TSM Stock Analysis & Forecast (2026)

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited Technology Semiconductors
$415.22
Current Price
98%
Strong Buy
View Plans
Data refreshed: September 01, 2026

Key Financial Metrics

Market Cap
$2.15T
P/E Ratio (TTM)
30.9x
P/E Forward
19.1x
Revenue Growth
36.0%
Gross Margin
64.2%
Net Margin
49.9%
Return on Equity
40.0%
Debt/Equity
0.17

AI Analysis Summary

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) is a Technology company in the Semiconductors industry with a 98% Strong Buy Score. Key strengths include Revenue Growth (36.0%), Gross Margin (64.2%), Net Margin (49.9%). The score on this page is a five-factor screen — revenue growth, gross margin, net margin, return on equity and debt-to-equity — each scored against fixed thresholds from a neutral starting point of 50%. The eight-section analysis, including moat, free cash flow, dilution and valuation, runs in the full report.

Revenue Growth: Strong Gross Margin: Excellent Net Margin: Excellent Return on Equity: Excellent Debt/Equity: Low Risk

This analysis is generated by StrongBuyAnalytics AI using publicly available financial data from SEC filings, earnings reports, and market feeds. It is not personalized investment advice. See our methodology and disclaimer.

Why TSM Has a 98% Score

5 of the inputs in our model moved TSM's score away from the neutral baseline of 50%, landing it at 98% (Strong Buy). Each one below is a specific figure from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited's reported financials, not a judgement call:

Recent Catalysts for TSM

4 data points sit outside the score itself but bear on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited's next few quarters. They are reported here as observations, not predictions:

Earnings grew 77.4% — accelerating profitability could drive re-rating.
Wall Street consensus target is $554.45 (+33.5% from current price), based on 18 analyst estimates.
Analyst consensus recommendation: None.
Dividend yield of 1.04% provides income while you wait for capital appreciation.

TSM vs. AVGO, MU, NVDA, AMD

Compared against other Semiconductors companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to TSM.

Ticker Price Market Cap P/E Rev Growth Net Margin ROE
TSM $415.22 $2.15T 30.9x 36.0% 49.9% 40.0%
AVGO $369.63 $1.76T 61.6x 47.9% 38.8% 37.3%
MU $931.33 $1.05T 21.1x 345.7% 55.9% 66.6%
NVDA $217.34 $5.25T 27.4x 105.9% 63.7% 117.2%
AMD $459.47 $750.07B 117.5x 50.1% 15.6% 10.2%

TSM Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited's liquidity and cash generation as of the most recent filing — note the cash position of $3.52T against $1.07T of debt:

Total Cash
$3.52T
Total Debt
$1.07T
Current Ratio
2.46
FCF Yield
33.9%
EBITDA
$3.17T
Operating Margin
60.3%

Figures are drawn from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited's most recent balance sheet and cash flow statement as filed with the SEC. See the filings themselves.

TSM Valuation Snapshot

Trailing P/E
30.9x
Growth premium
Forward P/E
19.1x
Earnings growth expected
Price / Book
85.5x
High intangible value
PEG Ratio
1.00
Fairly valued
Analyst Target (Mean)
$554.45
Range: $440 – $700
Dividend Yield
1.04%
5Y avg: 1.55%
52-Week Price Range — TSM is trading at 75% of its range
$225.63 (52W Low) $479.00 (52W High)

Who Holds TSM? — Institutional 13F Filings

Institutional investment managers with >$100 M in qualifying assets must disclose their equity positions quarterly on SEC Form 13F — typically within 45 days of quarter-end. Search those filings below to see which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers reported TSM as a holding, how many shares they held, and how positions changed quarter over quarter.

Search 13F Filings for TSM Free · no sign-in required · live SEC EDGAR data
What you see free
Which institutions reported TSM, share counts, reported values, and direct links to the SEC filing.
Research Pro adds
Full manager portfolios — every position a fund holds, quarter-over-quarter changes, and concentration weights.
Data limitation
13F shows long equity positions as of the filing date. Short positions, full derivatives, and current intent are not disclosed.

Is TSM a Buy Right Now?

We do not answer that question for you, and we do not publish buy or sell calls. What we publish is a score: TSM rates 98% on our five-factor fundamentals screen, which puts it in the "Strong Buy" band. Everything below explains how it got there so you can disagree with it.

98% · Strong Buy band

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited clears our thresholds on most of what we measure. The strongest readings are revenue growth (36.0%) and gross margin (64.2%). Nothing in the data we score currently works against it.

