SPOT Fundamental Analysis & Score

$483.05
Quote dated October 05, 2026
84/100
Strong Buy

What this score covers. It is a fixed screen of five reported ratios with no valuation input, so a company can score highly while its valuation risk remains elevated. The full report scores valuation separately, as one of nine scored sections. How the score is calculated

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Page generated: October 06, 2026 at 11:26 UTC

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$99.31B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
27.8x
P/E Forward
27.9x
Revenue Growth
13.9%
Gross Margin
32.8%
Net Margin
18.4%
Return on Equity
44.5%
Debt/Equity
0.06

Rule-Based Financial Screen Summary

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) is a Communication Services company in the Internet Content & Information industry. It has a 84/100 Strong Buy score on our five-factor fundamentals screen. Key strengths include Revenue Growth (13.9%), Net Margin (18.4%), Return on Equity (44.5%). The score is a five-factor screen — revenue growth, gross margin, net margin, return on equity and debt-to-equity — each scored against fixed thresholds from a neutral starting point of 50 points. The full report scores nine sections, including moat, free cash flow, dilution and valuation, which this screen does not.

Revenue Growth: Good Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Good Return on Equity: Excellent Debt/Equity: Low Risk

This page score and the strengths and concerns above are produced by deterministic, rule-based calculations from the available third-party financial inputs documented below. AI does not choose the score, strengths, or concerns. Data and automated summaries can contain errors. This is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

How this page score was calculated

The calculation starts at 50 points and applies the five fixed adjustments shown below. Missing or invalid inputs contribute no adjustment. A finite provider-reported zero is treated as a measured value and evaluated against that input's displayed threshold. The pre-clamp result is 84; the published result is clamped to a minimum of 10 and maximum of 98, producing 84/100.

SPOT score inputs and fixed adjustments
Input Displayed value Threshold applied Adjustment Data status
Revenue Growth 13.9% > 10% to 20% +8 Available
Gross Margin 32.8% 35% or lower +2 Available
Net Margin 18.4% > 10% to 20% +6 Available
Return on Equity 44.5% > 20% +10 Available
Debt/Equity 0.06 < 0.30 +8 Available

Score bands

80 or higher: Strong Buy; 65–79: Buy; 50–64: Hold; below 50: Caution.

These are fixed names for score ranges. The score is not a success probability, recommendation, or forecast, and 80/100 does not mean an 80% chance of a gain.

Not included in this score

  • Peer results or relative peer ranking
  • Demand zones or liquidity
  • Technical momentum
  • News or market sentiment
  • DCF valuation or the downloadable report score

Sources, freshness, and limitations

This page was generated . The provider identifies the latest underlying financial period as June 30, 2026. The displayed market quote is dated October 05, 2026. Generation time is not the same as the date of the underlying filing or market observation.

Financial inputs may be delayed, restated, differently standardized by the data provider, or unavailable. Missing, invalid, or non-finite values receive no positive or negative adjustment rather than being estimated. A finite provider-reported zero is retained and evaluated against that metric's displayed threshold; it is not treated as missing. This can make a sparse-data score less informative. The screen does not capture every business, market, valuation, or portfolio risk, and investors can lose money.

What the full SPOT report adds

The 84/100 on this page comes from a fixed screen of 5 ratios. The downloadable report is a separate analysis with its own score, built from 9 weighted sections.

This page: fixed screen

  • Revenue Growth
  • Gross Margin
  • Net Margin
  • Return on Equity
  • Debt/Equity

Each factor is scored against fixed thresholds from a starting point of 50 points. No factor prices the stock, so valuation is not part of the 84/100.

Full report: 9 scored sections

  1. Business Moat weight 15 of 100
  2. Revenue Growth Consistency weight 14 of 100
  3. Margin Quality weight 12 of 100
  4. Free Cash Flow Strength weight 12 of 100
  5. Balance Sheet Safety weight 12 of 100
  6. Returns on Capital weight 12 of 100
  7. Dilution vs Self-Funded Growth weight 8 of 100
  8. Valuation vs Growth weight 10 of 100
  9. Structural vs Cyclical Growth weight 5 of 100

When the inputs allow, the report also shows a fair-value estimate with its discounted cash flow (DCF) assumptions and a 3×3 sensitivity table, a confidence figure, and the data limitations that reduced that confidence. Its headline label can add a valuation-risk flag next to the fundamental-quality rating.

Open the SPOT report page

Supplementary Metrics for SPOT

3 data points drawn from analyst targets, consensus estimates, and ownership data. These are supplementary observations, not event predictions or causal explanations:

The provider-reported analyst mean target is $594.92 (+23.2% from the displayed price), based on 37 estimates. This is third-party opinion, not a StrongBuyAnalytics target.
The provider-reported third-party analyst consensus category is Buy; it is not a StrongBuyAnalytics recommendation.
The current provider record reports institutional ownership of 68.8%.

SPOT vs. BIDU, TME, PINS, SNAP

Compared against other Internet Content & Information companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to SPOT.

Comparison context only: this peer set is selected statically from our covered companies using industry and company-size context. Peer data and peer selection do not change the SPOT page score.

