ARM Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

Arm Holdings plc Technology Semiconductors
$238.55
Current Price
96%
Strong Buy
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Data refreshed: August 31, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$254.77B
P/E Ratio (TTM)
243.4x
P/E Forward
77.9x
Revenue Growth
22.4%
Gross Margin
97.5%
Net Margin
20.2%
Return on Equity
13.4%
Debt/Equity
0.06

AI Analysis Summary

Arm Holdings plc (ARM) is a Technology company in the Semiconductors industry with a 96% Strong Buy Score. Key strengths include Revenue Growth (22.4%), Gross Margin (97.5%), Net Margin (20.2%). The score on this page is a five-factor screen — revenue growth, gross margin, net margin, return on equity and debt-to-equity — each scored against fixed thresholds from a neutral starting point of 50%. The eight-section analysis, including moat, free cash flow, dilution and valuation, runs in the full report.

Revenue Growth: Strong Gross Margin: Excellent Net Margin: Excellent Return on Equity: Good Debt/Equity: Low Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

Why ARM Has a 96% Score

4 of the inputs in our model moved ARM's score away from the neutral baseline of 50%, landing it at 96% (Strong Buy). Each one below is a specific figure from Arm Holdings plc's reported financials, not a judgement call:

Recent Catalysts for ARM

4 data points sit outside the score itself but bear on Arm Holdings plc's next few quarters. They are reported here as observations, not predictions:

Earnings grew 108.3% — accelerating profitability could drive re-rating.
Wall Street consensus target is $286.44 (+20.1% from current price), based on 39 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: Buy.
Institutional ownership at 96.2% — strong smart-money backing.

ARM vs. TXN, MRVL, ADI, INTC

Compared against other Semiconductors companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to ARM.

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
ARM $238.55 $254.77B 243.4x 22.4% 20.2% 13.4%
TXN $260.13 $237.57B 39.6x 22.8% 31.1% 35.2%
MRVL $210.11 $188.83B 69.8x 36.5% 27.9% 16.5%
ADI $362.54 $175.67B 43.0x 39.6% 29.8% 12.2%
INTC $89.64 $473.87B 25.4% -19.8% -10.7%

Main Risks for ARM Investors

3 measurable risks showed up in Arm Holdings plc's numbers. This is not a complete list of what could go wrong — only what is visible in the data we score:

High beta of 3.91 means the stock is 291% more volatile than the market — expect larger drawdowns in corrections.
Trailing P/E of 243.4x prices in significant growth — any miss could trigger a sharp selloff.
Short interest is elevated with a 3.2-day cover ratio, indicating bearish bets against the stock.

ARM Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Arm Holdings plc's liquidity and cash generation as of the most recent filing — note the cash position of $3.89B against $485.00M of debt:

Total Cash
$3.89B
Total Debt
$485.00M
Current Ratio
5.25
FCF Yield
0.5%
EBITDA
$1.06B
Operating Margin
7.6%

Figures are drawn from Arm Holdings plc's most recent balance sheet and cash flow statement as filed with the SEC. See the filings themselves.

ARM Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
243.4x
High expectations
Forward P/E
77.9x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
29.5x
High intangible value
PEG Ratio
2.10
Expensive vs growth
Analyst Target (Mean)
$286.44
Range: $125 – $500
52-Week Price Range — ARM is trading at 39% of its range
$100.02 (52W Low) $452.70 (52W High)

Who Holds ARM? — Institutional 13F Filings

Institutional investment managers with >$100 M in qualifying assets must disclose their equity positions quarterly on SEC Form 13F — typically within 45 days of quarter-end. Search those filings below to see which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers reported ARM as a holding, how many shares they held, and how positions changed quarter over quarter.

Search 13F Filings for ARM Free · no sign-in required · live SEC EDGAR data
What you see free
Which institutions reported ARM, share counts, reported values, and direct links to the SEC filing.
Research Pro adds
Full manager portfolios — every position a fund holds, quarter-over-quarter changes, and concentration weights.
Data limitation
13F shows long equity positions as of the filing date. Short positions, full derivatives, and current intent are not disclosed.

