SHOP Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

$146.91
Current Price
88%
Strong Buy
View Plans
Data refreshed: August 31, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$190.64B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
99.3x
P/E Forward
59.9x
Revenue Growth
33.7%
Gross Margin
47.8%
Net Margin
14.5%
Return on Equity
15.5%
Debt/Equity
0.01

AI Analysis Summary

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) is a Technology company in the Software - Application industry with a 88% Strong Buy Score. Key strengths include Revenue Growth (33.7%), Gross Margin (47.8%), Net Margin (14.5%). The score on this page is a five-factor screen — revenue growth, gross margin, net margin, return on equity and debt-to-equity — each scored against fixed thresholds from a neutral starting point of 50%. The eight-section analysis, including moat, free cash flow, dilution and valuation, runs in the full report.

Revenue Growth: Strong Gross Margin: Good Net Margin: Good Return on Equity: Good Debt/Equity: Low Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

Why SHOP Has a 88% Score

4 of the inputs in our model moved SHOP's score away from the neutral baseline of 50%, landing it at 88% (Strong Buy). Each one below is a specific figure from Shopify Inc.'s reported financials, not a judgement call:

Recent Catalysts for SHOP

4 data points sit outside the score itself but bear on Shopify Inc.'s next few quarters. They are reported here as observations, not predictions:

Earnings grew 68.1% — accelerating profitability could drive re-rating.
Wall Street consensus target is $171.15 (+16.5% from current price), based on 47 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.
Institutional ownership at 73.3% — strong smart-money backing.

SHOP vs. CRM, UBER, NOW, SNOW

Compared against other Software - Application companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to SHOP.

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
SHOP $146.91 $190.64B 99.3x 33.7% 14.5% 15.5%
CRM $261.33 $215.07B 23.9x 10.8% 22.0% 19.4%
UBER $76.00 $155.22B 16.7x 12.2% 17.3% 37.2%
NOW $148.26 $153.28B 92.1x 24.0% 11.3% 14.2%
SNOW $325.98 $112.98B 33.5% -23.8% -54.9%

Main Risks for SHOP Investors

2 measurable risks showed up in Shopify Inc.'s numbers. This is not a complete list of what could go wrong — only what is visible in the data we score:

High beta of 2.59 means the stock is 159% more volatile than the market — expect larger drawdowns in corrections.
Trailing P/E of 99.3x prices in significant growth — any miss could trigger a sharp selloff.

SHOP Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Shopify Inc.'s liquidity and cash generation as of the most recent filing — note the cash position of $4.95B against $178.00M of debt:

Total Cash
$4.95B
Total Debt
$178.00M
Current Ratio
5.35
FCF Yield
0.8%
EBITDA
$2.40B
Operating Margin
17.6%

Figures are drawn from Shopify Inc.'s most recent balance sheet and cash flow statement as filed with the SEC. See the filings themselves.

SHOP Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
99.3x
High expectations
Forward P/E
59.9x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
15.3x
High intangible value
PEG Ratio
2.61
Expensive vs growth
Analyst Target (Mean)
$171.15
Range: $110 – $220
52-Week Price Range — SHOP is trading at 60% of its range
$94.00 (52W Low) $182.19 (52W High)

Who Holds SHOP? — Institutional 13F Filings

Institutional investment managers with >$100 M in qualifying assets must disclose their equity positions quarterly on SEC Form 13F — typically within 45 days of quarter-end. Search those filings below to see which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers reported SHOP as a holding, how many shares they held, and how positions changed quarter over quarter.

Search 13F Filings for SHOP Free · no sign-in required · live SEC EDGAR data
What you see free
Which institutions reported SHOP, share counts, reported values, and direct links to the SEC filing.
Research Pro adds
Full manager portfolios — every position a fund holds, quarter-over-quarter changes, and concentration weights.
Data limitation
13F shows long equity positions as of the filing date. Short positions, full derivatives, and current intent are not disclosed.

Is SHOP a Buy Right Now?

We do not answer that question for you, and we do not publish buy or sell calls. What we publish is a score: SHOP rates 88% on our five-factor fundamentals screen, which puts it in the "Strong Buy" band. Everything below explains how it got there so you can disagree with it.