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
SPOT $483.05 $99.31B 27.8x 13.9% 18.4% 44.5%
BIDU $86.99 $29.61B — -4.2% -2.9% -1.4%
TME $7.87 $12.83B 9.6x 5.8% 26.3% 11.0%
PINS $20.06 $11.36B 59.0x 18.2% 5.5% 6.5%
SNAP $5.61 $9.49B — 18.9% -4.9% -15.6%

Risk Indicators for SPOT

1 measurable indicator visible in Spotify Technology S.A.'s reported numbers. These are market and valuation risk metrics — not a comprehensive list of business risks, which would require qualitative analysis beyond this data:

The provider-reported beta is 1.61. A beta above 1 reflects larger historical price moves relative to the provider's benchmark, but it does not predict future volatility or drawdowns.

SPOT Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Spotify Technology S.A.'s liquidity and cash generation as of the most recent filing — note the cash position of $6.98B against $466.00M of debt:

Total Cash
$6.98B
Total Debt
$466.00M
Current Ratio
2.11
FCF Yield
1.6%
EBITDA
$2.68B
Operating Margin
13.7%

These are provider-normalized figures and may differ from the issuer's as-filed presentation, units, or latest amendment. Use source filings for verification.

SPOT Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
27.8x
Growth premium
Forward P/E
27.9x
Earnings contraction expected
Price / Book
10.4x
High intangible value
PEG Ratio
1.34
Fairly valued
Analyst Target (Mean)
$594.92
Range: $411 – $704
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52-Week Price Range — SPOT is trading at 26% of its range
$405.00 (52W Low) $700.12 (52W High)

Who Holds SPOT? — Institutional 13F Filings

Institutional investment managers with >$100 M in qualifying assets must disclose their equity positions quarterly on SEC Form 13F — typically within 45 days of quarter-end. Search those filings below to see which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers reported SPOT as a holding, how many shares they held, and how positions changed quarter over quarter.

Search 13F Filings for SPOT Free · no sign-in required · live SEC EDGAR data
What you see free
Which institutions reported SPOT, share counts, reported values, and direct links to the SEC filing.
Research Pro adds
Full manager portfolios — every position a fund holds, quarter-over-quarter changes, and concentration weights.
Data limitation
13F reports covered long positions for the filing's stated reporting period, typically a quarter-end—not on its later submission date. Short positions, full derivatives, and current intent are not disclosed.

How to Interpret the SPOT Fundamentals Score

SPOT rates 84/100 on our five-factor fundamentals screen, which puts it in the "Strong Buy" band. The band name describes a fixed range in this model; it is not a recommendation or prediction. The calculation above shows how each reported input affected the result.

84/100 · Strong Buy band

Spotify Technology S.A. clears our thresholds on most of what we measure. The strongest readings are revenue growth (13.9%) and net margin (18.4%). Nothing in the data we score currently works against it.

SPOT Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Spotify Technology S.A. reported revenue growth of 13.9% year over year, against a Internet Content & Information peer set where scale and pricing power vary widely. That is solid but not exceptional, so it lifts the score without dominating it.

Track upcoming report dates on our earnings calendar.

SPOT Fundamental Factors to Monitor

This is a review of reported fundamentals, not a price target or an estimate of future returns. These are the current figures that may be useful to monitor as new filings become available.

Current reading: Revenue growth of 13.9% is above the model's 10% threshold. Net margins of 18.4% show how much reported revenue currently converts to profit. Future filings may change either figure and the resulting score.

Positive Fundamental Inputs for SPOT

These are the Spotify Technology S.A. figures that push the score up, taken straight from the most recent reported financials:

  • Revenue Growth (13.9%)
  • Net Margin (18.4%)
  • Return on Equity (44.5%)
  • Debt/Equity (0.06)

Learn More About Stock Analysis

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See how the metrics on this SPOT page — quality score, valuation, DCF scenarios, confidence labels, and data limitations — are organized in the downloadable research report.

Generate My Free SPOT Report

Guides to the specific measures used in this SPOT analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

How the financial statements behind this page fit together.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What SPOT's 27.8x multiple does and does not tell you.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why SPOT's 44.5% return on equity matters for stock selection.

Stock Valuation Methods

How DCF, multiples and asset-based approaches value a company like Spotify Technology S.A..

DCF Assumptions and Limitations

What a discounted cash flow estimate for SPOT depends on, and where it breaks down.

How to Read an AI Stock Report

What each section of a SPOT report is for, and what it leaves out.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Where the SPOT growth and margin figures on this page come from.

What Are Demand Zones?

The technical side we deliberately keep out of the SPOT score.

Related Tools for SPOT

Semiconductor Demand Zone Tracker SPOT Live Chart SPOT SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

SPOT SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for SPOT explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

Loading recent SEC filings…
View all SPOT SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about SPOT

What are key support and resistance levels for SPOT?
Support and resistance are technical levels, so they are not part of the fundamentals score. Our demand zones page tracks semiconductor stocks; coverage does not extend to every ticker. Use the chart tool to identify price levels for SPOT manually.
Which companies are SPOT's closest peers?
On this page SPOT is compared with BIDU, TME, PINS, SNAP. Compared against other Internet Content & Information companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to SPOT. The table puts SPOT's a gross margin of 32.8%, an ROE of 44.5%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 next to the same figures for each peer.
Is the SPOT analysis PDF report free?
Your first SPOT report is free and does not require a card. The score on this page is a five-factor screen; the report scores nine sections, adding moat, free cash flow, share dilution and valuation work that is not on this page. Further reports are covered by a subscription; see pricing for the current plans.

This SPOT analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Figures come from third-party feeds and can be delayed, standardized, incomplete, or inaccurate; verify material facts in primary filings and identified sources. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.