LI Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

Li Auto Inc. Consumer Cyclical Auto Manufacturers
$18.86
Current Price
59%
Hold
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Data refreshed: April 22, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$19.28B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
117.9x
P/E Forward
21.3x
Revenue Growth
-35.0%
Gross Margin
18.7%
Net Margin
1.0%
Return on Equity
1.6%
Debt/Equity
0.24

AI Analysis Summary

Li Auto Inc. (LI) is a Consumer Cyclical company in the Auto Manufacturers industry with a 59% Hold Score. Key strengths include Debt/Equity (0.24). Areas to watch: Revenue Growth (-35.0%). Our AI evaluates 8 fundamental categories including revenue growth, margin quality, balance sheet strength, cash flow generation, return on capital, and valuation metrics.

Revenue Growth: Weak Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Thin Return on Equity: Low Debt/Equity: Low Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

LI Fundamental Analysis Report
PDF Report Preview
59%
Strong Buy Score
  • 8 Fundamental Categories Analyzed
  • Revenue & Growth Trends
  • Margin & Profitability Analysis
  • Balance Sheet Strength
  • Cash Flow Quality
  • Valuation Assessment
  • AI-Powered Investment Insights
Get Your Free LI Report

How It Works: AI Stock Analysis in 60 Seconds

See how our AI analyzes LI fundamentals to generate buy/sell signals and Strong Buy Scores.

Why LI Has a 59% Score

Our AI evaluates Li Auto Inc.'s fundamentals across multiple dimensions. Here is what is driving the current Hold rating:

Recent Catalysts for LI

Key developments and data points that may impact Li Auto Inc.'s trajectory:

Earnings declined -99.8% — watch for stabilization in coming quarters.
Wall Street consensus target is $21.13 (+12.0% from current price), based on 27 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Hold.
Short ratio of 6.5 days to cover — elevated short interest could fuel a squeeze on positive news.

LI vs. Peers

How Li Auto Inc. stacks up against comparable Consumer Cyclical companies on key metrics:

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
LI $18.86 $19.28B 117.9x -35.0% 1.0% 1.6%
AMZN $252.06 $2.71T 35.2x 13.6% 10.8% 22.3%
TSLA $391.19 $1.47T 362.2x -3.1% 4.0% 4.9%
HD $343.35 $341.99B 24.1x -3.8% 8.6% 145.5%
NKE $46.77 $69.26B 30.8x 0.1% 4.8% 16.0%

Main Risks for LI Investors

Every investment carries risk. Here are the specific risk factors our analysis identified for Li Auto Inc.:

Revenue Growth (-35.0%)
Low beta of 0.58 suggests limited upside participation in bull markets.
Trailing P/E of 117.9x prices in significant growth — any miss could trigger a sharp selloff.
Short interest is elevated with a 6.5-day cover ratio, indicating bearish bets against the stock.

Generate the full PDF report for a detailed risk-reward framework and bear-case scenarios.

LI Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

A snapshot of Li Auto Inc.'s financial health based on the most recent filings:

Total Cash
$101.02B
Total Debt
$17.81B
Current Ratio
1.81
FCF Yield
-58.7%
EBITDA
$4.03B
Operating Margin
-2.0%

Data sourced from the latest SEC filings. Generate the full PDF report for detailed balance sheet and cash flow commentary.

LI Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
117.9x
High expectations
Forward P/E
21.3x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
1.8x
Reasonable
PEG Ratio
1.04
Fairly valued
Analyst Target (Mean)
$21.13
Range: $15 – $36
52-Week Price Range — LI is trading at 19% of its range
$15.71 (52W Low) $32.02 (52W High)

Is LI a Buy Right Now?

Based on our AI-powered fundamental analysis, LI has a Strong Buy Score of 59%, earning a "Hold" rating. This score synthesizes 8 key financial metrics to provide an objective investment signal.

Moderate Buy Signal

Li Auto Inc. shows mixed fundamentals with some strengths and areas to monitor. Positives include Debt/Equity (0.24). Watch for Revenue Growth (-35.0%).

LI AI Buy & Sell Signals Explained

Our AI analyzes Li Auto Inc.'s financial statements to generate buy/sell signals based on quantitative metrics, not market sentiment or news headlines. Here's what drives the 59% score:

  • Revenue Growth: -35.0% year-over-year (declining)
  • Gross Margin: 18.7% (tight margins)
  • Net Margin: 1.0% (profitable)
  • Return on Equity: 1.6% (positive returns)

Generate the full PDF report for complete category-by-category scoring and AI-powered investment recommendations.

Key Support / Demand Zones

Technical traders can view real-time demand and supply zones for LI on our Demand Zones page. These zones identify key price levels where institutional buying or selling has historically occurred.