TSM Earnings & Revenue Outlook

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited reported revenue growth of 36.0% year over year, against a Semiconductors peer set where scale and pricing power vary widely. Growth at that level is the single largest positive contributor to the TSM score.

Earnings grew 77.4% over the same period, outpacing revenue — a sign of operating leverage.

Track upcoming report dates on our earnings calendar.

TSM Stock Forecast (Next 3–12 Months)

This is a fundamentals outlook, not a price target — we do not publish one. It describes what Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited's current financials imply about the next three to twelve months if the trends in them hold.

Constructive: Revenue growth of 36.0% gives TSM room to grow into its multiple. Net margins of 49.9% mean that growth converts to profit rather than being spent to buy it. The main thing to watch over the next few quarters is whether those figures hold; the score is built on trailing data and will move if they do not.

Bull Case for TSM

These are the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited figures that push the score up, taken straight from the most recent reported financials:

  • Revenue Growth (36.0%)
  • Gross Margin (64.2%)
  • Net Margin (49.9%)
  • Return on Equity (40.0%)

Learn More About Stock Analysis

Free 14-Min Course
Instructor
StrongBuy Analytics
Fundamental Research Team
How to Read Your Research Report
★★★★★ 4.9 rating
14Min
15Chapters
FreeNo sign-up

See how every metric on this TSM page — quality score, valuation, DCF scenarios, confidence, and data limitations — fits into a professional research report.

Generate My Free TSM Report

Guides to the specific measures used in this TSM analysis:

Fundamental Analysis Guide

How the financial statements behind this page fit together.

Understanding P/E Ratio

What TSM's 30.9x multiple does and does not tell you.

Return on Equity (ROE)

Why TSM's 40.0% return on equity matters for stock selection.

Stock Valuation Methods

How DCF, multiples and asset-based approaches value a company like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited.

How to Read Earnings Reports

Where the TSM growth and margin figures on this page come from.

What Are Demand Zones?

The technical side we deliberately keep out of the TSM score.

Related Tools for TSM

Demand Zone Analyzer TSM Live Chart TSM SEC Filing News Earnings Calendar Institutional Ownership Sector Scanner Average Down Calculator

TSM SEC Filing News

Latest SEC filings for TSM explained in plain English — insider buys/sells (Form 4), proposed sales (Form 144), material events (8-K), and quarterly & annual reports.

Loading recent SEC filings…
View all TSM SEC Filing News →

Frequently Asked Questions about TSM

Is TSM a good buy right now?
We do not issue buy or sell calls. TSM has a Strong Buy Score of 98% (Strong Buy), which is a fundamentals rating, not a recommendation. That is at the strong end of our range: TSM scores well on the fundamentals we weight most heavily. The score is helped most by revenue growth (36.0%). Read how scores work to see what each input contributes.
What is the TSM stock forecast for 2026?
We publish a fundamentals outlook rather than a price target. For 2026 the TSM view rests on revenue growth of 36.0%, a net margin of 49.9% and a trailing P/E of 30.9x, which together produce the 98% Strong Buy Score. Our methodology explains how those inputs are weighted.
What are key support and resistance levels for TSM?
Support and resistance are technical levels, so they are not part of the fundamentals score. You can see current TSM demand zones (support) and supply zones (resistance) on our demand zones page. With TSM at $415.22, the tool shows how far the stock sits from the nearest zone.
Which companies are TSM's closest peers?
On this page TSM is compared with AVGO, MU, NVDA, AMD. Compared against other Semiconductors companies we cover, picked for having a similar market capitalisation to TSM. The table puts TSM's a gross margin of 64.2%, an ROE of 40.0%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 next to the same figures for each peer.
What is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited's market cap and P/E ratio?
As of September 01, 2026, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) has a market cap of $2.15T, a trailing P/E of 30.9x and a forward P/E of 19.1x. Valuation is one of the inputs to the Strong Buy Score, alongside growth, margins, capital efficiency and balance-sheet strength.
Where does the TSM data on this page come from?
Company financials come from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited's own filings with the SEC, with prices and consensus estimates from market data feeds; the figures on this page were last refreshed on September 01, 2026. Our data sources page lists every provider and how often each one is updated.
Is the TSM analysis PDF report free?
Your first TSM report is free and does not require a card. The score on this page is a five-factor screen; the report runs the deeper eight-section analysis, adding moat, free cash flow, share dilution and valuation work that is not on this page. Further reports are covered by a subscription; see pricing for the current plans.

This TSM analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public filings and market feeds. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Read our full disclaimer.