88% · Strong Buy band

Shopify Inc. clears our thresholds on most of what we measure. The strongest readings are revenue growth (33.7%) and gross margin (47.8%). Nothing in the data we score currently works against it.

SHOP Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Shopify Inc. reported revenue growth of 33.7% year over year, against a Software - Application peer set where scale and pricing power vary widely. Growth at that level is the single largest positive contributor to the SHOP score.

Earnings grew 68.1% over the same period, outpacing revenue — a sign of operating leverage.

Track upcoming report dates on our earnings calendar.

SHOP Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

This is a fundamentals outlook, not a price target — we do not publish one. It describes what Shopify Inc.'s current financials imply about the next three to twelve months if the trends in them hold.

Constructive: Revenue growth of 33.7% gives SHOP room to grow into its multiple. The main thing to watch over the next few quarters is whether those figures hold; the score is built on trailing data and will move if they do not.

Bull Case for SHOP

These are the Shopify Inc. figures that push the score up, taken straight from the most recent reported financials:

  • Revenue Growth (33.7%)
  • Gross Margin (47.8%)
  • Net Margin (14.5%)
  • Return on Equity (15.5%)

Learn More About Stock Analysis

Free 14-Min Course
Instructor
StrongBuy Analytics
Fundamental Research Team
How to Read Your Research Report
★★★★★ 4.9 rating
14Min
15Chapters
FreeNo sign-up

See how every metric on this SHOP page — quality score, valuation, DCF scenarios, confidence, and data limitations — fits into a professional research report.

Generate My Free SHOP Report

Guides to the specific measures used in this SHOP analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

How the financial statements behind this page fit together.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What SHOP's 99.3x multiple does and does not tell you.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why SHOP's 15.5% return on equity matters for stock selection.

Stock Valuation Methods

How DCF, multiples and asset-based approaches value a company like Shopify Inc..

How to Read Earnings Reports

Where the SHOP growth and margin figures on this page come from.

What Are Demand Zones?

The technical side we deliberately keep out of the SHOP score.

Related Tools for SHOP

Demand Zone Analyzer SHOP Live Chart SHOP SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

SHOP SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for SHOP explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

Loading recent SEC filings…
View all SHOP SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about SHOP

Is SHOP a good buy right now?
We do not issue buy or sell calls. SHOP has a Strong Buy Score of 88% (Strong Buy), which is a fundamentals rating, not a recommendation. That is at the strong end of our range: SHOP scores well on the fundamentals we weight most heavily. The score is helped most by revenue growth (33.7%). Read how scores work to see what each input contributes.
What is the SHOP stock forecast for 2026?
We publish a fundamentals outlook rather than a price target. For 2026 the SHOP view rests on revenue growth of 33.7%, a net margin of 14.5% and a trailing P/E of 99.3x, which together produce the 88% Strong Buy Score. Our methodology explains how those inputs are weighted.
What are key support and resistance levels for SHOP?
Support and resistance are technical levels, so they are not part of the fundamentals score. You can see current SHOP demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our demand zones page. With SHOP at $146.91, the tool shows how far the stock sits from the nearest zone.
Which companies are SHOP's closest peers?
On this page SHOP is compared with CRM, UBER, NOW, SNOW. Compared against other Software - Application companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to SHOP. The table puts SHOP's a gross margin of 47.8%, an ROE of 15.5%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 next to the same figures for each peer.
What is Shopify Inc.'s market cap and P/E ratio?
As of August 31, 2026, Shopify Inc. (SHOP) has a market cap of $190.64B, a trailing P/E of 99.3x and a forward P/E of 59.9x. Valuation is one of the inputs to the Strong Buy Score, alongside growth, margins, capital efficiency and balance-sheet strength.
Where does the SHOP data on this page come from?
Company financials come from Shopify Inc.'s own filings with the SEC, with prices and consensus estimates from market data feeds; the figures on this page were last refreshed on August 31, 2026. Our data sources page lists every provider and how often each one is updated.
Is the SHOP analysis PDF report free?
Your first SHOP report is free and does not require a card. The score on this page is a five-factor screen; the report runs the deeper eight-section analysis, adding moat, free cash flow, share dilution and valuation work that is not on this page. Further reports are covered by a subscription; see pricing for the current plans.

This SHOP analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.