STX Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

Seagate Technology Holdings plc Technology Computer Hardware
$568.69
Current Price
66%
Buy
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Data refreshed: April 22, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$127.40B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
64.3x
P/E Forward
27.2x
Revenue Growth
21.5%
Gross Margin
38.8%
Net Margin
19.6%
Debt/Equity
10.47

AI Analysis Summary

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) is a Technology company in the Computer Hardware industry with a 66% Buy Score. Key strengths include Revenue Growth (21.5%), Gross Margin (38.8%), Net Margin (19.6%). Areas to watch: Debt/Equity (10.47). Our AI evaluates 8 fundamental categories including revenue growth, margin quality, balance sheet strength, cash flow generation, return on capital, and valuation metrics.

Revenue Growth: Strong Gross Margin: Good Net Margin: Good Debt/Equity: High Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

STX Fundamental Analysis Report
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66%
Strong Buy Score
  • 8 Fundamental Categories Analyzed
  • Revenue & Growth Trends
  • Margin & Profitability Analysis
  • Balance Sheet Strength
  • Cash Flow Quality
  • Valuation Assessment
  • AI-Powered Investment Insights
Get Your Free STX Report

How It Works: AI Stock Analysis in 60 Seconds

See how our AI analyzes STX fundamentals to generate buy/sell signals and Strong Buy Scores.

Why STX Has a 66% Score

Our AI evaluates Seagate Technology Holdings plc's fundamentals across multiple dimensions. Here is what is driving the current Buy rating:

Recent Catalysts for STX

Key developments and data points that may impact Seagate Technology Holdings plc's trajectory:

Earnings grew 67.7% — accelerating profitability could drive re-rating.
Wall Street consensus target is $518.93 (-8.8% from current price), based on 22 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.
Institutional ownership at 87.6% — strong smart-money backing.

STX vs. Peers

How Seagate Technology Holdings plc stacks up against comparable Technology companies on key metrics:

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
STX $568.69 $127.40B 64.3x 21.5% 19.6%
AAPL $268.62 $3.95T 34.0x 15.7% 27.0% 152.0%
MSFT $427.70 $3.18T 26.7x 16.7% 39.0% 34.4%
GOOGL $332.29 $4.02T 30.8x 18.0% 32.8% 35.7%
META $672.89 $1.71T 28.7x 23.8% 30.1% 30.2%

Main Risks for STX Investors

Every investment carries risk. Here are the specific risk factors our analysis identified for Seagate Technology Holdings plc:

Debt/Equity (10.47)
High beta of 1.63 means the stock is 63% more volatile than the market — expect larger drawdowns in corrections.
Trailing P/E of 64.3x prices in significant growth — any miss could trigger a sharp selloff.
High leverage amplifies downside risk if revenue softens or interest rates rise.

Generate the full PDF report for a detailed risk-reward framework and bear-case scenarios.

STX Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

A snapshot of Seagate Technology Holdings plc's financial health based on the most recent filings:

Total Cash
$1.05B
Total Debt
$4.80B
Current Ratio
1.12
FCF Yield
0.9%
EBITDA
$2.85B
Operating Margin
29.9%

Data sourced from the latest SEC filings. Generate the full PDF report for detailed balance sheet and cash flow commentary.

STX Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
64.3x
High expectations
Forward P/E
27.2x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
270.3x
High intangible value
PEG Ratio
0.82
Undervalued vs growth
Analyst Target (Mean)
$518.93
Range: $375 – $700
Dividend Yield
0.53%
5Y avg: 3.10%
52-Week Price Range — STX is trading at 97% of its range
$77.56 (52W Low) $586.00 (52W High)

Is STX a Buy Right Now?

Based on our AI-powered fundamental analysis, STX has a Strong Buy Score of 66%, earning a "Buy" rating. This score synthesizes 8 key financial metrics to provide an objective investment signal.

Moderate Buy Signal

Seagate Technology Holdings plc shows mixed fundamentals with some strengths and areas to monitor. Positives include Revenue Growth (21.5%). Watch for Debt/Equity (10.47).

STX AI Buy & Sell Signals Explained

Our AI analyzes Seagate Technology Holdings plc's financial statements to generate buy/sell signals based on quantitative metrics, not market sentiment or news headlines. Here's what drives the 66% score:

  • Revenue Growth: 21.5% year-over-year (above average)
  • Gross Margin: 38.8% (healthy)
  • Net Margin: 19.6% (highly profitable)

Generate the full PDF report for complete category-by-category scoring and AI-powered investment recommendations.

Key Support / Demand Zones

Technical traders can view real-time demand and supply zones for STX on our Demand Zones page. These zones identify key price levels where institutional buying or selling has historically occurred.

With STX currently trading at $568.69, our system monitors proximity to these critical levels and can alert you when the stock approaches support or resistance zones.

