SBUX Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

Starbucks Corporation Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
$100.00
Current Price
58%
Hold
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Data refreshed: April 20, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$113.93B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
83.3x
P/E Forward
34.0x
Revenue Growth
5.5%
Gross Margin
22.2%
Net Margin
3.6%

AI Analysis Summary

Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) is a Consumer Cyclical company in the Restaurants industry with a 58% Hold Score. Our AI evaluates 8 fundamental categories including revenue growth, margin quality, balance sheet strength, cash flow generation, return on capital, and valuation metrics.

Revenue Growth: Moderate Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Thin

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

SBUX Fundamental Analysis Report
PDF Report Preview
58%
Strong Buy Score
  • 8 Fundamental Categories Analyzed
  • Revenue & Growth Trends
  • Margin & Profitability Analysis
  • Balance Sheet Strength
  • Cash Flow Quality
  • Valuation Assessment
  • AI-Powered Investment Insights
Get Your Free SBUX Report

How It Works: AI Stock Analysis in 60 Seconds

See how our AI analyzes SBUX fundamentals to generate buy/sell signals and Strong Buy Scores.

Why SBUX Has a 58% Score

Our AI evaluates Starbucks Corporation's fundamentals across multiple dimensions. Here is what is driving the current Hold rating:

Recent Catalysts for SBUX

Key developments and data points that may impact Starbucks Corporation's trajectory:

Earnings declined -62.5% — watch for stabilization in coming quarters.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.
Institutional ownership at 84.7% — strong smart-money backing.
Short ratio of 5.3 days to cover — elevated short interest could fuel a squeeze on positive news.
Dividend yield of 2.48% provides income while you wait for capital appreciation.

SBUX vs. Peers

How Starbucks Corporation stacks up against comparable Consumer Cyclical companies on key metrics:

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
SBUX $100.00 $113.93B 83.3x 5.5% 3.6%
AMZN $250.56 $2.69T 34.9x 13.6% 10.8% 22.3%
TSLA $400.62 $1.50T 370.9x -3.1% 4.0% 4.9%
HD $349.40 $348.01B 24.6x -3.8% 8.6% 145.5%
NKE $46.03 $68.17B 30.3x 0.1% 4.8% 16.0%

Main Risks for SBUX Investors

Every investment carries risk. Here are the specific risk factors our analysis identified for Starbucks Corporation:

Trailing P/E of 83.3x prices in significant growth — any miss could trigger a sharp selloff.
Short interest is elevated with a 5.3-day cover ratio, indicating bearish bets against the stock.

Generate the full PDF report for a detailed risk-reward framework and bear-case scenarios.

SBUX Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

A snapshot of Starbucks Corporation's financial health based on the most recent filings:

Total Cash
$3.60B
Total Debt
$25.49B
Current Ratio
1.05
FCF Yield
-1.3%
EBITDA
$5.30B
Operating Margin
9.3%

Data sourced from the latest SEC filings. Generate the full PDF report for detailed balance sheet and cash flow commentary.

SBUX Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
83.3x
High expectations
Forward P/E
34.0x
Earnings growth expected
PEG Ratio
1.72
Fairly valued
Analyst Target (Mean)
$100.38
Range: $74 – $122
Dividend Yield
2.48%
5Y avg: 2.26%
52-Week Price Range — SBUX is trading at 84% of its range
$75.50 (52W Low) $104.82 (52W High)

Is SBUX a Buy Right Now?

Based on our AI-powered fundamental analysis, SBUX has a Strong Buy Score of 58%, earning a "Hold" rating. This score synthesizes 8 key financial metrics to provide an objective investment signal.

Moderate Buy Signal

Starbucks Corporation shows mixed fundamentals with some strengths and areas to monitor.

SBUX AI Buy & Sell Signals Explained

Our AI analyzes Starbucks Corporation's financial statements to generate buy/sell signals based on quantitative metrics, not market sentiment or news headlines. Here's what drives the 58% score:

  • Revenue Growth: 5.5% year-over-year (positive)
  • Gross Margin: 22.2% (healthy)
  • Net Margin: 3.6% (profitable)

Generate the full PDF report for complete category-by-category scoring and AI-powered investment recommendations.

Key Support / Demand Zones

Technical traders can view real-time demand and supply zones for SBUX on our Demand Zones page. These zones identify key price levels where institutional buying or selling has historically occurred.

With SBUX currently trading at $100.00, our system monitors proximity to these critical levels and can alert you when the stock approaches support or resistance zones.

Subscribe to demand zone alerts to receive real-time notifications when SBUX reaches key technical levels.

Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Starbucks Corporation operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically in Restaurants. Understanding earnings trends is crucial for forecasting SBUX's trajectory.

Current revenue growth of 5.5% exceeds the average company.

Visit our Earnings Calendar to track upcoming SBUX earnings dates and historical beat/miss patterns. Sign up for earnings alerts to get notified before announcements.

SBUX Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

Our AI projects SBUX's trajectory based on current fundamentals and historical patterns. With a 58% Strong Buy Score, here's what the data suggests:

Mixed Outlook: Starbucks Corporation shows moderate fundamental strength. Revenue growth at 5.5% is positive but warrants monitoring. The stock may trade sideways or experience modest gains depending on execution and market conditions.

For a complete 12-month price forecast with specific bull/bear scenarios, generate the full PDF report.

Valuation Metrics (P/E, Growth, Margins)

Understanding valuation is critical for determining if SBUX is fairly priced. Here's the current snapshot:

  • Market Capitalization: $113.93B
  • P/E Ratio (TTM): 83.3x (high expectations)
  • Forward P/E: 34.0x (based on analyst estimates)

Our AI weighs these metrics against growth rates and margin quality to determine if SBUX offers compelling risk-adjusted returns at current prices.

Bull Case for SBUX

Here's why investors are bullish on Starbucks Corporation:

  • Established market position in Consumer Cyclical
  • Proven business model with revenue visibility
  • Management track record of execution
  • Potential for margin expansion and operational leverage

While these positives exist, investors should weigh them against the risks outlined in the bear case below.

Bear Case & Risks for SBUX

Every investment carries risk. Here are potential concerns for SBUX investors:

  • Competitive pressures in Consumer Cyclical
  • Macroeconomic sensitivity and interest rate exposure
  • Execution risk on growth initiatives
  • Valuation compression if growth slows

The full PDF report includes a detailed bear case analysis with specific risk ratings for each category.

Summary / 12-Month Outlook

SBUX Summary: Starbucks Corporation earns a 58% Hold Score based on AI analysis of fundamental data. Trading at $100.00 with a $113.93B market cap, the stock presents a balanced risk/reward profile for the coming year.

For the complete analysis with specific price considerations, growth projections, and AI-powered buy/hold/sell recommendations, generate your free SBUX PDF report.

Learn More About Stock Analysis

Deepen your understanding of the concepts used in this SBUX analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

Learn how to evaluate stocks using financial statements and key metrics.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What P/E ratio tells you about a stock's valuation and growth expectations.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why ROE matters for stock selection and how to interpret it.

Stock Valuation Methods

Compare DCF, P/E, and other approaches to value stocks like SBUX.

What Are Demand Zones?

Find key support and resistance levels for SBUX and other stocks.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Understand earnings per share, revenue surprises, and guidance.

Related Tools for SBUX

Demand Zone Analyzer SBUX Live Chart Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

Frequently Asked Questions about SBUX

Is SBUX a good buy right now?
SBUX currently has a Strong Buy Score of 58% (Hold). SBUX shows moderate buy signals. The stock has mixed fundamentals worth reviewing in detail. Generate a free PDF report for specific buy/hold/sell recommendations.
What is the SBUX stock forecast for 2026?
Our AI forecasts SBUX based on current fundamentals: revenue growth of 5.5%, net margin of 3.6%, and P/E of 83.3x. The 58% Strong Buy Score reflects our outlook combining growth trajectory, margin quality, and valuation. See the full 12-month projection in your PDF report.
What are key support and resistance levels for SBUX?
View real-time SBUX demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our Demand Zones page. With SBUX currently at $100.00, you can see how close the stock is to key technical levels. Subscribe to get alerts when SBUX approaches these zones.
How do SBUX fundamentals compare to peers?
Starbucks Corporation operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Key metrics for peer comparison: Gross margin 22.2%. The 58% Strong Buy Score factors in how these metrics stack up against industry averages. Data is refreshed daily.
Is the SBUX analysis PDF report free?
Yes! Your first SBUX fundamental analysis report is completely free with no credit card required. The PDF includes the full Strong Buy Score breakdown, all 8 fundamental categories analyzed, AI-powered insights, and specific investment recommendations. Additional reports are available through our subscription plans starting at $24/month.
What is Starbucks Corporation's market cap and P/E ratio?
Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) has a market cap of $113.93B and a trailing P/E ratio of 83.3x (forward P/E: 34.0x). These valuation metrics are key factors in our Strong Buy Score calculation. See all metrics in the PDF report for comprehensive valuation analysis.

This SBUX analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.