VALE Fundamental Analysis & Score

Vale S.A. Basic Materials Other Industrial Metals & Mining
$14.15
Quote dated October 05, 2026
64/100
Hold

What this score covers. It is a fixed screen of five reported ratios with no valuation input, so a company can score highly while its valuation risk remains elevated. The full report scores valuation separately, as one of nine scored sections. How the score is calculated

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Page generated: October 06, 2026 at 11:26 UTC

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$60.22B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
28.3x
P/E Forward
7.3x
Revenue Growth
6.4%
Gross Margin
34.9%
Net Margin
4.8%
Return on Equity
4.1%
Debt/Equity
0.55

Rule-Based Financial Screen Summary

Vale S.A. (VALE) is a Basic Materials company in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry. It has a 64/100 Hold score on our five-factor fundamentals screen. The score is a five-factor screen — revenue growth, gross margin, net margin, return on equity and debt-to-equity — each scored against fixed thresholds from a neutral starting point of 50 points. The full report scores nine sections, including moat, free cash flow, dilution and valuation, which this screen does not.

Revenue Growth: Moderate Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Thin Return on Equity: Low Debt/Equity: Moderate

This page score and the strengths and concerns above are produced by deterministic, rule-based calculations from the available third-party financial inputs documented below. AI does not choose the score, strengths, or concerns. Data and automated summaries can contain errors. This is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

How this page score was calculated

The calculation starts at 50 points and applies the five fixed adjustments shown below. Missing or invalid inputs contribute no adjustment. A finite provider-reported zero is treated as a measured value and evaluated against that input's displayed threshold. The pre-clamp result is 64; the published result is clamped to a minimum of 10 and maximum of 98, producing 64/100.

VALE score inputs and fixed adjustments
Input Displayed value Threshold applied Adjustment Data status
Revenue Growth 6.4% > 0% to 10% +4 Available
Gross Margin 34.9% 35% or lower +2 Available
Net Margin 4.8% > 0% to 10% +2 Available
Return on Equity 4.1% > 0% to 12% +2 Available
Debt/Equity 0.55 0.30 to < 0.60 +4 Available

Score bands

80 or higher: Strong Buy; 65–79: Buy; 50–64: Hold; below 50: Caution.

These are fixed names for score ranges. The score is not a success probability, recommendation, or forecast, and 80/100 does not mean an 80% chance of a gain.

Not included in this score

  • Peer results or relative peer ranking
  • Demand zones or liquidity
  • Technical momentum
  • News or market sentiment
  • DCF valuation or the downloadable report score

Sources, freshness, and limitations

This page was generated . The provider identifies the latest underlying financial period as June 30, 2026. The displayed market quote is dated October 05, 2026. Generation time is not the same as the date of the underlying filing or market observation.

Financial inputs may be delayed, restated, differently standardized by the data provider, or unavailable. Missing, invalid, or non-finite values receive no positive or negative adjustment rather than being estimated. A finite provider-reported zero is retained and evaluated against that metric's displayed threshold; it is not treated as missing. This can make a sparse-data score less informative. The screen does not capture every business, market, valuation, or portfolio risk, and investors can lose money.

What the full VALE report adds

The 64/100 on this page comes from a fixed screen of 5 ratios. The downloadable report is a separate analysis with its own score, built from 9 weighted sections.

This page: fixed screen

  • Revenue Growth
  • Gross Margin
  • Net Margin
  • Return on Equity
  • Debt/Equity

Each factor is scored against fixed thresholds from a starting point of 50 points. No factor prices the stock, so valuation is not part of the 64/100.

Full report: 9 scored sections

  1. Business Moat weight 15 of 100
  2. Revenue Growth Consistency weight 14 of 100
  3. Margin Quality weight 12 of 100
  4. Free Cash Flow Strength weight 12 of 100
  5. Balance Sheet Safety weight 12 of 100
  6. Returns on Capital weight 12 of 100
  7. Dilution vs Self-Funded Growth weight 8 of 100
  8. Valuation vs Growth weight 10 of 100
  9. Structural vs Cyclical Growth weight 5 of 100

When the inputs allow, the report also shows a fair-value estimate with its discounted cash flow (DCF) assumptions and a 3×3 sensitivity table, a confidence figure, and the data limitations that reduced that confidence. Its headline label can add a valuation-risk flag next to the fundamental-quality rating.

Open the VALE report page

Supplementary Metrics for VALE

4 data points drawn from analyst targets, consensus estimates, and ownership data. These are supplementary observations, not event predictions or causal explanations:

The current provider record reports an earnings decline of 43.5%.
The provider-reported analyst mean target is $16.70 (+18.0% from the displayed price), based on 25 estimates. This is third-party opinion, not a StrongBuyAnalytics target.
The provider-reported third-party analyst consensus category is Buy; it is not a StrongBuyAnalytics recommendation.
The current provider record reports a dividend yield of 5.96%.

VALE vs. RIO, NUE, FCX, STLD

Compared against the Other Industrial Metals & Mining companies we cover, topped up with the closest Basic Materials names by market capitalisation.

Comparison context only: this peer set is selected statically from our covered companies using industry and company-size context. Peer data and peer selection do not change the VALE page score.

