TSLA Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

$364.79
Current Price
76%
Buy
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Data refreshed: August 31, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$1.44T
P/E Ratio (TTM)
337.8x
P/E Forward
169.0x
Revenue Growth
25.5%
Gross Margin
18.9%
Net Margin
3.7%
Return on Equity
4.7%
Debt/Equity
0.18

AI Analysis Summary

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is a Consumer Cyclical company in the Auto Manufacturers industry with a 76% Buy Score. Key strengths include Revenue Growth (25.5%), Debt/Equity (0.18). The score on this page is a five-factor screen — revenue growth, gross margin, net margin, return on equity and debt-to-equity — each scored against fixed thresholds from a neutral starting point of 50%. The eight-section analysis, including moat, free cash flow, dilution and valuation, runs in the full report.

Revenue Growth: Strong Gross Margin: Average Net Margin: Thin Return on Equity: Low Debt/Equity: Low Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

Why TSLA Has a 76% Score

4 of the inputs in our model moved TSLA's score away from the neutral baseline of 50%, landing it at 76% (Buy). Each one below is a specific figure from Tesla, Inc.'s reported financials, not a judgement call:

Recent Catalysts for TSLA

2 data points sit outside the score itself but bear on Tesla, Inc.'s next few quarters. They are reported here as observations, not predictions:

Wall Street consensus target is $390.09 (+6.9% from current price), based on 39 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.

TSLA vs. GM, F, RIVN, LI

Compared against other Auto Manufacturers companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to TSLA.

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
TSLA $364.79 $1.44T 337.8x 25.5% 3.7% 4.7%
GM $86.41 $78.15B 38.6x 1.9% 1.1% 3.2%
F $13.95 $55.63B -3.8% -3.9% -18.3%
RIVN $16.07 $23.27B 27.2% -55.0% -57.5%
LI $12.19 $11.94B -15.1% -4.4% -6.6%

Main Risks for TSLA Investors

2 measurable risks showed up in Tesla, Inc.'s numbers. This is not a complete list of what could go wrong — only what is visible in the data we score:

High beta of 1.83 means the stock is 83% more volatile than the market — expect larger drawdowns in corrections.
Trailing P/E of 337.8x prices in significant growth — any miss could trigger a sharp selloff.

TSLA Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Tesla, Inc.'s liquidity and cash generation as of the most recent filing — note the cash position of $43.52B against $16.08B of debt:

Total Cash
$43.52B
Total Debt
$16.08B
Current Ratio
1.94
FCF Yield
0.3%
EBITDA
$10.76B
Operating Margin
1.4%

Figures are drawn from Tesla, Inc.'s most recent balance sheet and cash flow statement as filed with the SEC. See the filings themselves.

TSLA Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
337.8x
High expectations
Forward P/E
169.0x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
16.6x
High intangible value
PEG Ratio
5.20
Expensive vs growth
Analyst Target (Mean)
$390.09
Range: $125 – $600
52-Week Price Range — TSLA is trading at 33% of its range
$297.38 (52W Low) $498.83 (52W High)

Who Holds TSLA? — Institutional 13F Filings

Institutional investment managers with >$100 M in qualifying assets must disclose their equity positions quarterly on SEC Form 13F — typically within 45 days of quarter-end. Search those filings below to see which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers reported TSLA as a holding, how many shares they held, and how positions changed quarter over quarter.

Search 13F Filings for TSLA Free · no sign-in required · live SEC EDGAR data
What you see free
Which institutions reported TSLA, share counts, reported values, and direct links to the SEC filing.
Research Pro adds
Full manager portfolios — every position a fund holds, quarter-over-quarter changes, and concentration weights.
Data limitation
13F shows long equity positions as of the filing date. Short positions, full derivatives, and current intent are not disclosed.

Is TSLA a Buy Right Now?