With LI currently trading at $18.86, our system monitors proximity to these critical levels and can alert you when the stock approaches support or resistance zones.

Subscribe to demand zone alerts to receive real-time notifications when LI reaches key technical levels.

Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Li Auto Inc. operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically in Auto Manufacturers. Understanding earnings trends is crucial for forecasting LI's trajectory.

Current revenue growth of -35.0% trails the average company.

Visit our Earnings Calendar to track upcoming LI earnings dates and historical beat/miss patterns. Sign up for earnings alerts to get notified before announcements.

LI Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

Our AI projects LI's trajectory based on current fundamentals and historical patterns. With a 59% Strong Buy Score, here's what the data suggests:

Mixed Outlook: Li Auto Inc. shows moderate fundamental strength. Revenue growth at -35.0% and warrants monitoring. The stock may trade sideways or experience modest gains depending on execution and market conditions.

For a complete 12-month price forecast with specific bull/bear scenarios, generate the full PDF report.

Valuation Metrics (P/E, Growth, Margins)

Understanding valuation is critical for determining if LI is fairly priced. Here's the current snapshot:

  • Market Capitalization: $19.28B
  • P/E Ratio (TTM): 117.9x (high expectations)
  • Forward P/E: 21.3x (based on analyst estimates)
  • Debt/Equity: 0.24 (conservative balance sheet)

Our AI weighs these metrics against growth rates and margin quality to determine if LI offers compelling risk-adjusted returns at current prices.

Bull Case for LI

Here's why investors are bullish on Li Auto Inc.:

  • Debt/Equity (0.24)

While these positives exist, investors should weigh them against the risks outlined in the bear case below.

Bear Case & Risks for LI

Every investment carries risk. Here are potential concerns for LI investors:

  • Revenue Growth (-35.0%)

The full PDF report includes a detailed bear case analysis with specific risk ratings for each category.

Summary / 12-Month Outlook

LI Summary: Li Auto Inc. earns a 59% Hold Score based on AI analysis of fundamental data. Trading at $18.86 with a $19.28B market cap, the stock presents a balanced risk/reward profile for the coming year.

Bull Case: Debt/Equity (0.24)

Watch: Revenue Growth (-35.0%)

For the complete analysis with specific price considerations, growth projections, and AI-powered buy/hold/sell recommendations, generate your free LI PDF report.

Learn More About Stock Analysis

Deepen your understanding of the concepts used in this LI analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

Learn how to evaluate stocks using financial statements and key metrics.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What P/E ratio tells you about a stock's valuation and growth expectations.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why ROE matters for stock selection and how to interpret it.

Stock Valuation Methods

Compare DCF, P/E, and other approaches to value stocks like LI.

What Are Demand Zones?

Find key support and resistance levels for LI and other stocks.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Understand earnings per share, revenue surprises, and guidance.

Related Tools for LI

Demand Zone Analyzer LI Live Chart LI SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

LI SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for LI explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

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Frequently Asked Questions about LI

Is LI a good buy right now?
LI currently has a Strong Buy Score of 59% (Hold). LI shows moderate buy signals. The stock has mixed fundamentals worth reviewing in detail. Generate a free PDF report for specific buy/hold/sell recommendations.
What is the LI stock forecast for 2026?
Our AI forecasts LI based on current fundamentals: revenue growth of -35.0%, net margin of 1.0%, and P/E of 117.9x. The 59% Strong Buy Score reflects our outlook combining growth trajectory, margin quality, and valuation. See the full 12-month projection in your PDF report.
What are key support and resistance levels for LI?
View real-time LI demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our Demand Zones page. With LI currently at $18.86, you can see how close the stock is to key technical levels. Subscribe to get alerts when LI approaches these zones.
How do LI fundamentals compare to peers?
Li Auto Inc. operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Key metrics for peer comparison: Gross margin 18.7%, ROE 1.6%, Debt/Equity 0.24. The 59% Strong Buy Score factors in how these metrics stack up against industry averages. Data is refreshed daily.
Is the LI analysis PDF report free?
Yes! Your first LI fundamental analysis report is completely free with no credit card required. The PDF includes the full Strong Buy Score breakdown, all 8 fundamental categories analyzed, AI-powered insights, and specific investment recommendations. Additional reports are available through our subscription plans starting at $24/month.
What is Li Auto Inc.'s market cap and P/E ratio?
Li Auto Inc. (LI) has a market cap of $19.28B and a trailing P/E ratio of 117.9x (forward P/E: 21.3x). These valuation metrics are key factors in our Strong Buy Score calculation. See all metrics in the PDF report for comprehensive valuation analysis.

This LI analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.