TSLA Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

Tesla, Inc. Consumer Cyclical Auto Manufacturers
$391.95
Current Price
59%
Hold
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Data refreshed: April 16, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$1.47T
P/E Ratio (TTM)
356.3x
P/E Forward
141.4x
Revenue Growth
-3.1%
Gross Margin
18.0%
Net Margin
4.0%
Return on Equity
4.9%
Debt/Equity
0.18

AI Analysis Summary

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is a Consumer Cyclical company in the Auto Manufacturers industry with a 59% Hold Score. Key strengths include Debt/Equity (0.18). Areas to watch: Revenue Growth (-3.1%). Our AI evaluates 8 fundamental categories including revenue growth, margin quality, balance sheet strength, cash flow generation, return on capital, and valuation metrics.

Revenue Growth: Weak Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Thin Return on Equity: Low Debt/Equity: Low Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

TSLA Fundamental Analysis Report
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59%
Strong Buy Score
  • 8 Fundamental Categories Analyzed
  • Revenue & Growth Trends
  • Margin & Profitability Analysis
  • Balance Sheet Strength
  • Cash Flow Quality
  • Valuation Assessment
  • AI-Powered Investment Insights
Get Your Free TSLA Report

How It Works: AI Stock Analysis in 60 Seconds

See how our AI analyzes TSLA fundamentals to generate buy/sell signals and Strong Buy Scores.

Why TSLA Has a 59% Score

Our AI evaluates Tesla, Inc.'s fundamentals across multiple dimensions. Here is what is driving the current Hold rating:

Recent Catalysts for TSLA

Key developments and data points that may impact Tesla, Inc.'s trajectory:

Earnings declined -60.6% — watch for stabilization in coming quarters.
Wall Street consensus target is $414.59 (+5.8% from current price), based on 41 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.

TSLA vs. Peers

How Tesla, Inc. stacks up against comparable Consumer Cyclical companies on key metrics:

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
TSLA $391.95 $1.47T 356.3x -3.1% 4.0% 4.9%
AMZN $248.50 $2.67T 34.6x 13.6% 10.8% 22.3%
HD $338.91 $337.56B 23.8x -3.8% 8.6% 145.5%
NKE $45.44 $67.29B 29.1x 0.1% 4.8% 16.0%
MCD $306.26 $217.70B 25.6x 9.7% 31.9%

Main Risks for TSLA Investors

Every investment carries risk. Here are the specific risk factors our analysis identified for Tesla, Inc.:

Revenue Growth (-3.1%)
High beta of 1.92 means the stock is 92% more volatile than the market — expect larger drawdowns in corrections.
Trailing P/E of 356.3x prices in significant growth — any miss could trigger a sharp selloff.

Generate the full PDF report for a detailed risk-reward framework and bear-case scenarios.

TSLA Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

A snapshot of Tesla, Inc.'s financial health based on the most recent filings:

Total Cash
$44.06B
Total Debt
$14.72B
Current Ratio
2.16
FCF Yield
0.3%
EBITDA
$10.50B
Operating Margin
4.7%

Data sourced from the latest SEC filings. Generate the full PDF report for detailed balance sheet and cash flow commentary.

TSLA Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
356.3x
High expectations
Forward P/E
141.4x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
17.9x
High intangible value
Analyst Target (Mean)
$414.59
Range: $125 – $600
52-Week Price Range — TSLA is trading at 61% of its range
$222.79 (52W Low) $498.83 (52W High)

Is TSLA a Buy Right Now?

Based on our AI-powered fundamental analysis, TSLA has a Strong Buy Score of 59%, earning a "Hold" rating. This score synthesizes 8 key financial metrics to provide an objective investment signal.

Moderate Buy Signal

Tesla, Inc. shows mixed fundamentals with some strengths and areas to monitor. Positives include Debt/Equity (0.18). Watch for Revenue Growth (-3.1%).

TSLA AI Buy & Sell Signals Explained

Our AI analyzes Tesla, Inc.'s financial statements to generate buy/sell signals based on quantitative metrics, not market sentiment or news headlines. Here's what drives the 59% score:

  • Revenue Growth: -3.1% year-over-year (declining)
  • Gross Margin: 18.0% (tight margins)
  • Net Margin: 4.0% (profitable)
  • Return on Equity: 4.9% (positive returns)

Generate the full PDF report for complete category-by-category scoring and AI-powered investment recommendations.

Key Support / Demand Zones

Technical traders can view real-time demand and supply zones for TSLA on our Demand Zones page. These zones identify key price levels where institutional buying or selling has historically occurred.

With TSLA currently trading at $391.95, our system monitors proximity to these critical levels and can alert you when the stock approaches support or resistance zones.

