UPS Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

United Parcel Service, Inc. Industrials Integrated Freight & Logistics
$106.44
Current Price
51%
Hold
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Data refreshed: April 20, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$90.44B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.2x
P/E Forward
13.4x
Revenue Growth
-3.2%
Gross Margin
22.6%
Net Margin
6.3%
Return on Equity
33.8%
Debt/Equity
1.76

AI Analysis Summary

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is a Industrials company in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry with a 51% Hold Score. Key strengths include Return on Equity (33.8%). Areas to watch: Revenue Growth (-3.2%), Debt/Equity (1.76). Our AI evaluates 8 fundamental categories including revenue growth, margin quality, balance sheet strength, cash flow generation, return on capital, and valuation metrics.

Revenue Growth: Weak Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Thin Return on Equity: Excellent Debt/Equity: High Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

UPS Fundamental Analysis Report
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51%
Strong Buy Score
  • 8 Fundamental Categories Analyzed
  • Revenue & Growth Trends
  • Margin & Profitability Analysis
  • Balance Sheet Strength
  • Cash Flow Quality
  • Valuation Assessment
  • AI-Powered Investment Insights
Get Your Free UPS Report

How It Works: AI Stock Analysis in 60 Seconds

See how our AI analyzes UPS fundamentals to generate buy/sell signals and Strong Buy Scores.

Why UPS Has a 51% Score

Our AI evaluates United Parcel Service, Inc.'s fundamentals across multiple dimensions. Here is what is driving the current Hold rating:

Recent Catalysts for UPS

Key developments and data points that may impact United Parcel Service, Inc.'s trajectory:

Wall Street consensus target is $112.64 (+5.8% from current price), based on 28 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.
Institutional ownership at 69.8% — strong smart-money backing.
Dividend yield of 6.16% provides income while you wait for capital appreciation.

UPS vs. Peers

How United Parcel Service, Inc. stacks up against comparable Industrials companies on key metrics:

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
UPS $106.44 $90.44B 16.2x -3.2% 6.3% 33.8%
AAPL $270.23 $3.97T 34.2x 15.7% 27.0% 152.0%
MSFT $422.79 $3.14T 26.5x 16.7% 39.0% 34.4%
GOOGL $341.68 $4.13T 31.6x 18.0% 32.8% 35.7%
AMZN $250.56 $2.69T 34.9x 13.6% 10.8% 22.3%

Main Risks for UPS Investors

Every investment carries risk. Here are the specific risk factors our analysis identified for United Parcel Service, Inc.:

Revenue Growth (-3.2%)
Debt/Equity (1.76)
High leverage amplifies downside risk if revenue softens or interest rates rise.

Generate the full PDF report for a detailed risk-reward framework and bear-case scenarios.

UPS Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

A snapshot of United Parcel Service, Inc.'s financial health based on the most recent filings:

Total Cash
$5.89B
Total Debt
$28.59B
Current Ratio
1.22
FCF Yield
5.7%
EBITDA
$12.21B
Operating Margin
10.7%

Data sourced from the latest SEC filings. Generate the full PDF report for detailed balance sheet and cash flow commentary.

UPS Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
16.2x
Fairly valued
Forward P/E
13.4x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
5.6x
Premium
PEG Ratio
1.63
Fairly valued
Analyst Target (Mean)
$112.64
Range: $75 – $135
Dividend Yield
6.16%
5Y avg: 4.20%
52-Week Price Range — UPS is trading at 60% of its range
$82.00 (52W Low) $122.41 (52W High)

Is UPS a Buy Right Now?

Based on our AI-powered fundamental analysis, UPS has a Strong Buy Score of 51%, earning a "Hold" rating. This score synthesizes 8 key financial metrics to provide an objective investment signal.

Moderate Buy Signal

United Parcel Service, Inc. shows mixed fundamentals with some strengths and areas to monitor. Positives include Return on Equity (33.8%). Watch for Revenue Growth (-3.2%).

UPS AI Buy & Sell Signals Explained

Our AI analyzes United Parcel Service, Inc.'s financial statements to generate buy/sell signals based on quantitative metrics, not market sentiment or news headlines. Here's what drives the 51% score:

  • Revenue Growth: -3.2% year-over-year (declining)
  • Gross Margin: 22.6% (healthy)
  • Net Margin: 6.3% (profitable)
  • Return on Equity: 33.8% (excellent capital efficiency)

Generate the full PDF report for complete category-by-category scoring and AI-powered investment recommendations.

Key Support / Demand Zones

Technical traders can view real-time demand and supply zones for UPS on our Demand Zones page. These zones identify key price levels where institutional buying or selling has historically occurred.

With UPS currently trading at $106.44, our system monitors proximity to these critical levels and can alert you when the stock approaches support or resistance zones.