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
VALE $14.15 $60.22B 28.3x 6.4% 4.8% 4.1%
RIO $95.65 $155.56B 13.0x 15.5% 19.6% 19.3%
NUE $251.41 $57.04B 20.0x 23.0% 8.0% 14.5%
FCX $72.60 $104.25B 35.8x -7.3% 11.4% 14.8%
STLD $241.04 $34.55B 21.9x 33.4% 7.8% 17.6%

Risk Indicators for VALE

1 measurable indicator visible in Vale S.A.'s reported numbers. These are market and valuation risk metrics — not a comprehensive list of business risks, which would require qualitative analysis beyond this data:

The provider-reported beta is 0.70. A beta below 1 reflects smaller historical price moves relative to the provider's benchmark; it does not cap future gains or losses.

VALE Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Vale S.A.'s liquidity and cash generation as of the most recent filing — note the cash position of $29.84B against $110.01B of debt:

Total Cash
$29.84B
Total Debt
$110.01B
Current Ratio
1.19
FCF Yield
22.1%
EBITDA
$77.33B
Operating Margin
22.0%

These are provider-normalized figures and may differ from the issuer's as-filed presentation, units, or latest amendment. Use source filings for verification.

VALE Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
28.3x
Growth premium
Forward P/E
7.3x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
1.6x
Reasonable
PEG Ratio
0.30
Undervalued vs growth
Analyst Target (Mean)
$16.70
Range: $12 – $22
Dividend Yield
5.96%
5Y avg: 7.36%
52-Week Price Range — VALE is trading at 48% of its range
$10.71 (52W Low) $17.94 (52W High)

Who Holds VALE? — Institutional 13F Filings

Institutional investment managers with >$100 M in qualifying assets must disclose their equity positions quarterly on SEC Form 13F — typically within 45 days of quarter-end. Search those filings below to see which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers reported VALE as a holding, how many shares they held, and how positions changed quarter over quarter.

Search 13F Filings for VALE Free · no sign-in required · live SEC EDGAR data
What you see free
Which institutions reported VALE, share counts, reported values, and direct links to the SEC filing.
Research Pro adds
Full manager portfolios — every position a fund holds, quarter-over-quarter changes, and concentration weights.
Data limitation
13F reports covered long positions for the filing's stated reporting period, typically a quarter-end—not on its later submission date. Short positions, full derivatives, and current intent are not disclosed.

How to Interpret the VALE Fundamentals Score

VALE rates 64/100 on our five-factor fundamentals screen, which puts it in the "Hold" band. The band name describes a fixed range in this model; it is not a recommendation or prediction. The calculation above shows how each reported input affected the result.

64/100 · Hold band

Vale S.A. clears some of our thresholds and misses others. A middling score means the fundamentals are genuinely ambiguous, not that we have hedged.

VALE Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Vale S.A. reported revenue growth of 6.4% year over year, against a Other Industrial Metals & Mining peer set where scale and pricing power vary widely. That is solid but not exceptional, so it lifts the score without dominating it.

Earnings fell -43.5% over the same period, trailing revenue, which points to cost or margin pressure.

Track upcoming report dates on our earnings calendar.

VALE Fundamental Factors to Monitor

This is a review of reported fundamentals, not a price target or an estimate of future returns. These are the current figures that may be useful to monitor as new filings become available.

Mixed current reading: Revenue growth of 6.4% sits alongside metrics that neither help nor hurt the score materially. Watch whether those reported inputs move across the disclosed thresholds.

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See how the metrics on this VALE page — quality score, valuation, DCF scenarios, confidence labels, and data limitations — are organized in the downloadable research report.

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Guides to the specific measures used in this VALE analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

How the financial statements behind this page fit together.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What VALE's 28.3x multiple does and does not tell you.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why VALE's 4.1% return on equity matters for stock selection.

Stock Valuation Methods

How DCF, multiples and asset-based approaches value a company like Vale S.A..

DCF Assumptions and Limitations

What a discounted cash flow estimate for VALE depends on, and where it breaks down.

How to Read an AI Stock Report

What each section of a VALE report is for, and what it leaves out.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Where the VALE growth and margin figures on this page come from.

What Are Demand Zones?

The technical side we deliberately keep out of the VALE score.

Related Tools for VALE

Semiconductor Demand Zone Tracker VALE Live Chart VALE SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

VALE SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for VALE explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

Loading recent SEC filings…
View all VALE SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about VALE

What are key support and resistance levels for VALE?
Support and resistance are technical levels, so they are not part of the fundamentals score. Our demand zones page tracks semiconductor stocks; coverage does not extend to every ticker. Use the chart tool to identify price levels for VALE manually.
Which companies are VALE's closest peers?
On this page VALE is compared with RIO, NUE, FCX, STLD. Compared against the Other Industrial Metals & Mining companies we cover, topped up with the closest Basic Materials names by market capitalisation. The table puts VALE's a gross margin of 34.9%, an ROE of 4.1%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55 next to the same figures for each peer.
Is the VALE analysis PDF report free?
Your first VALE report is free and does not require a card. The score on this page is a five-factor screen; the report scores nine sections, adding moat, free cash flow, share dilution and valuation work that is not on this page. Further reports are covered by a subscription; see pricing for the current plans.

This VALE analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Figures come from third-party feeds and can be delayed, standardized, incomplete, or inaccurate; verify material facts in primary filings and identified sources. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.