Is ARM a Buy Right Now?

We do not answer that question for you, and we do not publish buy or sell calls. What we publish is a score: ARM rates 96% on our five-factor fundamentals screen, which puts it in the "Strong Buy" band. Everything below explains how it got there so you can disagree with it.

96% · Strong Buy band

Arm Holdings plc clears our thresholds on most of what we measure. The strongest readings are revenue growth (22.4%) and gross margin (97.5%). Nothing in the data we score currently works against it.

ARM Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Arm Holdings plc reported revenue growth of 22.4% year over year, against a Semiconductors peer set where scale and pricing power vary widely. Growth at that level is the single largest positive contributor to the ARM score.

Earnings grew 108.3% over the same period, outpacing revenue — a sign of operating leverage.

Track upcoming report dates on our earnings calendar.

ARM Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

This is a fundamentals outlook, not a price target — we do not publish one. It describes what Arm Holdings plc's current financials imply about the next three to twelve months if the trends in them hold.

Constructive: Revenue growth of 22.4% gives ARM room to grow into its multiple. Net margins of 20.2% mean that growth converts to profit rather than being spent to buy it. The main thing to watch over the next few quarters is whether those figures hold; the score is built on trailing data and will move if they do not.

Bull Case for ARM

These are the Arm Holdings plc figures that push the score up, taken straight from the most recent reported financials:

  • Revenue Growth (22.4%)
  • Gross Margin (97.5%)
  • Net Margin (20.2%)
  • Return on Equity (13.4%)

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Guides to the specific measures used in this ARM analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

How the financial statements behind this page fit together.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What ARM's 243.4x multiple does and does not tell you.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why ARM's 13.4% return on equity matters for stock selection.

Stock Valuation Methods

How DCF, multiples and asset-based approaches value a company like Arm Holdings plc.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Where the ARM growth and margin figures on this page come from.

What Are Demand Zones?

The technical side we deliberately keep out of the ARM score.

Related Tools for ARM

Demand Zone Analyzer ARM Live Chart ARM SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

ARM SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for ARM explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

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View all ARM SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about ARM

Is ARM a good buy right now?
We do not issue buy or sell calls. ARM has a Strong Buy Score of 96% (Strong Buy), which is a fundamentals rating, not a recommendation. That is at the strong end of our range: ARM scores well on the fundamentals we weight most heavily. The score is helped most by revenue growth (22.4%). Read how scores work to see what each input contributes.
What is the ARM stock forecast for 2026?
We publish a fundamentals outlook rather than a price target. For 2026 the ARM view rests on revenue growth of 22.4%, a net margin of 20.2% and a trailing P/E of 243.4x, which together produce the 96% Strong Buy Score. Our methodology explains how those inputs are weighted.
What are key support and resistance levels for ARM?
Support and resistance are technical levels, so they are not part of the fundamentals score. You can see current ARM demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our demand zones page. With ARM at $238.55, the tool shows how far the stock sits from the nearest zone.
Which companies are ARM's closest peers?
On this page ARM is compared with TXN, MRVL, ADI, INTC. Compared against other Semiconductors companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to ARM. The table puts ARM's a gross margin of 97.5%, an ROE of 13.4%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 next to the same figures for each peer.
What is Arm Holdings plc's market cap and P/E ratio?
As of August 31, 2026, Arm Holdings plc (ARM) has a market cap of $254.77B, a trailing P/E of 243.4x and a forward P/E of 77.9x. Valuation is one of the inputs to the Strong Buy Score, alongside growth, margins, capital efficiency and balance-sheet strength.
Where does the ARM data on this page come from?
Company financials come from Arm Holdings plc's own filings with the SEC, with prices and consensus estimates from market data feeds; the figures on this page were last refreshed on August 31, 2026. Our data sources page lists every provider and how often each one is updated.
Is the ARM analysis PDF report free?
Your first ARM report is free and does not require a card. The score on this page is a five-factor screen; the report runs the deeper eight-section analysis, adding moat, free cash flow, share dilution and valuation work that is not on this page. Further reports are covered by a subscription; see pricing for the current plans.

This ARM analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.