Subscribe to demand zone alerts to receive real-time notifications when UPS reaches key technical levels.

Earnings & Revenue Outlook

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates in the Industrials sector, specifically in Integrated Freight & Logistics. Understanding earnings trends is crucial for forecasting UPS's trajectory.

Current revenue growth of -3.2% trails the average company.

Visit our Earnings Calendar to track upcoming UPS earnings dates and historical beat/miss patterns. Sign up for earnings alerts to get notified before announcements.

UPS Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

Our AI projects UPS's trajectory based on current fundamentals and historical patterns. With a 51% Strong Buy Score, here's what the data suggests:

Mixed Outlook: United Parcel Service, Inc. shows moderate fundamental strength. Revenue growth at -3.2% and warrants monitoring. The stock may trade sideways or experience modest gains depending on execution and market conditions.

For a complete 12-month price forecast with specific bull/bear scenarios, generate the full PDF report.

Valuation Metrics (P/E, Growth, Margins)

Understanding valuation is critical for determining if UPS is fairly priced. Here's the current snapshot:

  • Market Capitalization: $90.44B
  • P/E Ratio (TTM): 16.2x (fairly valued)
  • Forward P/E: 13.4x (based on analyst estimates)
  • Debt/Equity: 1.76 (higher leverage)

Our AI weighs these metrics against growth rates and margin quality to determine if UPS offers compelling risk-adjusted returns at current prices.

Bull Case for UPS

Here's why investors are bullish on United Parcel Service, Inc.:

  • Return on Equity (33.8%)

While these positives exist, investors should weigh them against the risks outlined in the bear case below.

Bear Case & Risks for UPS

Every investment carries risk. Here are potential concerns for UPS investors:

  • Revenue Growth (-3.2%)
  • Debt/Equity (1.76)

The full PDF report includes a detailed bear case analysis with specific risk ratings for each category.

Summary / 12-Month Outlook

UPS Summary: United Parcel Service, Inc. earns a 51% Hold Score based on AI analysis of fundamental data. Trading at $106.44 with a $90.44B market cap, the stock presents a balanced risk/reward profile for the coming year.

Bull Case: Return on Equity (33.8%)

Watch: Revenue Growth (-3.2%), Debt/Equity (1.76)

For the complete analysis with specific price considerations, growth projections, and AI-powered buy/hold/sell recommendations, generate your free UPS PDF report.

Learn More About Stock Analysis

Deepen your understanding of the concepts used in this UPS analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

Learn how to evaluate stocks using financial statements and key metrics.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What P/E ratio tells you about a stock's valuation and growth expectations.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why ROE matters for stock selection and how to interpret it.

Stock Valuation Methods

Compare DCF, P/E, and other approaches to value stocks like UPS.

What Are Demand Zones?

Find key support and resistance levels for UPS and other stocks.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Understand earnings per share, revenue surprises, and guidance.

Related Tools for UPS

Demand Zone Analyzer UPS Live Chart Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

Frequently Asked Questions about UPS

Is UPS a good buy right now?
UPS currently has a Strong Buy Score of 51% (Hold). UPS shows moderate buy signals. The stock has mixed fundamentals worth reviewing in detail. Generate a free PDF report for specific buy/hold/sell recommendations.
What is the UPS stock forecast for 2026?
Our AI forecasts UPS based on current fundamentals: revenue growth of -3.2%, net margin of 6.3%, and P/E of 16.2x. The 51% Strong Buy Score reflects our outlook combining growth trajectory, margin quality, and valuation. See the full 12-month projection in your PDF report.
What are key support and resistance levels for UPS?
View real-time UPS demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our Demand Zones page. With UPS currently at $106.44, you can see how close the stock is to key technical levels. Subscribe to get alerts when UPS approaches these zones.
How do UPS fundamentals compare to peers?
United Parcel Service, Inc. operates in the Industrials sector. Key metrics for peer comparison: Gross margin 22.6%, ROE 33.8%, Debt/Equity 1.76. The 51% Strong Buy Score factors in how these metrics stack up against industry averages. Data is refreshed daily.
Is the UPS analysis PDF report free?
Yes! Your first UPS fundamental analysis report is completely free with no credit card required. The PDF includes the full Strong Buy Score breakdown, all 8 fundamental categories analyzed, AI-powered insights, and specific investment recommendations. Additional reports are available through our subscription plans starting at $24/month.
What is United Parcel Service, Inc.'s market cap and P/E ratio?
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) has a market cap of $90.44B and a trailing P/E ratio of 16.2x (forward P/E: 13.4x). These valuation metrics are key factors in our Strong Buy Score calculation. See all metrics in the PDF report for comprehensive valuation analysis.

This UPS analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.