Subscribe to demand zone alerts to receive real-time notifications when TSLA reaches key technical levels.

Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Tesla, Inc. operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically in Auto Manufacturers. Understanding earnings trends is crucial for forecasting TSLA's trajectory.

Current revenue growth of -3.1% trails the average company.

Visit our Earnings Calendar to track upcoming TSLA earnings dates and historical beat/miss patterns. Sign up for earnings alerts to get notified before announcements.

TSLA Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

Our AI projects TSLA's trajectory based on current fundamentals and historical patterns. With a 59% Strong Buy Score, here's what the data suggests:

Mixed Outlook: Tesla, Inc. shows moderate fundamental strength. Revenue growth at -3.1% and warrants monitoring. The stock may trade sideways or experience modest gains depending on execution and market conditions.

For a complete 12-month price forecast with specific bull/bear scenarios, generate the full PDF report.

Valuation Metrics (P/E, Growth, Margins)

Understanding valuation is critical for determining if TSLA is fairly priced. Here's the current snapshot:

  • Market Capitalization: $1.47T
  • P/E Ratio (TTM): 356.3x (high expectations)
  • Forward P/E: 141.4x (based on analyst estimates)
  • Debt/Equity: 0.18 (conservative balance sheet)

Our AI weighs these metrics against growth rates and margin quality to determine if TSLA offers compelling risk-adjusted returns at current prices.

Bull Case for TSLA

Here's why investors are bullish on Tesla, Inc.:

  • Debt/Equity (0.18)

While these positives exist, investors should weigh them against the risks outlined in the bear case below.

Bear Case & Risks for TSLA

Every investment carries risk. Here are potential concerns for TSLA investors:

  • Revenue Growth (-3.1%)

The full PDF report includes a detailed bear case analysis with specific risk ratings for each category.

Summary / 12-Month Outlook

TSLA Summary: Tesla, Inc. earns a 59% Hold Score based on AI analysis of fundamental data. Trading at $391.95 with a $1.47T market cap, the stock presents a balanced risk/reward profile for the coming year.

Bull Case: Debt/Equity (0.18)

Watch: Revenue Growth (-3.1%)

For the complete analysis with specific price considerations, growth projections, and AI-powered buy/hold/sell recommendations, generate your free TSLA PDF report.

Learn More About Stock Analysis

Deepen your understanding of the concepts used in this TSLA analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

Learn how to evaluate stocks using financial statements and key metrics.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What P/E ratio tells you about a stock's valuation and growth expectations.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why ROE matters for stock selection and how to interpret it.

Stock Valuation Methods

Compare DCF, P/E, and other approaches to value stocks like TSLA.

What Are Demand Zones?

Find key support and resistance levels for TSLA and other stocks.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Understand earnings per share, revenue surprises, and guidance.

Related Tools for TSLA

Demand Zone Analyzer TSLA Live Chart Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

Frequently Asked Questions about TSLA

Is TSLA a good buy right now?
TSLA currently has a Strong Buy Score of 59% (Hold). TSLA shows moderate buy signals. The stock has mixed fundamentals worth reviewing in detail. Generate a free PDF report for specific buy/hold/sell recommendations.
What is the TSLA stock forecast for 2026?
Our AI forecasts TSLA based on current fundamentals: revenue growth of -3.1%, net margin of 4.0%, and P/E of 356.3x. The 59% Strong Buy Score reflects our outlook combining growth trajectory, margin quality, and valuation. See the full 12-month projection in your PDF report.
What are key support and resistance levels for TSLA?
View real-time TSLA demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our Demand Zones page. With TSLA currently at $391.95, you can see how close the stock is to key technical levels. Subscribe to get alerts when TSLA approaches these zones.
How do TSLA fundamentals compare to peers?
Tesla, Inc. operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Key metrics for peer comparison: Gross margin 18.0%, ROE 4.9%, Debt/Equity 0.18. The 59% Strong Buy Score factors in how these metrics stack up against industry averages. Data is refreshed daily.
Is the TSLA analysis PDF report free?
Yes! Your first TSLA fundamental analysis report is completely free with no credit card required. The PDF includes the full Strong Buy Score breakdown, all 8 fundamental categories analyzed, AI-powered insights, and specific investment recommendations. Additional reports are available through our subscription plans starting at $24/month.
What is Tesla, Inc.'s market cap and P/E ratio?
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a market cap of $1.47T and a trailing P/E ratio of 356.3x (forward P/E: 141.4x). These valuation metrics are key factors in our Strong Buy Score calculation. See all metrics in the PDF report for comprehensive valuation analysis.

This TSLA analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.