Subscribe to demand zone alerts to receive real-time notifications when STX reaches key technical levels.

Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Seagate Technology Holdings plc operates in the Technology sector, specifically in Computer Hardware. Understanding earnings trends is crucial for forecasting STX's trajectory.

Current revenue growth of 21.5% significantly outpaces the average company. This strong growth trajectory supports a higher valuation multiple.

Visit our Earnings Calendar to track upcoming STX earnings dates and historical beat/miss patterns. Sign up for earnings alerts to get notified before announcements.

STX Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

Our AI projects STX's trajectory based on current fundamentals and historical patterns. With a 66% Strong Buy Score, here's what the data suggests:

Mixed Outlook: Seagate Technology Holdings plc shows moderate fundamental strength. Revenue growth at 21.5% is positive but warrants monitoring. The stock may trade sideways or experience modest gains depending on execution and market conditions.

For a complete 12-month price forecast with specific bull/bear scenarios, generate the full PDF report.

Valuation Metrics (P/E, Growth, Margins)

Understanding valuation is critical for determining if STX is fairly priced. Here's the current snapshot:

  • Market Capitalization: $127.40B
  • P/E Ratio (TTM): 64.3x (high expectations)
  • Forward P/E: 27.2x (based on analyst estimates)
  • Debt/Equity: 10.47 (higher leverage)

Our AI weighs these metrics against growth rates and margin quality to determine if STX offers compelling risk-adjusted returns at current prices.

Bull Case for STX

Here's why investors are bullish on Seagate Technology Holdings plc:

  • Revenue Growth (21.5%)
  • Gross Margin (38.8%)
  • Net Margin (19.6%)

While these positives exist, investors should weigh them against the risks outlined in the bear case below.

Bear Case & Risks for STX

Every investment carries risk. Here are potential concerns for STX investors:

  • Debt/Equity (10.47)

The full PDF report includes a detailed bear case analysis with specific risk ratings for each category.

Summary / 12-Month Outlook

STX Summary: Seagate Technology Holdings plc earns a 66% Buy Score based on AI analysis of fundamental data. Trading at $568.69 with a $127.40B market cap, the stock presents a balanced risk/reward profile for the coming year.

Bull Case: Revenue Growth (21.5%), Gross Margin (38.8%)

Watch: Debt/Equity (10.47)

For the complete analysis with specific price considerations, growth projections, and AI-powered buy/hold/sell recommendations, generate your free STX PDF report.

Learn More About Stock Analysis

Deepen your understanding of the concepts used in this STX analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

Learn how to evaluate stocks using financial statements and key metrics.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What P/E ratio tells you about a stock's valuation and growth expectations.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why ROE matters for stock selection and how to interpret it.

Stock Valuation Methods

Compare DCF, P/E, and other approaches to value stocks like STX.

What Are Demand Zones?

Find key support and resistance levels for STX and other stocks.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Understand earnings per share, revenue surprises, and guidance.

Related Tools for STX

Demand Zone Analyzer STX Live Chart STX SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

STX SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for STX explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

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View all STX SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about STX

Is STX a good buy right now?
STX currently has a Strong Buy Score of 66% (Buy). STX shows moderate buy signals. The stock has mixed fundamentals worth reviewing in detail. Generate a free PDF report for specific buy/hold/sell recommendations.
What is the STX stock forecast for 2026?
Our AI forecasts STX based on current fundamentals: revenue growth of 21.5%, net margin of 19.6%, and P/E of 64.3x. The 66% Strong Buy Score reflects our outlook combining growth trajectory, margin quality, and valuation. See the full 12-month projection in your PDF report.
What are key support and resistance levels for STX?
View real-time STX demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our Demand Zones page. With STX currently at $568.69, you can see how close the stock is to key technical levels. Subscribe to get alerts when STX approaches these zones.
How do STX fundamentals compare to peers?
Seagate Technology Holdings plc operates in the Technology sector. Key metrics for peer comparison: Gross margin 38.8%, Debt/Equity 10.47. The 66% Strong Buy Score factors in how these metrics stack up against industry averages. Data is refreshed daily.
Is the STX analysis PDF report free?
Yes! Your first STX fundamental analysis report is completely free with no credit card required. The PDF includes the full Strong Buy Score breakdown, all 8 fundamental categories analyzed, AI-powered insights, and specific investment recommendations. Additional reports are available through our subscription plans starting at $24/month.
What is Seagate Technology Holdings plc's market cap and P/E ratio?
Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) has a market cap of $127.40B and a trailing P/E ratio of 64.3x (forward P/E: 27.2x). These valuation metrics are key factors in our Strong Buy Score calculation. See all metrics in the PDF report for comprehensive valuation analysis.

This STX analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.