SMCI Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

Super Micro Computer, Inc. Technology Computer Hardware
$37.23
Current Price
76%
Buy
View Plans
Data refreshed: August 31, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$24.08B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
11.4x
P/E Forward
7.0x
Revenue Growth
93.2%
Gross Margin
10.8%
Net Margin
5.7%
Return on Equity
21.5%
Debt/Equity
0.64

AI Analysis Summary

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) is a Technology company in the Computer Hardware industry with a 76% Buy Score. Key strengths include Revenue Growth (93.2%), Return on Equity (21.5%). The score on this page is a five-factor screen — revenue growth, gross margin, net margin, return on equity and debt-to-equity — each scored against fixed thresholds from a neutral starting point of 50%. The eight-section analysis, including moat, free cash flow, dilution and valuation, runs in the full report.

Revenue Growth: Strong Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Thin Return on Equity: Excellent Debt/Equity: Elevated

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

Why SMCI Has a 76% Score

4 of the inputs in our model moved SMCI's score away from the neutral baseline of 50%, landing it at 76% (Buy). Each one below is a specific figure from Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s reported financials, not a judgement call:

Recent Catalysts for SMCI

4 data points sit outside the score itself but bear on Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s next few quarters. They are reported here as observations, not predictions:

Earnings grew 409.4% — accelerating profitability could drive re-rating.
Wall Street consensus target is $42.38 (+13.8% from current price), based on 16 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Hold.
Institutional ownership at 70.6% — strong smart-money backing.

SMCI vs. IONQ, HPQ, RGTI, WDC

Compared against other Computer Hardware companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to SMCI.

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
SMCI $37.23 $24.08B 11.4x 93.2% 5.7% 21.5%
IONQ $39.85 $16.14B 286.8% -60.5%
HPQ $30.43 $27.45B 11.6x 12.5% 4.1%
RGTI $15.60 $5.21B 185.3% -43.8%
WDC $445.56 $160.64B 16.6x 43.8% 72.9% 130.9%

Main Risks for SMCI Investors

1 measurable risk showed up in Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s numbers. This is not a complete list of what could go wrong — only what is visible in the data we score:

High beta of 1.97 means the stock is 97% more volatile than the market — expect larger drawdowns in corrections.

SMCI Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s liquidity and cash generation as of the most recent filing — note the cash position of $7.52B against $9.31B of debt:

Total Cash
$7.52B
Total Debt
$9.31B
Current Ratio
3.87
FCF Yield
-34.2%
EBITDA
$2.82B
Operating Margin
13.4%

Figures are drawn from Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s most recent balance sheet and cash flow statement as filed with the SEC. See the filings themselves.

SMCI Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
11.4x
Value territory
Forward P/E
7.0x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
2.2x
Reasonable
PEG Ratio
0.91
Undervalued vs growth
Analyst Target (Mean)
$42.38
Range: $15 – $60
52-Week Price Range — SMCI is trading at 45% of its range
$19.48 (52W Low) $58.78 (52W High)

Who Holds SMCI? — Institutional 13F Filings

Institutional investment managers with >$100 M in qualifying assets must disclose their equity positions quarterly on SEC Form 13F — typically within 45 days of quarter-end. Search those filings below to see which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers reported SMCI as a holding, how many shares they held, and how positions changed quarter over quarter.

Search 13F Filings for SMCI Free · no sign-in required · live SEC EDGAR data
What you see free
Which institutions reported SMCI, share counts, reported values, and direct links to the SEC filing.
Research Pro adds
Full manager portfolios — every position a fund holds, quarter-over-quarter changes, and concentration weights.
Data limitation
13F shows long equity positions as of the filing date. Short positions, full derivatives, and current intent are not disclosed.

Is SMCI a Buy Right Now?

We do not answer that question for you, and we do not publish buy or sell calls. What we publish is a score: SMCI rates 76% on our five-factor fundamentals screen, which puts it in the "Buy" band. Everything below explains how it got there so you can disagree with it.

76% · Buy band

Super Micro Computer, Inc. clears our thresholds on most of what we measure. The strongest readings are revenue growth (93.2%) and return on equity (21.5%). Nothing in the data we score currently works against it.

SMCI Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Super Micro Computer, Inc. reported revenue growth of 93.2% year over year, against a Computer Hardware peer set where scale and pricing power vary widely. Growth at that level is the single largest positive contributor to the SMCI score.

Earnings grew 409.4% over the same period, outpacing revenue — a sign of operating leverage.

Track upcoming report dates on our earnings calendar.

SMCI Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

This is a fundamentals outlook, not a price target — we do not publish one. It describes what Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s current financials imply about the next three to twelve months if the trends in them hold.

Constructive: Revenue growth of 93.2% gives SMCI room to grow into its multiple. The main thing to watch over the next few quarters is whether those figures hold; the score is built on trailing data and will move if they do not.

Bull Case for SMCI

These are the Super Micro Computer, Inc. figures that push the score up, taken straight from the most recent reported financials:

  • Revenue Growth (93.2%)
  • Return on Equity (21.5%)

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Guides to the specific measures used in this SMCI analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

How the financial statements behind this page fit together.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What SMCI's 11.4x multiple does and does not tell you.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why SMCI's 21.5% return on equity matters for stock selection.

Stock Valuation Methods

How DCF, multiples and asset-based approaches value a company like Super Micro Computer, Inc..

How to Read Earnings Reports

Where the SMCI growth and margin figures on this page come from.

What Are Demand Zones?

The technical side we deliberately keep out of the SMCI score.

Related Tools for SMCI

Demand Zone Analyzer SMCI Live Chart SMCI SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

SMCI SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for SMCI explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

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View all SMCI SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about SMCI

Is SMCI a good buy right now?
We do not issue buy or sell calls. SMCI has a Strong Buy Score of 76% (Buy), which is a fundamentals rating, not a recommendation. That is at the strong end of our range: SMCI scores well on the fundamentals we weight most heavily. The score is helped most by revenue growth (93.2%). Read how scores work to see what each input contributes.
What is the SMCI stock forecast for 2026?
We publish a fundamentals outlook rather than a price target. For 2026 the SMCI view rests on revenue growth of 93.2%, a net margin of 5.7% and a trailing P/E of 11.4x, which together produce the 76% Strong Buy Score. Our methodology explains how those inputs are weighted.
What are key support and resistance levels for SMCI?
Support and resistance are technical levels, so they are not part of the fundamentals score. You can see current SMCI demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our demand zones page. With SMCI at $37.23, the tool shows how far the stock sits from the nearest zone.
Which companies are SMCI's closest peers?
On this page SMCI is compared with IONQ, HPQ, RGTI, WDC. Compared against other Computer Hardware companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to SMCI. The table puts SMCI's a gross margin of 10.8%, an ROE of 21.5%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64 next to the same figures for each peer.
What is Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s market cap and P/E ratio?
As of August 31, 2026, Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has a market cap of $24.08B, a trailing P/E of 11.4x and a forward P/E of 7.0x. Valuation is one of the inputs to the Strong Buy Score, alongside growth, margins, capital efficiency and balance-sheet strength.
Where does the SMCI data on this page come from?
Company financials come from Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s own filings with the SEC, with prices and consensus estimates from market data feeds; the figures on this page were last refreshed on August 31, 2026. Our data sources page lists every provider and how often each one is updated.
Is the SMCI analysis PDF report free?
Your first SMCI report is free and does not require a card. The score on this page is a five-factor screen; the report runs the deeper eight-section analysis, adding moat, free cash flow, share dilution and valuation work that is not on this page. Further reports are covered by a subscription; see pricing for the current plans.

This SMCI analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.