We do not answer that question for you, and we do not publish buy or sell calls. What we publish is a score: TSLA rates 76% on our five-factor fundamentals screen, which puts it in the "Buy" band. Everything below explains how it got there so you can disagree with it.

76% · Buy band

Tesla, Inc. clears our thresholds on most of what we measure. The strongest readings are revenue growth (25.5%) and debt/equity (0.18). Nothing in the data we score currently works against it.

TSLA Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Tesla, Inc. reported revenue growth of 25.5% year over year, against a Auto Manufacturers peer set where scale and pricing power vary widely. Growth at that level is the single largest positive contributor to the TSLA score.

Earnings fell -3.0% over the same period, trailing revenue, which points to cost or margin pressure.

Track upcoming report dates on our earnings calendar.

TSLA Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

This is a fundamentals outlook, not a price target — we do not publish one. It describes what Tesla, Inc.'s current financials imply about the next three to twelve months if the trends in them hold.

Constructive: Revenue growth of 25.5% gives TSLA room to grow into its multiple. The main thing to watch over the next few quarters is whether those figures hold; the score is built on trailing data and will move if they do not.

Bull Case for TSLA

These are the Tesla, Inc. figures that push the score up, taken straight from the most recent reported financials:

  • Revenue Growth (25.5%)
  • Debt/Equity (0.18)

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Guides to the specific measures used in this TSLA analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

How the financial statements behind this page fit together.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What TSLA's 337.8x multiple does and does not tell you.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why TSLA's 4.7% return on equity matters for stock selection.

Stock Valuation Methods

How DCF, multiples and asset-based approaches value a company like Tesla, Inc..

How to Read Earnings Reports

Where the TSLA growth and margin figures on this page come from.

What Are Demand Zones?

The technical side we deliberately keep out of the TSLA score.

Related Tools for TSLA

Demand Zone Analyzer TSLA Live Chart TSLA SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

TSLA SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for TSLA explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

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View all TSLA SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about TSLA

Is TSLA a good buy right now?
We do not issue buy or sell calls. TSLA has a Strong Buy Score of 76% (Buy), which is a fundamentals rating, not a recommendation. That is at the strong end of our range: TSLA scores well on the fundamentals we weight most heavily. The score is helped most by revenue growth (25.5%). Read how scores work to see what each input contributes.
What is the TSLA stock forecast for 2026?
We publish a fundamentals outlook rather than a price target. For 2026 the TSLA view rests on revenue growth of 25.5%, a net margin of 3.7% and a trailing P/E of 337.8x, which together produce the 76% Strong Buy Score. Our methodology explains how those inputs are weighted.
What are key support and resistance levels for TSLA?
Support and resistance are technical levels, so they are not part of the fundamentals score. You can see current TSLA demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our demand zones page. With TSLA at $364.79, the tool shows how far the stock sits from the nearest zone.
Which companies are TSLA's closest peers?
On this page TSLA is compared with GM, F, RIVN, LI. Compared against other Auto Manufacturers companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to TSLA. The table puts TSLA's a gross margin of 18.9%, an ROE of 4.7%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 next to the same figures for each peer.
What is Tesla, Inc.'s market cap and P/E ratio?
As of August 31, 2026, Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a market cap of $1.44T, a trailing P/E of 337.8x and a forward P/E of 169.0x. Valuation is one of the inputs to the Strong Buy Score, alongside growth, margins, capital efficiency and balance-sheet strength.
Where does the TSLA data on this page come from?
Company financials come from Tesla, Inc.'s own filings with the SEC, with prices and consensus estimates from market data feeds; the figures on this page were last refreshed on August 31, 2026. Our data sources page lists every provider and how often each one is updated.
Is the TSLA analysis PDF report free?
Your first TSLA report is free and does not require a card. The score on this page is a five-factor screen; the report runs the deeper eight-section analysis, adding moat, free cash flow, share dilution and valuation work that is not on this page. Further reports are covered by a subscription; see pricing for the current plans.

This TSLA analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.