?
Rio Tinto Group (RIO) has a market cap of $162.84B and a trailing P/E ratio of 16.4x (forward P/E: 11.7x). These valuation metrics are key factors in our Strong Buy Score calculation. See all metrics in the PDF report for comprehensive valuation analysis.

This RIO analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.